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Sunderland crestSunderland
v
Rennes crestRennes

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 15 Aug, 15:00

Sunderland v Rennes Stats

Data last updated: Fri 14 Aug 2026, 07:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sunderland hosts Rennes in a friendly that contrasts defensive discipline with attacking openness. Sunderland arrives on the back of consecutive clean sheets and solid defensive displays under Regis Le Bris, who boasts a perfect competitive record against Rennes. Rennes, meanwhile, have featured high-scoring games with goals at both ends in every recent match, led by prolific scorer Esteban Lepaul. Despite minor injury concerns for Sunderland's defense, their recent form and tactical solidity set the stage for a competitive encounter where both teams are expected to find the net.

BT4Y best bet

Sunderland to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Sunderland have kept clean sheets in their last two friendlies, showing strong defensive control.
  • Rennes have conceded 13 goals in their last six matches, indicating defensive vulnerability.
  • Both teams have scored in all of Rennes' last six matches, highlighting their attacking threat.
  • Regis Le Bris has won all four competitive matches against Rennes, adding tactical .

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model sees clear value in Sunderland to win with both teams scoring, assigning a 41.3% chance versus the market's 21.7% implied probability. Sunderland's recent defensive solidity contrasts with Rennes' tendency to concede multiple goals, while Rennes' consistent scoring ensures they will likely breach Sunderland's defense. This combination creates a compelling case for a home win with goals at both ends. The model is moderate, reflecting some uncertainty due to Sunderland's minor defensive injuries and Rennes' attacking potency.

Defensive FormSunderland's consecutive clean sheets and strong defensive record
Strong positive
Attacking ThreatRennes scoring in every recent match with Lepaul leading
Positive
Managerial EdgeLe Bris' unbeaten record against Rennes
Positive
Price ValueMarket odds offer significant value over model chance
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Sunderland's disciplined defensive approach and recent shutouts provide a strong foundation for victory, while Rennes' persistent scoring threat ensures goals at both ends. This tactical contrast and form data support a Sunderland win with both teams scoring in this final pre-season friendly.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match outcome and goals

“Sunderland's defensive resilience combined with Rennes' attacking openness creates a fascinating tactical battle, making a home win with goals at both ends a compelling prediction.”

Key Data Signals

Sunderland to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Sunderland have kept clean sheets in their last two friendlies, showing strong defensive control.

Rennes have conceded 13 goals in their last six matches, indicating defensive vulnerability.

Both teams have scored in all of Rennes' last six matches, highlighting their attacking threat.

Regis Le Bris has won all four competitive matches against Rennes, adding tactical .

What To Watch In The Data

Sunderland to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • The last six Rennes matches have averaged 4.33 goals with both teams scoring each time, indicating a high-tempo, open style prone to goals.
  • Sunderland's recent matches show a 50% over 2.5 goals rate, suggesting this fixture is likely to feature multiple goals, driven by Rennes' attacking openness and Sunderland's capacity to capitalize on defensive lapses.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sunderland3.5
Avg goals scored
Rennes2.2
Sunderland0.5
Avg goals conceded
Rennes2.2
Sunderland50%
BTTS rate
Rennes100%
Sunderland50%
Over 2.5 goals
Rennes100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Rennes' last six matches have all featured goals at both ends, averaging 4.33 goals per game, while Sunderland have kept clean sheets in their last two friendlies. This contrast suggests a match where Sunderland's defense will be tested but Rennes are likely to score, supporting the both teams to score element alongside a Sunderland win.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSunderland Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 58% · edge +8.1 pts
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Sunderland to WinBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The current of 4.6 for Sunderland to win and both teams to score reflect significant value compared to the model's 41.3% chance. This price sensitivity suggests the market underestimates Sunderland's defensive improvements and Rennes' consistent scoring, making the selection an attractive betting opportunity without major price warnings.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Sunderland v Rennes predictionplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sunderland

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
08 Aug 2026A Lens2-0
18 Jul 2026A York5-1

Rennes

LLDWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 3L
08 Aug 2026H Brentford2-4
08 Aug 2026H Brentford U211-2
02 Aug 2026A Galatasaray3-3
25 Jul 2026H Club Brugge KV2-1
17 Jul 2026H Guingamp3-1
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 83% vs implied 74% · edge +9.3 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Sunderland Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Sunderland to WinBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Sunderland's recent form includes four wins from six friendlies and two consecutive clean sheets, highlighting defensive improvements and attacking efficiency. Rennes have scored in every match but conceded 13 goals in six games, reflecting an open style that contrasts with Sunderland's solidity. This form dynamic underpins the expectation of a Sunderland win with goals at both ends.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Sunderland wins
0Draws
0Rennes wins
Market aligned with main pickSunderland to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 47% · edge +10.7 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
No recent head-to-head data exists for Sunderland versus Rennes, limiting direct historical comparison. However, Regis Le Bris' unbeaten competitive record against Rennes with previous clubs provides a tactical narrative advantage for Sunderland, which may influence team and approach in this friendly.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Sunderland3
Played
Rennes7
Sunderland3
Avg goals for
Rennes1.9
Sunderland0.7
Avg goals against
Rennes2.1
Sunderland1
Clean sheets
Rennes0
Market aligned with main pickSunderland Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 58% · edge +8.1 pts
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Load more odds for this section
Sunderland to WinBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Sunderland's defensive record last season was among the best in the Premier League, conceding 48 goals, while Rennes' recent friendlies show a high goals conceded rate. Sunderland's ability to keep clean sheets in August friendlies contrasts with Rennes' average of 2.33 goals conceded per game, reinforcing Sunderland's defensive strength as a key factor in the match outcome.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Sunderland Over 2.5
100%Rennes Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The last six Rennes matches have averaged 4.33 goals with both teams scoring each time, indicating a high-tempo, open style prone to goals. Sunderland's recent matches show a 50% over 2.5 goals rate, suggesting this fixture is likely to feature multiple goals, driven by Rennes' attacking openness and Sunderland's capacity to capitalize on defensive lapses.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Sunderland v Rennes prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Competition and hubs

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Betting context

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