Bulgaria
IcelandUEFA Nations League | Fri 13 Nov, 19:45
Bulgaria v Iceland Stats
Data last updated: Wed 11 Nov 2026, 10:08 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Bulgaria face Iceland in UEFA Nations League on Fri 13 Nov, 19:45. Bulgaria vs Iceland Preview: Unbeaten Visitors Target Another Nations League Victory. Iceland’s unbeaten run and three consecutive clean sheets provide a solid defensive base for an away win. Iceland's unbeaten run puts them in control
Iceland to Win
- At 4/5, Iceland to Win implies roughly 56%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
- Iceland's challenge in Plovdiv will be to reproduce their attacking authority away from home.
- Iceland have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Bulgaria.
- Iceland have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.25 conceded per match, which helps the Iceland to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
- Bulgaria sit 3 in the table, while Iceland sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 70% for Iceland to Win sits against roughly 56% implied by the current price. Iceland have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Bulgaria. Iceland's challenge in Plovdiv will be to reproduce their attacking authority away from home.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Iceland Win is the preferred angle because iceland's challenge in Plovdiv will be to reproduce their attacking authority away from home. Iceland have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Bulgaria. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.
Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.
Key Data Signals
Iceland to Win evidence
Iceland's challenge in Plovdiv will be to reproduce their attacking authority away from home.
Iceland have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Bulgaria.
Iceland have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.25 conceded per match, which helps the Iceland Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Bulgaria sit 3 in the table, while Iceland sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
Iceland to Win notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
No priced odds are available for this section yet.
Continue the research
Useful next reads
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Bulgaria
Iceland
No priced odds are available for this section yet.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
No priced odds are available for this section yet.
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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