Football Stats Hub

Bayern München crestBayern München
v
Paris Saint Germain crestParis Saint Germain

UEFA Champions League | Wed 06 May, 20:00

Bayern München v Paris Saint Germain Stats

Data last updated: Sat 27 Jun 2026, 19:06 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bayern München face Paris Saint Germain in UEFA Champions League on Wed 06 May, 20:00. Bayern München come in with 12 recent points and 4 goals per match, while Paris Saint Germain have 15 points and 3.4 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Paris Saint Germain to Win

  • At 4.1, Paris Saint Germain Win implies roughly 24%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.
  • Paris Saint Germain have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 12 for Bayern München.
  • Paris Saint Germain have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Paris Saint Germain Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 54% for Paris Saint Germain Win sits against roughly 24% implied by the current price. Paris Saint Germain have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 12 for Bayern München.

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 24% implied
Strong positive
Paris Saint Germain have the stronger recent points return, taking.Visible data support
Positive
Paris Saint Germain have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Paris Saint Germain Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Paris Saint Germain have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 12 for Bayern München. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Paris Saint Germain Win evidence

Paris Saint Germain have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 12 for Bayern München.

Paris Saint Germain have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Paris Saint Germain Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Paris Saint Germain Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Bayern München7.6
    Avg corners for
    Paris Saint Germain2.4
    Bayern München11
    Avg total corners
    Paris Saint Germain7.6
    Bayern München1.6
    Avg yellow cards
    Paris Saint Germain0.8
    Bayern München20.2
    Avg shots
    Paris Saint Germain11.8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 47%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 54%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    UEFA Champions League hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Bayern München4
    Avg goals scored
    Paris Saint Germain3.4
    Bayern München2.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Paris Saint Germain1.2
    Bayern München100%
    BTTS rate
    Paris Saint Germain40%
    Bayern München100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Paris Saint Germain60%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 88% vs implied 95% · edge -7.2 pts
    1.05
    Check odds @ 1.05
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 31%
    4.5
    Check odds @ 4.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 1.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 100% for Bayern München and 60% for Paris Saint Germain, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickParis Saint Germain to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 24% · edge +29.7 pts
    4.1
    Check odds @ 4.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Paris Saint Germain Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
    2.85
    Check odds @ 2.85
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 54%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Paris Saint Germain to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Bayern München

    LWWWW
    Last 54W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 108W 0D 2L
    28 Apr 2026A Paris Saint Germain4-5
    15 Apr 2026H Real Madrid4-3
    07 Apr 2026A Real Madrid2-1
    18 Mar 2026H Atalanta4-1
    10 Mar 2026A Atalanta6-1

    Paris Saint Germain

    WWWWW
    Last 55W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 3D 1L
    28 Apr 2026H Bayern München5-4
    14 Apr 2026A Liverpool2-0
    08 Apr 2026H Liverpool2-0
    17 Mar 2026A Chelsea3-0
    11 Mar 2026H Chelsea5-2
    Market aligned with main pickParis Saint Germain to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 24% · edge +29.7 pts
    4.1
    Check odds @ 4.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 80%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Paris Saint Germain Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
    2.85
    Check odds @ 2.85
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    7Bayern München wins
    0Draws
    3Paris Saint Germain wins
    28 Apr 2026Paris Saint Germain v Bayern München5-4
    04 Nov 2025Paris Saint Germain v Bayern München1-2
    05 Jul 2025Paris Saint Germain v Bayern München2-0
    26 Nov 2024Bayern München v Paris Saint Germain1-0
    08 Mar 2023Bayern Munich v Paris Saint Germain2-0
    14 Feb 2023Paris Saint Germain v Bayern Munich0-1
    Market aligned with main pickParis Saint Germain to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 24% · edge +29.7 pts
    4.1
    Check odds @ 4.1
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Paris Saint Germain to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    UEFA Champions League

    Bayern München14
    Played
    Paris Saint Germain17
    Bayern München3.1
    Avg goals for
    Paris Saint Germain2.7
    Bayern München1.4
    Avg goals against
    Paris Saint Germain1.4
    Bayern München2
    Clean sheets
    Paris Saint Germain5
    Market aligned with main pickParis Saint Germain to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 24% · edge +29.7 pts
    4.1
    Check odds @ 4.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Paris Saint Germain Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
    2.85
    Check odds @ 2.85
    Season data supports Paris Saint Germain to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Bayern München21870114
    11Paris Saint Germain14842210
    UEFA Champions League standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Bayern München Over 2.5
    60%Paris Saint Germain Over 2.5
    2.9H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bayern München sit at 100% and Paris Saint Germain sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Football predictions hub

    Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

    More stats pages

    Browse football stats pages

    Open the main stats hub for the latest fixture dashboards.

    Competition and hubs

    UEFA Champions League hubUEFA Champions League hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hub

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    View match centre