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Argentina crestArgentina
v
Uruguay crestUruguay

Friendlies | Fri 13 Nov, 23:00

Argentina v Uruguay Stats

Data last updated: Thu 12 Nov 2026, 01:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Argentina and Uruguay meet in a friendly where attacking intent and open play are expected to dominate. Argentina's recent matches show a strong scoring trend, averaging 3.8 goals per game with an 80% rate of over 2.5 goals, while Uruguay also contributes with 2.4 goals per game and a 60% over 2.5 rate. Both teams have shown offensive recently, suggesting a lively encounter with multiple goal-scoring opportunities. Defensive solidity is less pronounced, increasing the likelihood of a high-scoring game in this South American clash.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Argentina averages 3.8 goals per game with 80% over 2.5 goals rate.
  • Uruguay scores 2.4 goals per game and hits over 2.5 goals 60% of the time.
  • Recent form shows Argentina has kept clean sheets but still participates in high-scoring matches.
  • Shot data reveals Argentina averages 20.4 shots and 10 on target per game, indicating strong attacking pressure.
  • Player stats highlight multiple Argentine attackers with high shot volumes and goal threat.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 60.3% chance for over 2.5 goals, reflecting strong attacking outputs from both sides. Argentina's prolific shot and goal numbers, combined with Uruguay's decent scoring and openness, create a favorable environment for multiple goals. The price at 2.05 offers positive value with an 11.5% edge, supported by the teams' recent offensive trends and shot volumes. No data limitations reduce , making this a well-supported selection for a high-scoring friendly.

Model Chance60.3% model chance vs 48.8% implied (+11.5 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Goals DataArgentina 3.8, Uruguay 2.4 goals per game
Strong positive
Shot VolumeArgentina averages 20.4 shots, Uruguay 13.2 per game
Positive
Price Value60.3% model chance vs 48.8% implied (+11.5 pts)
Strong positive
Data QualityNo limited data issues for either team
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking friendly where Argentina's offensive firepower and Uruguay's willingness to engage in open play should produce multiple goals. Argentina's high shot volume and goal-scoring form combine with Uruguay's decent scoring record to suggest over 2.5 goals is a sensible call in this matchup.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking tendencies and shot volume

“This fixture features two South American sides with strong attacking tendencies and recent high-scoring games, making over 2.5 goals a compelling option based on their offensive profiles and shot metrics.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Argentina averages 3.8 goals per game with 80% over 2.5 goals rate.

Uruguay scores 2.4 goals per game and hits over 2.5 goals 60% of the time.

Recent form shows Argentina has kept clean sheets but still participates in high-scoring matches.

Shot data reveals Argentina averages 20.4 shots and 10 on target per game, indicating strong attacking pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last nine meetings, the average goals per game is 1.56, a moderate figure.
  • However, recent form and attacking metrics suggest an upward trend in goals for this fixture, with both teams showing increased offensive output in their latest matches.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Argentina3.8
Avg goals scored
Uruguay2.4
Argentina0
Avg goals conceded
Uruguay1.2
Argentina0%
BTTS rate
Uruguay80%
Argentina80%
Over 2.5 goals
Uruguay60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 49% · edge +11.5 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Both teams have shown strong goal-scoring form recently, with Argentina averaging 3.8 goals and Uruguay 2.4 per game. While Argentina's BTTS rate is low, Uruguay's 80% BTTS rate suggests they often concede and score, supporting a high-scoring game with multiple goal events.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Friendlies fixtures and predictionsArgentina v Uruguay predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 49% · edge +11.5 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Argentina to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Uruguay Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Argentina Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Uruguay to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6
Check odds @ 6
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The 60.3% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 48.8% implied by the current price (+11.5 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Argentina and 60% for Uruguay, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Argentina won that farewell match 3-0 after earlier victories over Bolivia and Burkina Faso.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Argentina

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 0D 0L
07 Oct 2026H Benin3-0
04 Oct 2026H Burkina Faso7-0
01 Oct 2026H Bolivia4-0
10 Jun 2026H Iceland3-0
07 Jun 2026H Honduras2-0

Uruguay

WWLDD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 1L
06 Oct 2026A India6-1
28 Sep 2026A South Korea4-1
24 Sep 2026A Japan1-3
31 Mar 2026A Algeria0-0
27 Mar 2026A England1-1
Best odds for this sectionArgentina to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +9.5 pts
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Uruguay Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Argentina Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Uruguay to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6
Check odds @ 6
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4
Check odds @ 4
Recent form data shows Argentina with a strong over 2.5 goals rate of 80%, reflecting their offensive control in recent matches. Uruguay's 60% rate also supports the likelihood of multiple goals. Argentina's clean sheets coexist with high-scoring games, suggesting they can both score and concede in open play.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Argentina Over 2.5
60%Uruguay Over 2.5
1.56H2H avg goals
Over the last nine meetings, the average goals per game is 1.56, a moderate figure. However, recent form and attacking metrics suggest an upward trend in goals for this fixture, with both teams showing increased offensive output in their latest matches.

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