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Spain U21 crestSpain U21
v
Japan U21 crestJapan U21

Friendlies | Fri 13 Nov, 18:00

Spain U21 v Japan U21 Stats

Data last updated: Thu 12 Nov 2026, 01:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly match between Spain U21 and Japan U21 presents an intriguing tactical clash as both sides look to test their squads ahead of competitive fixtures. Japan U21 arrives with recent positive momentum, having secured 6 points in their latest outings and showing a more consistent defensive shape. Spain U21's data is limited, making their current form and lineup less predictable. Japan's disciplined approach and ability to capitalize on transitions could prove decisive in this encounter, especially given Spain's thinner recent data and uncertain defensive stability.

BT4Y best bet

Japan U21 to Win

  • Japan U21 holds a strong recent form with 6 points from recent matches compared to Spain U21's 0 points.
  • Japan U21 averages 1.25 goals scored and concedes 1 goal per game, indicating balanced offensive and defensive output.
  • Japan U21's Over 2.5 Goals rate stands at 50%, suggesting moderate goal-scoring potential in matches.
  • No head-to-head data exists, increasing the importance of current form and tactical readiness.
  • Spain U21 data is limited, increasing uncertainty but Japan's consistent form offers a clearer edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Japan U21 to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior recent form and more complete data profile. Japan's ability to maintain a solid defensive record while scoring consistently supports this . The price offers strong value given the implied chance is only 16.7%, highlighting a significant edge. However, the limited data on Spain U21 means final line-ups and tactical adjustments could influence the outcome, so cautious staking is advised.

Recent FormJapan U21 has 6 points recently vs Spain U21's 0
Strong positive
Goals Scored/ConcededJapan U21 averages 1.25 goals for and 1 against
Positive
Price Value19.3% model chance vs 16.7% implied (+2.6 pts)
Strong positive
Data QualityLimited Spain U21 data increases uncertainty
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Japan U21's recent form and balanced scoring and defensive record make them the stronger side in this friendly. Their ability to control tempo and exploit Spain U21's less established defensive data suggests they can secure a win. Japan's tactical discipline and momentum provide a solid foundation for victory in this matchup.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Japan U21's consistent recent performances and tactical maturity position them well to capitalize on Spain U21's limited recent data and potential defensive vulnerabilities in this friendly.”

Key Data Signals

Japan U21 to Win evidence

Japan U21 holds a strong recent form with 6 points from recent matches compared to Spain U21's 0 points.

Japan U21 averages 1.25 goals scored and concedes 1 goal per game, indicating balanced offensive and defensive output.

Japan U21's Over 2.5 Goals rate stands at 50%, suggesting moderate goal-scoring potential in matches.

No head-to-head data exists, increasing the importance of current form and tactical readiness.

What To Watch In The Data

Japan U21 to Win notes

  • Over the last five matches, Japan U21 has a 50% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating a moderate tempo with balanced attacking and defensive phases.
  • This trend suggests the match could feature goal opportunities but is unlikely to be a high-scoring shootout, emphasizing tactical discipline and efficiency.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Spain U21

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Spain U21 yet.

Japan U21

WWLL
Last 52W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 2L
08 Jun 2026H Ukraine U213-0
05 Jun 2026A Uzbekistan U231-0
29 Mar 2026A Korea Republic U231-2
27 Mar 2026H USA U210-2
Market aligned with main pickJapan U21 to WinBetUK guide price · Model 19% vs implied 17% · edge +2.6 pts
6
Check odds @ 6
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Japan U21 Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.57
Check odds @ 2.57
Japan U21's recent form is strong, with 6 points gained and consistent goal scoring and conceding patterns. Spain U21's lack of recent points and limited data suggest they are less settled, giving Japan a momentum advantage heading into this friendly encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Spain U21-
Avg goals scored
Japan U211.25
Spain U21-
Avg goals conceded
Japan U211
Spain U21-
BTTS rate
Japan U2125%
Spain U21-
Over 2.5 goals
Japan U2150%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 44% · edge +10.5 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Japan U21's matches show a 50% rate of Over 2.5 goals and a 25% BTTS rate, indicating moderate scoring games with occasional clean sheets. This suggests Japan can both score and defend effectively, shaping a balanced game with goal opportunities but not necessarily high-scoring affairs.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickJapan U21 to WinBetUK guide price · Model 19% vs implied 17% · edge +2.6 pts
6
Check odds @ 6
Load more odds for this section
Japan U21 Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
The 19.3% for Japan U21 to Win sits against roughly 16.7% implied by the current price (+2.6 pts). Japan U21 have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for Spain U21.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Spain U21 Over 2.5
50%Japan U21 Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Japan U21 has a 50% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating a moderate tempo with balanced attacking and defensive phases. This trend suggests the match could feature goal opportunities but is unlikely to be a high-scoring shootout, emphasizing tactical discipline and efficiency.

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