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Konyaspor crestKonyaspor
v
Gençlerbirliği S.K. crestGençlerbirliği S.K.

Süper Lig | Sun 25 Oct, 13:00

Konyaspor v Gençlerbirliği S.K. Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 08:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Konyaspor and Gençlerbirliği S.K. meet in a Süper Lig clash where Konyaspor seeks to capitalize on recent momentum after collecting 5 points in their last matches, while Gençlerbirliği S.K. struggles with only 1 point recently. Konyaspor's defensive solidity contrasts with Gençlerbirliği's defensive frailties, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per game. The fixture carries importance for both sides near the relegation zone, with Konyaspor aiming to leverage home advantage and tactical discipline to secure a vital win.

BT4Y best bet

Konyaspor to Win

  • Konyaspor has earned 5 points recently compared to Gençlerbirliği's 1 point, showing better form.
  • Gençlerbirliği concedes 2.8 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerability.
  • Konyaspor averages 9.8 shots per game with solid defensive numbers, suggesting control.
  • The model estimates a 68.9% chance for Konyaspor to win, with positive value at 1.83 .
  • Gençlerbirliği's high over 2.5 goals rate (80%) contrasts with Konyaspor's defensive style, hinting at a tactical battle.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Konyaspor to win due to their superior recent form and defensive resilience, conceding only 0.4 goals per game compared to Gençlerbirliği's 2.8. Despite Gençlerbirliği's higher shot volume and over 2.5 goals rate, Konyaspor's ability to limit chances and maintain defensive discipline underpins the 68.9% win probability. The of 1.83 offer positive value reflecting this defensive edge and home advantage. Player-level data shows Konyaspor's B. Kramer as a key attacking threat, supporting the likelihood of a home victory. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Recent formKonyaspor 5 points vs Gençlerbirliği 1 point
Strong positive
Defensive recordKonyaspor concedes 0.4 goals/game, Gençlerbirliği 2.8
Strong positive
Shot volumeGençlerbirliği averages more shots but concedes more
Neutral
Model chance vs odds68.9% model chance vs 54.6% implied (+14.3 pts)
Strong positive
Player attacking threatB. Kramer leads Konyaspor attack with high shots per 90
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Konyaspor's recent form and defensive solidity provide a strong tactical foundation to secure victory against a Gençlerbirliği side that struggles defensively. The data supports a home win as Konyaspor controls territory and limits opposition chances effectively, making this a sensible selection.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · tactical and player impact

“Konyaspor's disciplined defense combined with B. Kramer's attacking activity creates a balanced approach that should outmatch Gençlerbirliği's porous backline in this crucial Süper Lig fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Konyaspor to Win evidence

Konyaspor has earned 5 points recently compared to Gençlerbirliği's 1 point, showing better form.

Gençlerbirliği concedes 2.8 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerability.

Konyaspor averages 9.8 shots per game with solid defensive numbers, suggesting control.

The model estimates a 68.9% chance for Konyaspor to win, with positive value at 1.83 .

What To Watch In The Data

Konyaspor to Win notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2, indicating moderate scoring.
  • Konyaspor's low over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Gençlerbirliği's high 80% rate, suggesting a tactical clash between defensive control and attacking openness that could influence goal totals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Konyaspor0.2
Avg goals scored
Gençlerbirliği S.K.0.6
Konyaspor0.4
Avg goals conceded
Gençlerbirliği S.K.2.8
Konyaspor0%
BTTS rate
Gençlerbirliği S.K.40%
Konyaspor0%
Over 2.5 goals
Gençlerbirliği S.K.80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 55% · edge +9.4 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 40%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Konyaspor's recent matches show a conservative scoring pattern with only 0.2 goals per game and no BTTS occurrences, contrasting with Gençlerbirliği's 0.6 goals per game and 40% BTTS rate. This suggests a controlled game with limited goals, favoring a low-scoring outcome without both teams scoring.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickKonyaspor to WinBetUK guide price · Model 69% vs implied 55% · edge +14.3 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Konyaspor Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 77%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 40%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The 68.9% for Konyaspor to Win sits against roughly 54.6% implied by the current price (+14.3 pts). Konyaspor have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 1 for Gençlerbirliği S.K..
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Konyaspor

LDDWL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 5L
17 Oct 2026A Amed0-1
11 Oct 2026H Başakşehir0-0
18 Sep 2026A Kasımpaşa0-0
12 Sep 2026H Trabzonspor1-0
05 Sep 2026A Erzurumspor FK0-1

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

LDLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 4L
17 Oct 2026H Galatasaray0-1
10 Oct 2026H Amed2-2
19 Sep 2026A Başakşehir0-4
13 Sep 2026H Kasımpaşa1-2
06 Sep 2026A Trabzonspor0-5
Market aligned with main pickKonyaspor to WinBetUK guide price · Model 69% vs implied 55% · edge +14.3 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Konyaspor Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 77%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Konyaspor's recent form shows resilience with 5 points gained and a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.4 goals per game. Gençlerbirliği's form is poor with just 1 point and a leaky defense conceding 2.8 goals per game, highlighting a clear momentum advantage for Konyaspor heading into this match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Konyaspor Over 2.5
80%Gençlerbirliği S.K. Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2, indicating moderate scoring. Konyaspor's low over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Gençlerbirliği's high 80% rate, suggesting a tactical clash between defensive control and attacking openness that could influence goal totals in this fixture.

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