Scotland
FYR MacedoniaUEFA Nations League | Fri 13 Nov, 19:45
Scotland v FYR Macedonia Stats
Data last updated: Thu 12 Nov 2026, 10:18 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Scotland hosts FYR Macedonia in a UEFA Nations League clash where both teams face attacking challenges. Scotland, despite recent home struggles, aim to leverage the returns of Che Adams and Scott McTominay to improve their offensive output against a Macedonia side yet to score in the competition. Macedonia's lack of shots on target and goal drought contrast with Scotland's defensive solidity, having kept three consecutive clean sheets. The fixture promises a tactical battle with Scotland seeking to control possession and capitalize on Macedonia's defensive vulnerabilities, while Macedonia will look to contain and counterattack under pressure at Hampden Park.
Under 2.5 Goals
- North Macedonia have managed only one shot on target in four Nations League matches.
- Scotland have scored just twice in four group games, both in the reverse fixture.
- Scotland have kept three consecutive clean sheets in their last three wins.
- North Macedonia have failed to score in their last four matches, highlighting attacking struggles.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 55.8% chance, reflecting the low attacking output from both sides. Scotland's recent clean sheets and Macedonia's minimal shots on target support a low-scoring game. The at 2.2 offer positive value given the implied 45.5% chance. The defensive strengths and attacking limitations of both teams create a strong case for a match with fewer than three goals. No data limitations affect in this prediction.
A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Match tactical and statistical analysis
“Scotland's defensive discipline and Macedonia's minimal attacking threat set the stage for a low-scoring encounter. The tactical emphasis on possession control and transition defense supports the Under 2.5 Goals outcome.”
Key Data Signals
Under 2.5 Goals evidence
North Macedonia have managed only one shot on target in four Nations League matches.
Scotland have scored just twice in four group games, both in the reverse fixture.
Scotland have kept three consecutive clean sheets in their last three wins.
North Macedonia have failed to score in their last four matches, highlighting attacking struggles.
What To Watch In The Data
Under 2.5 Goals notes
- In the last five matches between these teams and in this competition, the average goals scored is 2, supporting a trend towards low-scoring games.
- The tempo and tactical setups favor controlled possession and defensive organization, making Over 2.5 Goals less likely in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
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Recent form
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Scotland
FYR Macedonia
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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