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Slovenia crestSlovenia
v
Switzerland crestSwitzerland

UEFA Nations League | Fri 13 Nov, 19:45

Slovenia v Switzerland Stats

Data last updated: Wed 11 Nov 2026, 09:57 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Slovenia face Switzerland in UEFA Nations League on Fri 13 Nov, 19:45. Slovenia vs Switzerland Preview: Swiss Target Fifth Straight Nations League Victory. Switzerland look stronger on recent form, while Slovenia remain vulnerable after weaker results.

BT4Y best bet

Wins if Slovenia win or if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes

  • At 8/13, Wins if Slovenia win or if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes implies roughly 62%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • An early Swiss goal would significantly complicate Slovenia's approach, potentially forcing the hosts to abandon some of their defensive caution.
  • Switzerland have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 7 for Slovenia.
  • Switzerland have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.25 conceded per match, which helps the Wins if Slovenia win or if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes angle more than a raw.
  • Slovenia sit 2 in the table, while Switzerland sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Wins if Slovenia win or if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes sits against roughly 62% implied by the current price. Switzerland have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 7 for Slovenia. An early Swiss goal would significantly complicate Slovenia's approach, potentially forcing the hosts to abandon some of their defensive caution.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 62% implied
Positive
Switzerland have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points.Visible data support
Positive
Switzerland have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.25 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
An early Swiss goal would significantly complicate Slovenia's approach.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Switzerland Win is the preferred angle because an early Swiss goal would significantly complicate Slovenia's approach, potentially forcing the hosts to abandon some of their defensive caution. Switzerland have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 7 for Slovenia. Slovenia, meanwhile, remain in contention but face a formidable challenge against opponents who have already beaten them this campaign.

Main risk

Slovenia, meanwhile, remain in contention but face a formidable challenge against opponents who have already beaten them this campaign.

Key Data Signals

Wins if Slovenia win or if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes evidence

An early Swiss goal would significantly complicate Slovenia's approach, potentially forcing the hosts to abandon some of their.

Switzerland have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 7 for Slovenia.

Switzerland have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.25 conceded per match, which helps the Switzerland Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Slovenia sit 2 in the table, while Switzerland sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Wins if Slovenia win or if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Slovenia1.25
    Avg goals scored
    Switzerland2.75
    Slovenia0.75
    Avg goals conceded
    Switzerland0.25
    Slovenia50%
    BTTS rate
    Switzerland25%
    Slovenia50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Switzerland100%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Slovenia

    WLWD
    Last 52W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 1D 1L
    06 Oct 2026A Scotland2-1
    03 Oct 2026A Switzerland1-2
    29 Sep 2026H FYR Macedonia2-0
    26 Sep 2026H Scotland0-0

    Switzerland

    WWWW
    Last 54W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 0D 0L
    06 Oct 2026H FYR Macedonia3-0
    03 Oct 2026H Slovenia2-1
    29 Sep 2026A Scotland3-0
    26 Sep 2026A FYR Macedonia3-0

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    50%Slovenia Over 2.5
    100%Switzerland Over 2.5
    2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Slovenia sit at 50% and Switzerland sit at 100% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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