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Ajax crestAjax
v
Shelbourne crestShelbourne

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 06 Aug, 19:00

Ajax v Shelbourne Stats

Data last updated: Tue 25 Aug 2026, 20:47 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ajax face Shelbourne in UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu 06 Aug, 19:00. Shelbourne have won three of their last six home matches, including a 5-2 Conference League victory over Nomme Kalju, and they are averaging 2.33 goals in their Conference League games.

BT4Y best bet

Wins if Ajax secure victory with scorelines such as 2-1, 3-1, or 4-2

  • At 13/8, Wins if Ajax secure victory with scorelines such as 2-1, 3-1, or 4-2 implies roughly 38%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 48%.
  • Shelbourne and Ajax both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner.
  • Ajax need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Ajax on 6 and Shelbourne on 3.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Ajax and 100% for Shelbourne.
  • Wins if Ajax secure victory with scorelines such as 2-1, 3-1, or 4-2 needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 4 for Ajax and 3 for Shelbourne are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 48% for Wins if Ajax secure victory with scorelines such as 2-1, 3-1, or 4-2 sits against roughly 38% implied by the current price. Ajax need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Ajax on 6 and Shelbourne on 3. Shelbourne and Ajax both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner.

Model chance vs price48% model chance against roughly 38% implied
Positive
Ajax need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Shelbourne and Ajax both carry scoring threat, but the.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Ajax Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because shelbourne and Ajax both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner. Ajax need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Ajax on 6 and Shelbourne on 3. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Wins if Ajax secure victory with scorelines such as 2-1, 3-1, or 4-2 evidence

Shelbourne and Ajax both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner.

Ajax need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Ajax on 6 and Shelbourne on 3.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Ajax and 100% for Shelbourne.

Ajax Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 4 for Ajax and 3 for Shelbourne are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Wins if Ajax secure victory with scorelines such as 2-1, 3-1, or 4-2 notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ajax4
Avg goals scored
Shelbourne3
Ajax1
Avg goals conceded
Shelbourne2
Ajax100%
BTTS rate
Shelbourne100%
Ajax100%
Over 2.5 goals
Shelbourne100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAjax to WinBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 94% · edge -25.3 pts
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Ajax to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Ajax9
Avg corners for
Shelbourne-
Ajax10.5
Avg total corners
Shelbourne-
Ajax0
Avg yellow cards
Shelbourne-
Ajax22.5
Avg shots
Shelbourne-
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 67% · edge +2.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ajax

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
30 Jul 2026H Vojvodina4-1
23 Jul 2026A Vojvodina4-1

Shelbourne

LW
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
30 Jul 2026A Kalju Nomme1-2
23 Jul 2026H Kalju Nomme5-2
Market aligned with main pickAjax to WinBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 94% · edge -25.3 pts
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Ajax wins
0Draws
0Shelbourne wins
Market aligned with main pickAjax to WinBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 94% · edge -25.3 pts
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Ajax to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

Ajax5
Played
Shelbourne4
Ajax3.4
Avg goals for
Shelbourne2.3
Ajax1.4
Avg goals against
Shelbourne2.3
Ajax0
Clean sheets
Shelbourne0
Market aligned with main pickAjax to WinBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 94% · edge -25.3 pts
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Season data supports Ajax to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Ajax Over 2.5
100%Shelbourne Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Ajax sit at 100% and Shelbourne sit at 100%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.