Football Stats Hub

Chinese Taipei crestChinese Taipei
v
Kyrgyzstan crestKyrgyzstan

Friendlies | Fri 13 Nov, 12:00

Chinese Taipei v Kyrgyzstan Stats

Data last updated: Thu 12 Nov 2026, 01:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly between Chinese Taipei and Kyrgyzstan presents a tactical clash where both sides have shown contrasting scoring patterns recently. Chinese Taipei has struggled offensively, failing to score in their last outings, while Kyrgyzstan has been more productive but with a tendency for tighter matches. The encounter is likely to be cautious, with both teams prioritizing defensive solidity over open attacking play, reflecting the typical cautious approach in international friendlies where experimentation and fitness are key.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Chinese Taipei has not scored in recent matches, indicating offensive struggles.
  • Kyrgyzstan averages 1.2 goals conceded per game, suggesting defensive resilience.
  • Chinese Taipei has a 0% rate of matches over 2.5 goals, supporting a low-scoring game.
  • Kyrgyzstan’s 60% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with their recent defensive form, indicating inconsistency.
  • Head-to-head meetings have averaged 4 goals, but recent form favors fewer goals this time.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 61.4% probability, reflecting the low scoring output from Chinese Taipei and Kyrgyzstan’s mixed defensive record. Despite Kyrgyzstan’s occasional higher-scoring games, the overall trend and recent form data suggest a tighter match with fewer goals. The at 2.88 offer positive value given the model’s and the tactical context of a cautious friendly match. No data limitations affect this view, making it a solid statistical and football-based selection.

Chinese Taipei scoring form0 goals recently
Strong positive
Kyrgyzstan defensive record1.2 goals conceded per game
Positive
Over 2.5 goals rateChinese Taipei 0%, Kyrgyzstan 60%
Neutral
Head-to-head average goals4 goals in 2 matches
Neutral
Match typeFriendly with tactical caution
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a tactically cautious friendly where both Chinese Taipei and Kyrgyzstan focus on defensive discipline rather than attacking risk. The low recent scoring from Chinese Taipei combined with Kyrgyzstan’s moderate defensive solidity supports a match with fewer than three goals. This selection aligns well with the teams’ current form and the nature of international friendlies.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match scoring expectation

“This fixture is likely to be a tight, low-scoring affair given Chinese Taipei’s offensive struggles and Kyrgyzstan’s balanced defensive approach. The Under 2.5 Goals market reflects the realistic expectation of a cautious game with limited clear-cut chances.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Chinese Taipei has not scored in recent matches, indicating offensive struggles.

Kyrgyzstan averages 1.2 goals conceded per game, suggesting defensive resilience.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Recent head-to-head meetings have averaged 4 goals, suggesting potential for more open play historically.
  • However, the last five matches for both teams show a trend towards fewer goals, with Chinese Taipei’s zero scoring and Kyrgyzstan’s defensive adjustments.
  • This trend points to a slower tempo and fewer scoring opportunities in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Chinese Taipei0
Avg goals scored
Kyrgyzstan2
Chinese Taipei2
Avg goals conceded
Kyrgyzstan1.2
Chinese Taipei0%
BTTS rate
Kyrgyzstan40%
Chinese Taipei0%
Over 2.5 goals
Kyrgyzstan60%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 40%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 25%
2
Check odds @ 2
Chinese Taipei has failed to score in recent matches and has a 0% BTTS rate, indicating a low likelihood of both teams scoring. Kyrgyzstan’s BTTS rate is 40%, showing some attacking threat but inconsistent finishing. The goal trends suggest a match leaning towards fewer goals and possibly a clean sheet for Chinese Taipei.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionChinese Taipei Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 31% vs implied 16% · edge +15 pts
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
Load more odds for this section
Kyrgyzstan to WinBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Kyrgyzstan Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Chinese Taipei to WinBet365 guide price · model 13%
9
Check odds @ 9
DrawBetfred guide price · model 14%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 40%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The 49.7% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 34.7% implied by the current price (+15 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Chinese Taipei and 60% for Kyrgyzstan, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Chinese Taipei

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
11 Nov 2026A Vietnam0-2

Kyrgyzstan

WWDDL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 2L
04 Oct 2026H Lebanon3-1
28 Sep 2026H Maldives5-0
09 Jun 2026H Palestine0-0
06 Jun 2026H Palestine0-0
28 Mar 2026H Madagascar2-5
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
4
Check odds @ 4
Load more odds for this section
Chinese Taipei Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 31%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 84%
1.06
Check odds @ 1.06
Kyrgyzstan to WinBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Kyrgyzstan Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Chinese Taipei to WinBet365 guide price · model 13%
9
Check odds @ 9
DrawBetfred guide price · model 14%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Chinese Taipei’s recent form shows no goals scored and zero points, highlighting offensive difficulties. Kyrgyzstan has earned 8 points with a modest goal tally and a 60% over 2.5 goals rate, though recent matches suggest more defensive caution. This contrast supports a low-scoring outcome with Chinese Taipei’s struggles likely to limit overall goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Chinese Taipei Over 2.5
60%Kyrgyzstan Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
Recent head-to-head meetings have averaged 4 goals, suggesting potential for more open play historically. However, the last five matches for both teams show a trend towards fewer goals, with Chinese Taipei’s zero scoring and Kyrgyzstan’s defensive adjustments. This trend points to a slower tempo and fewer scoring opportunities in this fixture.

Loading deeper match data…