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Poland U21 crestPoland U21
v
Norway U21 crestNorway U21

Friendlies | Fri 13 Nov, 16:30

Poland U21 v Norway U21 Stats

Data last updated: Thu 12 Nov 2026, 01:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Poland U21 and Norway U21 meet in a friendly fixture that offers both teams a chance to test their squads without competitive pressure. Norway U21 have recently shown a strong defensive shape, conceding only two goals in their last recorded matches and maintaining a clean sheet rate that suggests a cautious approach. Poland U21's data is limited, but the overall context points to a tactical game where both sides may prioritize defensive solidity over attacking risk. This setup often leads to fewer goal-scoring opportunities and a lower-scoring match.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Norway U21 have not conceded many goals recently, indicating defensive strength.
  • Limited data on Poland U21 suggests caution but no evidence of high scoring.
  • Recent matches involving Norway U21 show a 0% rate of over 2.5 goals.
  • No recorded BTTS occurrences for Norway U21, supporting a low-scoring outlook.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 66% chance, reflecting Norway U21's recent defensive solidity and a lack of high-scoring trends in their matches. Poland U21's limited data adds uncertainty, but the defensive tendencies of Norway U21 and the low goal rates in recent friendlies support a cautious game with fewer goals. The at 2.1 offer positive value against the implied chance of 47.6%, making this a sensible selection based on defensive form and match context. The thinner data for Poland U21 means line-up and tactical choices will be important to monitor.

Norway U21 Defensive RecordStrong, conceding only 2 goals recently
Strong positive
Poland U21 Data AvailabilityLimited data, cautious interpretation
Neutral
Recent Over 2.5 Goals Rate0% for Norway U21
Strong positive
Market Odds vs Model Chance62.6% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+15 pts)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a logical pick given Norway U21's recent defensive discipline and the cautious nature of friendly matches. The lack of goal-scoring data for Poland U21 suggests a conservative approach, making a low-scoring game more likely. This bet aligns well with the tactical context and recent form data, providing a solid foundation for the selection.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive strength and match context

“Norway U21's defensive organization and the friendly match context suggest a low-scoring encounter. Without strong attacking signals from Poland U21, Under 2.5 Goals is a prudent choice reflecting the likely tactical caution on both sides.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Norway U21 have not conceded many goals recently, indicating defensive strength.

No recorded BTTS occurrences for Norway U21, supporting a low-scoring outlook.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Recent trend analysis over the last five matches involving Norway U21 shows a consistent pattern of games finishing under 2.5 goals.
  • This trend reflects a slower tempo and cautious attacking approach, suggesting that this fixture will follow a similar low-scoring pattern.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionNorway U21 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 41% · edge +1.1 pts
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Poland U21 to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Norway U21 to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Poland U21 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The 62.6% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 47.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts).
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Poland U21 Over 2.5
0%Norway U21 Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent trend analysis over the last five matches involving Norway U21 shows a consistent pattern of games finishing under 2.5 goals. This trend reflects a slower tempo and cautious attacking approach, suggesting that this fixture will follow a similar low-scoring pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Poland U21-
Avg goals scored
Norway U210
Poland U21-
Avg goals conceded
Norway U212
Poland U21-
BTTS rate
Norway U210%
Poland U21-
Over 2.5 goals
Norway U210%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 33%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Norway U21's recent matches show no instances of both teams scoring or exceeding 2.5 goals, highlighting a defensive approach and limited attacking output. The lack of BTTS occurrences supports the expectation of a low-scoring game with tight defensive control.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Poland U21

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Poland U21 yet.

Norway U21

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
08 Jun 2026H Finland U210-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 69% · edge -3.2 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Norway U21 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Poland U21 to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Norway U21 to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Poland U21 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Norway U21's recent form shows a strong defensive record with minimal goals conceded and no matches exceeding 2.5 goals. Poland U21's form data is limited, but the overall trend points to a match where defensive stability will be prioritized, supporting the Under 2.5 Goals selection.

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