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Silkeborg crestSilkeborg
v
FC Nordsjaelland crestFC Nordsjaelland

Superliga | Sun 25 Oct, 13:00

Silkeborg v FC Nordsjaelland Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 08:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Silkeborg hosts FC Nordsjaelland in a Danish Superliga clash where both teams have collected six points recently, indicating a competitive encounter. Silkeborg, positioned eighth, aims to leverage home advantage and recent defensive improvements to avoid defeat against the fourth-placed Nordsjaelland, who have a slightly better goal-scoring record but also concede more. The tactical setup suggests Silkeborg will prioritize solidity and counter-attacks, while Nordsjaelland seeks to impose tempo. This match carries significance for Silkeborg to close the gap in the standings and maintain momentum.

BT4Y best bet

Silkeborg or Draw

  • Silkeborg has a 74.4% to avoid defeat, offering strong value at 2.15 .
  • Both teams have identical recent BTTS rates of 60%, indicating balanced attacking threats.
  • Silkeborg averages fewer shots but more shots on target per game, showing efficient finishing.
  • FC Nordsjaelland concedes more goals on average, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities Silkeborg can exploit.
  • Recent form shows both teams have scored 6 points, but Silkeborg's home resilience is a key factor.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Silkeborg or Draw with a 74.4% chance, reflecting Silkeborg's home defensive solidity and efficient shot conversion despite fewer overall shots. Nordsjaelland's higher goals conceded and disciplinary record add to Silkeborg's edge. The of 2.15 provide positive value given the implied chance of 46.5%. This pick balances Silkeborg's tactical discipline and Nordsjaelland's inconsistency, making it a solid choice without major price warnings.

Silkeborg defensive strengthConcedes 2 goals per game, fewer than Nordsjaelland
Positive
Silkeborg shot efficiency5 shots on target per game from 11.4 shots
Positive
Nordsjaelland defensive weaknessConcedes 1.8 goals per game, higher yellow card average
Negative
Recent form pointsBoth teams earned 6 points recently
Neutral
Market value edge38.1% model chance vs 23.1% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Silkeborg's home defensive discipline and efficient finishing make avoiding defeat a realistic target against a Nordsjaelland side that concedes more and has a higher card count. The recent form parity and tactical setup favor Silkeborg's resilience, supporting the double chance selection.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and defensive control

“Silkeborg's ability to limit chances and convert key opportunities at home gives them a tactical edge in this fixture, especially against a Nordsjaelland side prone to defensive lapses and disciplinary issues.”

Key Data Signals

Silkeborg or Draw evidence

Silkeborg has a 74.4% to avoid defeat, offering strong value at 2.15 .

Both teams have identical recent BTTS rates of 60%, indicating balanced attacking threats.

Silkeborg averages fewer shots but more shots on target per game, showing efficient finishing.

FC Nordsjaelland concedes more goals on average, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities Silkeborg can exploit.

What To Watch In The Data

Silkeborg or Draw notes

  • In the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 3.4, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • Both teams have over 2.5 goals rates of 80% for Silkeborg and 60% for Nordsjaelland recently, suggesting a game with attacking intent and chances.
  • This trend points to a lively match tempo with goal opportunities but balanced by Silkeborg's defensive discipline.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Silkeborg2
Avg goals scored
FC Nordsjaelland1.6
Silkeborg2
Avg goals conceded
FC Nordsjaelland1.8
Silkeborg60%
BTTS rate
FC Nordsjaelland60%
Silkeborg80%
Over 2.5 goals
FC Nordsjaelland60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 69% · edge +0.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate recently, indicating balanced attacking potential. Silkeborg's average goals for is 2 per game, slightly higher than Nordsjaelland's 1.6, while both concede around 2 goals per game. This suggests a moderately open game with chances at both ends, supporting a competitive match with goal opportunities but not necessarily a high-scoring thriller.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionSilkeborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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Silkeborg to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
FC Nordsjaelland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
The 38.1% for Silkeborg or Draw sits against roughly 23.1% implied by the current price (+15 pts).
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Silkeborg

LDWDD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
18 Oct 2026A Sonderjyske0-4
11 Oct 2026H AC Horsens3-3
18 Sep 2026A Lyngby4-0
13 Sep 2026H Viborg1-1
05 Sep 2026A Aarhus2-2

FC Nordsjaelland

DDLWD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
18 Oct 2026A Lyngby3-3
09 Oct 2026H Odense0-0
20 Sep 2026A Viborg1-4
13 Sep 2026H Aarhus2-0
07 Sep 2026A FC Midtjylland2-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Silkeborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Silkeborg to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
FC Nordsjaelland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
FC Nordsjaelland to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Both teams have earned 6 points in recent matches, but Silkeborg's home form is marked by a strong defensive record and efficient finishing. Nordsjaelland's form includes more goals conceded and disciplinary issues, which could hinder their ability to secure a win away. This recent form balance favors Silkeborg's resilience and ability to avoid defeat.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Silkeborg Over 2.5
60%FC Nordsjaelland Over 2.5
3.4H2H avg goals
In the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 3.4, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. Both teams have over 2.5 goals rates of 80% for Silkeborg and 60% for Nordsjaelland recently, suggesting a game with attacking intent and chances. This trend points to a lively match tempo with goal opportunities but balanced by Silkeborg's defensive discipline.

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