Football Stats Hub

Moldova crestMoldova
v
Kazakhstan crestKazakhstan

UEFA Nations League | Fri 13 Nov, 17:00

Moldova v Kazakhstan Stats

Data last updated: Thu 12 Nov 2026, 09:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Kazakhstan and Moldova face off in a UEFA Nations League Group C3 clash, both still seeking their first win after two matches. Kazakhstan returns home after two away fixtures, boasting a strong home record with three wins in their last four matches, including multiple clean sheets. Moldova, however, arrive on a prolonged winless run away from home, having failed to win in their last ten away games but maintaining a consistent scoring threat on the road. This match is poised to be a tight contest with both sides relying on narrow margins to break their respective droughts, setting the stage for an intriguing battle of resilience and attacking intent.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Kazakhstan have scored in both recent away matches, showing consistent offensive threat.
  • Moldova have scored in six of their last seven away games despite a long winless streak.
  • Kazakhstan have kept clean sheets in three of their last four home wins, indicating defensive solidity.
  • Neither team has scored more than once in their Nations League matches so far, suggesting a low-scoring pattern.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Both Teams to Score selection is supported by Kazakhstan's reliable scoring in recent away fixtures and Moldova's consistent away goals despite their winless run. The model assigns a 76% chance to this outcome, reflecting strong bolstered by both teams' offensive patterns. Kazakhstan's home defensive strength poses a risk but Moldova's ability to find the net on the road balances this, making BTTS a credible pick with a positive of 21.5%.

Model Chance62.6% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance62.6% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+15 pts)
Positive
Value Edge62.6% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Kazakhstan Home Clean Sheets3 in last 4 wins
Neutral
Moldova Away ScoringScored in 6 of last 7 away games
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown the ability to score despite their struggles for wins, with Kazakhstan's home form providing a solid platform and Moldova's away goalscoring record ensuring they remain a threat. This balance of offensive capability and defensive resilience makes Both Teams to Score a sensible and tactically justified choice for this Nations League fixture.

Main risk

Both have collected one point from two matches, but Kazakhstan return home after successive away fixtures and have stronger recent results on their own ground.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“Kazakhstan's strong home defensive record contrasts with Moldova's persistent away scoring, setting up a match where both sides are likely to find the net despite tight margins.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Kazakhstan have scored in both recent away matches, showing consistent offensive threat.

Moldova have scored in six of their last seven away games despite a long winless streak.

Kazakhstan have kept clean sheets in three of their last four home wins, indicating defensive solidity.

Neither team has scored more than once in their Nations League matches so far, suggesting a low-scoring pattern.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last four meetings between these teams, the average goals scored is 2 per game, with three matches featuring fewer than three goals.
  • Both sides have shown low-scoring patterns in the Nations League, but recent form and attacking data suggest a moderate tempo with chances for goals from both teams, supporting an Over 2.5 goals trend as a secondary angle.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Moldova0.75
Avg goals scored
Kazakhstan1.25
Moldova2
Avg goals conceded
Kazakhstan1.75
Moldova50%
BTTS rate
Kazakhstan100%
Moldova50%
Over 2.5 goals
Kazakhstan75%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Both Kazakhstan and Moldova have scored in recent matches, with Kazakhstan netting in both away fixtures and Moldova scoring in six of their last seven away games. Although neither team has scored more than once per game in the Nations League so far, their combined offensive tendencies support the likelihood of both teams scoring in this fixture.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more UEFA Nations League analysisMoldova v Kazakhstan predictioncorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Moldova to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Moldova Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Kazakhstan to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Kazakhstan Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The 62.6% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 47.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Moldova show a 50% BTTS rate and Kazakhstan show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The Both Teams To Score (Yes) market requires Kazakhstan and Moldova to each score at least one goal during 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Moldova

LWDL
Last 51W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 2L
06 Oct 2026H Slovakia0-4
02 Oct 2026A Kazakhstan2-1
29 Sep 2026H Faroe Islands1-1
26 Sep 2026A Slovakia0-2

Kazakhstan

DLLD
Last 50W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 2L
06 Oct 2026H Faroe Islands2-2
02 Oct 2026H Moldova1-2
29 Sep 2026A Slovakia1-2
26 Sep 2026A Faroe Islands1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 71% · edge +3.9 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
Moldova to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Moldova Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Kazakhstan to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Kazakhstan Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Recent form shows Kazakhstan with 2 points from two matches, scoring 1.25 goals per game while conceding 1.75, and Moldova with 4 points, scoring 0.75 and conceding 2 per game. Both teams have a 50% rate for matches over 2.5 goals and Moldova a 50% BTTS rate, Kazakhstan 100%, indicating offensive capabilities despite defensive vulnerabilities, supporting the BTTS selection.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Moldova Over 2.5
75%Kazakhstan Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Over the last four meetings between these teams, the average goals scored is 2 per game, with three matches featuring fewer than three goals. Both sides have shown low-scoring patterns in the Nations League, but recent form and attacking data suggest a moderate tempo with chances for goals from both teams, supporting an Over 2.5 goals trend as a secondary angle.

Loading deeper match data…