Football Stats Hub

Saudi Arabia crestSaudi Arabia
v
South Korea crestSouth Korea

Friendlies | Fri 13 Nov, 14:30

Saudi Arabia v South Korea Stats

Data last updated: Thu 12 Nov 2026, 01:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

South Korea enters this friendly against Saudi Arabia with a strong recent form, having accumulated 10 points compared to Saudi Arabia's 4 in their last fixtures. South Korea's more efficient defense, conceding only 0.8 goals per game, contrasts with Saudi Arabia's 1.6, suggesting a tactical edge. The match offers both teams a chance to test attacking options and defensive solidity ahead of competitive fixtures, with South Korea likely to leverage their sharper offensive threat and more disciplined defensive structure in this encounter.

BT4Y best bet

South Korea to Win

  • South Korea has a 70% to win, with offering positive value at 1.8.
  • South Korea averages 11 shots and 5.4 shots on target per game, indicating strong offensive pressure.
  • Saudi Arabia concedes twice as many goals per game (1.6) compared to South Korea (0.8).
  • South Korea's recent form shows 10 points gained versus Saudi Arabia's 4, highlighting momentum advantage.
  • South Korea's top attackers, Son Heung-Min and Cho Gue-Sung, have high goal threat indexes and shot volumes.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors South Korea to win due to their superior recent form, stronger defensive record, and higher offensive output. South Korea's average of 11 shots per game with 5.4 on target reflects their attacking efficiency, while Saudi Arabia's defensive vulnerabilities and lower scoring rate increase the likelihood of a South Korean victory. The positive of 14.4% at of 1.8 supports this pick as a solid betting opportunity. No price warnings are present, allowing for standard stake .

Recent FormSouth Korea 10 points vs Saudi Arabia 4 points
Strong positive
Defensive StrengthSouth Korea concedes 0.8 goals/game vs Saudi Arabia 1.6
Strong positive
Offensive PressureSouth Korea averages 11 shots and 5.4 SOT per game
Strong positive
Value Edge70% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+14.4 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

South Korea's tactical discipline and superior recent form make them the likely winners in this friendly. Their defensive solidity and potent attack, led by key players, provide a clear edge over Saudi Arabia, who have struggled defensively and lack recent momentum.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · South Korea to Win

“South Korea's combination of defensive resilience and attacking firepower, especially through Son Heung-Min and Cho Gue-Sung, positions them strongly to control this match and secure victory.”

Key Data Signals

South Korea to Win evidence

South Korea has a 70% to win, with offering positive value at 1.8.

South Korea averages 11 shots and 5.4 shots on target per game, indicating strong offensive pressure.

Saudi Arabia concedes twice as many goals per game (1.6) compared to South Korea (0.8).

South Korea's recent form shows 10 points gained versus Saudi Arabia's 4, highlighting momentum advantage.

What To Watch In The Data

South Korea to Win notes

  • Over the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is low at 1 per game, suggesting tight contests.
  • However, South Korea's recent attacking form and Saudi Arabia's defensive weaknesses suggest a potential for more open play and goals in this friendly.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Saudi Arabia1
Avg goals scored
South Korea1.4
Saudi Arabia1.6
Avg goals conceded
South Korea0.8
Saudi Arabia40%
BTTS rate
South Korea20%
Saudi Arabia80%
Over 2.5 goals
South Korea40%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 47% · edge +4.8 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 33%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 47%
2
Check odds @ 2
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Recent form data shows Saudi Arabia has an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, while South Korea's rate is 40%, indicating contrasting attacking styles. Both teams have low BTTS rates, especially South Korea at 20%, suggesting a lower likelihood of both teams scoring and a moderate goal total expected.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Friendlies hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSouth Korea to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 56% · edge +14.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
South Korea Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 47%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The 70% for South Korea to Win sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+14.4 pts). South Korea have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Saudi Arabia.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Saudi Arabia

DWLLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 3L
10 Jun 2026H Senegal0-0
06 Jun 2026A Puerto Rico3-0
31 May 2026A Ecuador1-2
31 Mar 2026A Serbia1-2
27 Mar 2026H Egypt0-4

South Korea

WDLWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 3L
06 Oct 2026H Uzbekistan2-0
02 Oct 2026H Venezuela0-0
28 Sep 2026H Uruguay1-4
24 Sep 2026H Ecuador3-0
04 Jun 2026H El Salvador1-0
Market aligned with main pickSouth Korea to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 56% · edge +14.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
South Korea Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
South Korea's recent form is markedly stronger, with 10 points gained compared to Saudi Arabia's 4. South Korea's defensive record is also superior, conceding fewer goals per game, which supports their likelihood to control the match tempo and limit Saudi Arabia's scoring opportunities.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Saudi Arabia Over 2.5
40%South Korea Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
Over the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is low at 1 per game, suggesting tight contests. However, South Korea's recent attacking form and Saudi Arabia's defensive weaknesses suggest a potential for more open play and goals in this friendly.

Loading deeper match data…