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Göztepe crestGöztepe
v
Çorum FK crestÇorum FK

Süper Lig | Sun 25 Oct, 16:00

Göztepe v Çorum FK Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 08:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Göztepe and Çorum FK meet in a Süper Lig clash where attacking intent is clear from both sides. Göztepe has scored an average of 2.4 goals per game recently, while Çorum FK boasts an even higher 2.8 goals per game, with both teams consistently involved in high-scoring matches. Defensively, Göztepe concedes nearly two goals per game, contrasting with Çorum FK's tighter backline. The fixture promises open play and offensive opportunities, setting the stage for multiple goals in a contest where both sides seek to capitalize on their attacking strengths.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Both teams have a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently.
  • Göztepe averages 17 shots per game with 5.6 on target, indicating strong offensive pressure.
  • Çorum FK concedes only 0.8 goals per game, but scores 2.8, highlighting attacking efficiency.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 2.5 goals, supporting a goal-rich encounter.
  • Top players like Ermin Mahmić and Juan contribute significant shot volume and goal threat.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 78% chance for over 2.5 goals, supported by both teams' offensive output and recent form. Göztepe and Çorum FK each have perfect recent records for games exceeding 2.5 goals, with high shot volumes and goal-scoring rates. The attacking roles of key players such as Ermin Mahmić and Juan further enhance the likelihood of multiple goals. Defensive vulnerabilities, especially from Göztepe, add to the probability of a high-scoring match. This combination of data and tactical context underpins the strong in the over 2.5 goals market.

Recent Over 2.5 Rate100% for both teams
Strong positive
Average Goals per GameGöztepe 2.4, Çorum FK 2.8
Strong positive
Shots and Shots on TargetGöztepe 17 shots (5.6 SOT), Çorum FK 13.2 shots (6.6 SOT)
Positive
Key Player Goal ThreatErmin Mahmić 1.32 goals/90, Juan 0.91 goals/90
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as both Göztepe and Çorum FK have demonstrated strong offensive capabilities recently. The high volume of shots and goal-scoring rates from both teams suggest multiple goals are likely. This match should provide plenty of goalmouth action, making over 2.5 goals a compelling selection based on form and player influence.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking roles

“This fixture features two sides with potent attacks and a tendency for high-scoring games, making the over 2.5 goals market a natural fit. The presence of dynamic players like Ermin Mahmić and Juan ensures sustained offensive pressure throughout the match.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently.

Göztepe averages 17 shots per game with 5.6 on target, indicating strong offensive pressure.

Çorum FK concedes only 0.8 goals per game, but scores 2.8, highlighting attacking efficiency.

Head-to-head meetings average 2.5 goals, supporting a goal-rich encounter.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the two previous head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored was 2.5, consistent with the over 2.5 goals trend.
  • Both teams have maintained a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches, indicating a sustained tempo and offensive approach that favors a goal-rich fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Göztepe2.4
Avg goals scored
Çorum FK2.8
Göztepe1.8
Avg goals conceded
Çorum FK0.8
Göztepe80%
BTTS rate
Çorum FK60%
Göztepe100%
Over 2.5 goals
Çorum FK100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Both teams have shown a strong propensity for goals and goal involvement, with Göztepe scoring 2.4 and Çorum FK 2.8 goals per game. BTTS rates are 80% for Göztepe and 60% for Çorum FK, suggesting a good chance both teams will find the net, contributing to a high-scoring encounter.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Çorum FK Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Çorum FK to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Göztepe Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
The 74.9% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+15 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Göztepe and 100% for Çorum FK, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Göztepe

WWDDL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 3L
18 Oct 2026A Kocaelispor2-1
12 Oct 2026A Eyüpspor4-0
20 Sep 2026H Rizespor2-2
12 Sep 2026A Alanyaspor2-2
07 Sep 2026H Gaziantep FK2-4

Çorum FK

WWLWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 3L
16 Oct 2026H Rizespor2-1
11 Oct 2026A Gaziantep FK3-0
19 Sep 2026H Alanyaspor1-2
12 Sep 2026A Samsunspor5-1
06 Sep 2026H Eyüpspor3-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Çorum FK Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Çorum FK to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Göztepe Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Göztepe to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Recent form data shows both teams consistently involved in high-scoring matches, with a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in their latest games. Göztepe has scored 8 points with 2.4 goals per game, while Çorum FK has 12 points and 2.8 goals per game, highlighting offensive momentum that supports the over 2.5 goals selection.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Göztepe Over 2.5
100%Çorum FK Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
In the two previous head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored was 2.5, consistent with the over 2.5 goals trend. Both teams have maintained a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches, indicating a sustained tempo and offensive approach that favors a goal-rich fixture.

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