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AC Horsens crestAC Horsens
v
Sonderjyske crestSonderjyske

Superliga | Sun 25 Oct, 15:00

AC Horsens v Sonderjyske Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 08:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

AC Horsens and Sonderjyske meet in a Danish Superliga clash where attacking intent is expected to shape the game. Both teams have shown a willingness to engage offensively, with Sonderjyske's recent matches featuring a higher goal rate despite their lower league standing. AC Horsens, positioned mid-table, have been involved in games with multiple goals, reflecting a balanced but open style. This fixture promises a lively contest with both sides pushing forward, setting the stage for a potentially high-scoring encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Sonderjyske have an 80% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals recently, indicating strong attacking output.
  • AC Horsens also show a 60% over 2.5 goals rate, supporting the likelihood of multiple goals.
  • The last 10 head-to-head matches averaged 3.9 goals, suggesting a history of open games.
  • Both teams average around 14 shots per game, with solid shots on target numbers, reflecting offensive pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model projects a 72.4% chance for over 2.5 goals, well above the 57.8% implied by current , offering a 14.6% . Both teams demonstrate attacking tendencies, with Sonderjyske's 80% over 2.5 rate and AC Horsens' 60% complementing the historical 3.9 goals average in their meetings. Offensive players like M. Bimpong contribute significant shot volumes, reinforcing the expectation of multiple scoring opportunities. This combination of form, player threat, and historical data underpins the in a high-scoring match.

Model Chance72.4% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+14.6 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Over 2.5 RatesSonderjyske 80%, AC Horsens 60%
Strong positive
H2H Average Goals3.9 goals per match over last 10 meetings
Strong positive
Key Players' Offensive OutputM. Haidara 5 goals, K. Bimpong 3.75 shots on target per 90
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as both AC Horsens and Sonderjyske have shown recent tendencies toward high-scoring matches. The presence of key offensive players and a history of goal-rich encounters support the likelihood of over 2.5 goals. This bet aligns well with the tactical and statistical profile of the fixture, making it a compelling choice for those anticipating an entertaining contest.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and match dynamics

“This fixture features two sides with clear offensive intent and a history of goal-laden matches, making over 2.5 goals a logical and data-backed selection.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Sonderjyske have an 80% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals recently, indicating strong attacking output.

AC Horsens also show a 60% over 2.5 goals rate, supporting the likelihood of multiple goals.

The last 10 head-to-head matches averaged 3.9 goals, suggesting a history of open games.

Both teams average around 14 shots per game, with solid shots on target numbers, reflecting offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 3.9, well above the over 2.5 threshold.
  • This trend, combined with recent attacking form and shot volumes, points to a fixture likely to feature multiple goals through open play and transitional chances.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

AC Horsens2
Avg goals scored
Sonderjyske2.2
AC Horsens1.8
Avg goals conceded
Sonderjyske2.2
AC Horsens60%
BTTS rate
Sonderjyske60%
AC Horsens60%
Over 2.5 goals
Sonderjyske80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 58% · edge +14.6 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Both teams have demonstrated a propensity for goals and both teams to score, with each side hitting a 60% BTTS rate recently. The high average goals in their head-to-head matches (3.9) further supports expectations of multiple goals and contributions from both sides, reinforcing the over 2.5 goals angle.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 58% · edge +14.6 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Sonderjyske Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 55%
2
Check odds @ 2
Sonderjyske to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
AC Horsens Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
AC Horsens to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
The 72.4% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+14.6 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for AC Horsens and 80% for Sonderjyske, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

AC Horsens

DDDLW
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
16 Oct 2026H Randers FC0-0
11 Oct 2026A Silkeborg3-3
20 Sep 2026H Aarhus2-2
11 Sep 2026A FC Copenhagen0-2
06 Sep 2026A Sonderjyske5-2

Sonderjyske

WLWDL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
18 Oct 2026H Silkeborg4-0
12 Oct 2026A Aarhus0-3
20 Sep 2026H Randers FC4-2
13 Sep 2026A Lyngby1-1
06 Sep 2026H AC Horsens2-5
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +8.2 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Sonderjyske Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 55%
2
Check odds @ 2
Sonderjyske to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
AC Horsens Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
AC Horsens to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Recent form data shows Sonderjyske with a higher over 2.5 goals rate at 80%, reflecting their open play style despite league position. AC Horsens also contribute with a 60% rate, indicating a shared tendency for goal-rich matches. Both teams have conceded and scored at rates supporting an expectation of multiple goals in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%AC Horsens Over 2.5
80%Sonderjyske Over 2.5
3.9H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 3.9, well above the over 2.5 threshold. This trend, combined with recent attacking form and shot volumes, points to a fixture likely to feature multiple goals through open play and transitional chances.

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