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Germany U21 crestGermany U21
v
Belgium U21 crestBelgium U21

Friendlies | Fri 13 Nov, 17:00

Germany U21 v Belgium U21 Stats

Data last updated: Thu 12 Nov 2026, 01:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly between Germany U21 and Belgium U21 presents an intriguing attacking contest. Belgium U21 have shown a strong tendency for high-scoring games recently, with all their latest matches exceeding 2.5 goals and both teams scoring consistently. Germany U21 data is limited, but their youth squads typically emphasize offensive development, suggesting an open game. The match offers a platform for both sides to test attacking options ahead of competitive fixtures, increasing the likelihood of goal-rich exchanges. Tactical openness and attacking intent set the stage for a lively encounter with multiple goal opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Belgium U21's last matches all went over 2.5 goals with both teams scoring.
  • H2H meetings average 5 goals per game, indicating attacking openness.
  • Germany U21 data is limited but youth sides often prioritize offensive play.
  • Model estimates a 58% chance for over 3.5 goals, with positive value at 2.25 .
  • Recent form and tactical context suggest an open, high-tempo friendly match.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 58% probability for over 3.5 goals, well above the 44.4% implied by current , indicating a 13.6% . Belgium U21's recent matches have consistently featured high goal totals and BTTS outcomes, supporting an expectation of open play. Although Germany U21's data is limited, youth friendlies often encourage attacking freedom, increasing scoring chances. This combination of recent form, historical head-to-head goal averages, and tactical openness underpins the model's in a high-scoring game. The pick is supported by a strong sample from Belgium and the attacking nature of U21 friendlies.

Belgium U21 recent over 2.5 rate100%
Strong positive
H2H average goals per match5
Strong positive
Germany U21 data availabilitylimited
Negative
Model chance vs implied chance58% model chance vs 44.4% implied (+13.6 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking friendly where Belgium U21's recent high-scoring form and Germany U21's developmental approach should combine to produce multiple goals. The historical head-to-head average of five goals per game and Belgium's consistent over 2.5 goal matches reinforce the likelihood of a goal-rich encounter. This match offers a good opportunity to back over 3.5 goals given the attacking styles and recent trends.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential

“Belgium U21's recent matches have been goal fests, and Germany U21's youth setup typically encourages attacking play, making over 3.5 goals a compelling angle in this friendly.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Belgium U21's last matches all went over 2.5 goals with both teams scoring.

H2H meetings average 5 goals per game, indicating attacking openness.

Germany U21 data is limited but youth sides often prioritize offensive play.

Model estimates a 58% chance for over 3.5 goals, with positive value at 2.25 .

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • In the last two head-to-head meetings, an average of 5 goals per game was recorded, indicating a strong trend toward high-scoring encounters.
  • This recent sample suggests a fast tempo and open play style, increasing the likelihood of over 2.5 goals and supporting the over 3.5 goals selection.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Germany U21

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Germany U21 yet.

Belgium U21

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
30 Mar 2026A Netherlands U211-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 86% · edge -7.6 pts
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
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Belgium U21 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Germany U21 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Germany U21 to WinBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Belgium U21 to WinBet365 guide price · model 22%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Belgium U21's recent form strongly favors high-scoring games, with a 100% over 2.5 goals rate and both teams scoring in all recent matches. Germany U21's limited recent data is less conclusive, but their youth matches traditionally feature open play and goal opportunities, aligning with the over 3.5 goals expectation.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Germany U21-
Avg goals scored
Belgium U211
Germany U21-
Avg goals conceded
Belgium U212
Germany U21-
BTTS rate
Belgium U21100%
Germany U21-
Over 2.5 goals
Belgium U21100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 44% · edge +13.6 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Belgium U21's recent matches have all featured both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals, highlighting their offensive potency and defensive vulnerabilities. The head-to-head average of 5 goals per game further supports expectations of a high-scoring game with goals at both ends, fitting the over 3.5 goals profile.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 65% · edge +12.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Belgium U21 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Germany U21 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Germany U21 to WinBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Belgium U21 to WinBet365 guide price · model 22%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
The 58% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 44.4% implied by the current price (+13.6 pts).
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Germany U21 Over 2.5
100%Belgium U21 Over 2.5
5H2H avg goals
In the last two head-to-head meetings, an average of 5 goals per game was recorded, indicating a strong trend toward high-scoring encounters. This recent sample suggests a fast tempo and open play style, increasing the likelihood of over 2.5 goals and supporting the over 3.5 goals selection.

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