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Hull City crestHull City
v
Brentford crestBrentford

Premier League | Sun 25 Oct, 14:00

Hull City v Brentford Stats

Data last updated: Sun 15 Nov 2026, 13:57 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Hull City face Brentford in Premier League on Sun 25 Oct, 14:00. Hull City vs Brentford Preview: Unbeaten Records on the Line at the MKM Stadium. Brentford look stronger on recent form, while Hull City remain vulnerable after weaker results.

BT4Y best bet

Brentford to win

  • At 7/10, Brentford to win implies roughly 59%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 60%.
  • Brentford consistently score first and both teams have scored in Brentford's last six away matches.
  • Brentford have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 3 for Hull City.
  • Hull City have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Brentford to win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Hull City sit 13 in the table, while Brentford sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 60% for Brentford to win sits against roughly 59% implied by the current price. Brentford have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 3 for Hull City. Brentford consistently score first and both teams have scored in Brentford's last six away matches.

Model chance vs price60% model chance against roughly 59% implied
Neutral
Brentford have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points.Visible data support
Positive
Hull City have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Brentford consistently score first and both teams have scored.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Brentford Win is the preferred angle because brentford consistently score first and both teams have scored in Brentford's last six away matches. Brentford have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 3 for Hull City. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Brentford to win evidence

Brentford consistently score first and both teams have scored in Brentford's last six away matches.

Brentford have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 3 for Hull City.

Hull City have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Brentford Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Hull City sit 13 in the table, while Brentford sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Brentford to win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Hull City1
    Avg goals scored
    Brentford1.8
    Hull City1.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Brentford1.4
    Hull City60%
    BTTS rate
    Brentford80%
    Hull City60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Brentford80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 85%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Premier League hubrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBrentford to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 59% · edge +0.8 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Brentford Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 68%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 65%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Brentford to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Hull City

    LDLDD
    Last 50W 3D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 3D 2L
    17 Oct 2026A Fulham0-1
    11 Oct 2026H Everton2-2
    19 Sep 2026A Newcastle1-2
    12 Sep 2026A Chelsea2-2
    05 Sep 2026H Aston Villa0-0

    Brentford

    LDWDD
    Last 51W 3D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 4D 1L
    17 Oct 2026H Liverpool1-2
    10 Oct 2026A Aston Villa2-2
    18 Sep 2026H Chelsea3-0
    12 Sep 2026A Bournemouth2-2
    05 Sep 2026H Sunderland1-1
    Market aligned with main pickBrentford to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 59% · edge +0.8 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Brentford Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 68%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Hull City Over 2.5
    80%Brentford Over 2.5
    3.38H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Hull City sit at 60% and Brentford sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.38 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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