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Rapid Wien II crestRapid Wien II
v
Donau crestDonau

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 13 Nov, 17:00

Rapid Wien II v Donau Stats

Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 01:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly clash between Rapid Wien II and Donau sets the stage for an open, attacking encounter. Rapid Wien II have demonstrated a potent offensive threat recently, boasting a perfect 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, while Donau also contribute to an expansive style with 80% of their games going over 2.5 goals. Both sides have shown vulnerabilities at the back, suggesting a fixture ripe for multiple goals. The match promises fluid attacking play with less defensive rigidity, typical of friendlies, making goal-scoring opportunities likely throughout.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Rapid Wien II have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate this season.
  • Donau record 80% of their matches with over 2.5 goals.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings average 5 goals per game.
  • Both teams have shown attacking intent but defensive frailties.
  • Model projects a 58% chance for over 3.5 goals, above market .

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a favorable bet with a 58% probability, exceeding the implied market chance of 53.2%, indicating slight value. Rapid Wien II's perfect over 2.5 goals record and Donau's high scoring matches underpin this projection. The average of 5 goals in their recent head-to-head further supports expectations of an open game with multiple goals. The friendly nature encourages attacking freedom, enhancing scoring chances. No data limitations or price warnings reduce , making this a solid selection with standard stake guidance.

Model Probability58% model chance vs 53.2% implied (+4.8 pts)
Strong positive
Rapid Wien II Over 2.5 Rate100% this season
Strong positive
Donau Over 2.5 Rate80% this season
Positive
Head-to-Head GoalsAverage 5 goals per match
Positive
Market Price Edge58% model chance vs 53.2% implied (+4.8 pts)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and entertaining friendly with Rapid Wien II's attacking prowess and Donau's willingness to engage offensively. The data highlights a strong trend for high-scoring games between these teams, making Over 3.5 Goals a logical choice. Tactical openness and recent scoring patterns suggest multiple goals are likely in this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential

“The attacking records and recent high-scoring meetings between Rapid Wien II and Donau suggest this friendly will be far from cagey. Both sides tend to concede and score freely, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling angle for bettors seeking excitement.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Rapid Wien II have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate this season.

Donau record 80% of their matches with over 2.5 goals.

Recent head-to-head meetings average 5 goals per game.

Both teams have shown attacking intent but defensive frailties.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • In the last two head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored reached 5 per game, indicating a strong trend for high-scoring encounters.
  • This recent history suggests a fast tempo and defensive gaps that facilitate multiple goals, aligning well with the Over 2.5 Goals trend and supporting the Over 3.5 Goals selection.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Rapid Wien II4
Avg goals scored
Donau2.4
Rapid Wien II1.4
Avg goals conceded
Donau2.2
Rapid Wien II100%
BTTS rate
Donau60%
Rapid Wien II100%
Over 2.5 goals
Donau80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 53% · edge +4.8 pts
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3
Check odds @ 3
Both teams show strong tendencies toward high-scoring games. Rapid Wien II have recorded over 2.5 goals in every match, while Donau's 80% rate also points to frequent goal-rich encounters. Their recent head-to-head average of 5 goals per game underscores the likelihood of multiple goals and supports the Over 3.5 Goals projection.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionRapid Wien II to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 67% · edge +7.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Donau to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
The 58% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 53.2% implied by the current price (+4.8 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Rapid Wien II and 80% for Donau, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rapid Wien II

WWDWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
24 Jul 2026A Gloggnitz3-1
14 Jul 2026A Fach-Donaufeld6-1
10 Jul 2026A Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf2-2
26 Jun 2026H Donau6-1
19 Jun 2026H Oberwart3-2

Donau

LDWWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 3L
30 Jul 2026A Hellas Kagran2-3
26 Jul 2026A St. Pölten II2-2
21 Jul 2026H Simmeringer SC5-0
18 Jul 2026A Gerasdorf Stammersdorf2-0
26 Jun 2026A Rapid Wien II1-6
Best odds for this sectionRapid Wien II to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 67% · edge +7.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Donau to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Recent form data shows Rapid Wien II accumulating 13 points with a perfect over 2.5 goals rate, highlighting their offensive consistency. Donau's 7 points and 80% over 2.5 rate indicate a similarly open approach. These trends suggest both teams are accustomed to matches with multiple goals, reinforcing the Over 3.5 Goals pick.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Rapid Wien II Over 2.5
80%Donau Over 2.5
5H2H avg goals
In the last two head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored reached 5 per game, indicating a strong trend for high-scoring encounters. This recent history suggests a fast tempo and defensive gaps that facilitate multiple goals, aligning well with the Over 2.5 Goals trend and supporting the Over 3.5 Goals selection.

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