Newcastle
BournemouthPremier League | Sat 05 Sep, 12:30
Newcastle v Bournemouth Stats
Data last updated: Fri 25 Sep 2026, 13:56 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Newcastle face Bournemouth in Premier League on Sat 05 Sep, 12:30. Anthony Elanga has scored in both of his Premier League appearances, with three of his four shots hitting the target, making him Newcastle’s sharpest early individual indicator.
Newcastle to win and both teams to score
- At 13/5, Newcastle to win and both teams to score implies roughly 28%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 38%.
- Bournemouth's scoring record in recent meetings and Newcastle's defensive absences suggest Bournemouth will find the net again.
- Newcastle need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Newcastle on 4 and Bournemouth on 1.
- The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 50% for Newcastle and 100% for Bournemouth.
- Newcastle to win and both teams to score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2 for Newcastle and 1 for Bournemouth are central to the read.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 38% for Newcastle to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 28% implied by the current price. Newcastle need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Newcastle on 4 and Bournemouth on 1. Bournemouth's scoring record in recent meetings and Newcastle's defensive absences suggest Bournemouth will find the net again.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Newcastle Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because bournemouth's scoring record in recent meetings and Newcastle's defensive absences suggest Bournemouth will find the net again. Newcastle need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Newcastle on 4 and Bournemouth on 1. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.
Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.
Key Data Signals
Newcastle to win and both teams to score evidence
Bournemouth's scoring record in recent meetings and Newcastle's defensive absences suggest Bournemouth will find the net again.
Newcastle need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Newcastle on 4 and Bournemouth on 1.
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 50% for Newcastle and 100% for Bournemouth.
Newcastle Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2 for Newcastle and 1 for Bournemouth are central to the read.
What To Watch In The Data
Newcastle to win and both teams to score notes
- Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Useful next reads
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Newcastle
Bournemouth
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Newcastle | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 |
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
Premier League
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.