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England U21 crestEngland U21
v
Portugal U21 crestPortugal U21

Friendlies | Fri 13 Nov, 19:30

England U21 v Portugal U21 Stats

Data last updated: Thu 12 Nov 2026, 01:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly between England U21 and Portugal U21 promises an open and attacking encounter. Portugal U21 enter on a strong recent run, scoring four goals in their last match and maintaining a 100% rate of games over 2.5 goals. England U21 data is limited but their youthful squad is known for offensive intent. Both sides will likely prioritize attacking play to impress ahead of competitive fixtures, setting the stage for a high-scoring game under neutral conditions.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Portugal U21 have scored 4 goals in their last match with 100% over 2.5 goals rate.
  • England U21 data is limited but youth squads often play open, attacking football.
  • Recent form favors a high-scoring game with Portugal U21 conceding no goals but scoring freely.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 1.5 from 2 matches, but recent form suggests more goals now.
  • Model projects a 58% chance for Over 3.5 Goals with positive value at 2.25 .

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a strong value bet with a 58% chance against a 44.4% implied probability from the , yielding a 13.6% . Portugal U21's recent matches show prolific scoring and a consistent trend of high goal totals, while England U21's limited data suggests an attacking approach typical of youth friendlies. The level at 73% supports the likelihood of an open game with multiple goals. The thinner England data advises monitoring team news and line-ups for confirmation.

Portugal U21 recent scoring4 goals in last match, 100% over 2.5 rate
Strong positive
Model chance vs implied odds58% model chance vs 44.4% implied (+13.6 pts)
Strong positive
England U21 data qualityLimited data, cautious interpretation
Neutral
Confidence level73% confidence in model pick
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking friendly where Portugal U21's recent goal-scoring form and England U21's youthful attacking style combine for a high-scoring match. Portugal's offensive momentum and the nature of youth friendlies support the Over 3.5 Goals pick, making it a compelling choice for bettors seeking excitement and value.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and match tempo

“Portugal U21's recent offensive output and England U21's attacking youth setup create ideal conditions for a goal-rich friendly. The Over 3.5 Goals market captures the likely open tempo and scoring chances in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Portugal U21 have scored 4 goals in their last match with 100% over 2.5 goals rate.

England U21 data is limited but youth squads often play open, attacking football.

Recent form favors a high-scoring game with Portugal U21 conceding no goals but scoring freely.

Head-to-head average goals stand at 1.5 from 2 matches, but recent form suggests more goals now.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Recent matches involving Portugal U21 show a 100% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, indicating a strong trend toward high-scoring games in the last five fixtures.
  • The head-to-head average goals of 1.5 from two matches is low but less relevant given current attacking form.
  • The tempo and offensive intent suggest Over 2.5 Goals is a reliable trend indicator for this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

England U21-
Avg goals scored
Portugal U214
England U21-
Avg goals conceded
Portugal U210
England U21-
BTTS rate
Portugal U210%
England U21-
Over 2.5 goals
Portugal U21100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 44% · edge +13.6 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 33%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Portugal U21's last match featured 4 goals with no goals conceded, highlighting their attacking strength and defensive solidity. England U21's limited data prevents firm conclusions, but youth friendlies often see open play. The BTTS rate for Portugal is 0%, suggesting Portugal may dominate scoring, but the overall goal volume supports Over 3.5 Goals through Portugal's firepower and England's potential to contribute.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

England U21

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for England U21 yet.

Portugal U21

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
03 Jun 2026H Northern Ireland U214-0
Best odds for this sectionPortugal U21 Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 42% vs implied 39% · edge +3.5 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Portugal U21 to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
England U21 to WinBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
England U21 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Portugal U21's recent form is impressive, scoring 4 goals in their last match and maintaining a 100% rate of games over 2.5 goals. England U21's recent form data is limited, but their matches often feature open play. This contrast and Portugal's offensive momentum strongly favor a high-scoring encounter consistent with the Over 3.5 Goals pick.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Friendlies fixtures and predictionsplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 65% · edge +12.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Portugal U21 Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Portugal U21 to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
England U21 to WinBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
England U21 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
The 58% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 44.4% implied by the current price (+13.6 pts).
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-England U21 Over 2.5
100%Portugal U21 Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
Recent matches involving Portugal U21 show a 100% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, indicating a strong trend toward high-scoring games in the last five fixtures. The head-to-head average goals of 1.5 from two matches is low but less relevant given current attacking form. The tempo and offensive intent suggest Over 2.5 Goals is a reliable trend indicator for this fixture.

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