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Serbia crestSerbia
v
Germany crestGermany

UEFA Nations League | Fri 13 Nov, 19:45

Serbia v Germany Stats

Data last updated: Wed 11 Nov 2026, 10:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Serbia face Germany in UEFA Nations League on Fri 13 Nov, 19:45. Germany are favourites after a narrow reverse fixture win and have the quality to control the match. Serbia's consistent pattern of conceding exactly two goals and scoring in most defeats supports a 1-2 scoreline.

BT4Y best bet

Germany to win and both teams to score

  • At 8/5, Germany to win and both teams to score implies roughly 39%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 45%.
  • Germany's ability to score twice against a leaky defence makes this a logical correct-score pick, despite their recent attacking inconsistency.
  • Germany need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Serbia on 0 and Germany on 5.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 75% for Serbia and 25% for Germany.
  • Germany to win and both teams to score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 0.75 for Serbia and 0.75 for Germany are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 45% for Germany to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 39% implied by the current price. Germany need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Serbia on 0 and Germany on 5. Germany's ability to score twice against a leaky defence makes this a logical correct-score pick, despite their recent attacking inconsistency.

Model chance vs price45% model chance against roughly 39% implied
Positive
Germany need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Germany's ability to score twice against a leaky defence.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Germany Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because germany's ability to score twice against a leaky defence makes this a logical correct-score pick, despite their recent attacking inconsistency. Germany need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Serbia on 0 and Germany on 5. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Germany to win and both teams to score evidence

Germany's ability to score twice against a leaky defence makes this a logical correct-score pick, despite their recent.

Germany need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Serbia on 0 and Germany on 5.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 75% for Serbia and 25% for Germany.

Germany Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 0.75 for Serbia and 0.75 for Germany are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Germany to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Serbia0.75
Avg goals scored
Germany0.75
Serbia2
Avg goals conceded
Germany0.5
Serbia75%
BTTS rate
Germany25%
Serbia75%
Over 2.5 goals
Germany0%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Serbia

LLLL
Last 50W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 4L
04 Oct 2026A Netherlands1-2
01 Oct 2026A Germany0-2
27 Sep 2026H Netherlands1-2
24 Sep 2026H Greece1-2

Germany

DWLD
Last 51W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 1L
04 Oct 2026A Greece0-0
01 Oct 2026H Serbia2-0
27 Sep 2026H Greece0-1
24 Sep 2026A Netherlands1-1

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

75%Serbia Over 2.5
0%Germany Over 2.5
1.67H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Serbia sit at 75% and Germany sit at 0% with the H2H average at 1.67 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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