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Maccabi Tel Aviv crestMaccabi Tel Aviv
v
CSKA Sofia crestCSKA Sofia

UEFA Europa League | Thu 06 Aug, 17:00

Maccabi Tel Aviv v CSKA Sofia Stats

Data last updated: Wed 26 Aug 2026, 00:47 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Maccabi Tel Aviv face CSKA Sofia in UEFA Europa League on Thu 06 Aug, 17:00. CSKA Sofia enter this second-leg fixture unbeaten in 11 matches, with strong home form including three consecutive clean sheets in the Europa League and an average of 56% possession and 12.78 shots per game.

BT4Y lean · price warning

CSKA Sofia to win

  • At 13/10, CSKA Sofia to win implies roughly 44%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 32%.
  • Maccabi won 5-0 away to Sheriff Tiraspol earlier in qualifying, a reminder that a side chasing three goals cannot simply be written off.
  • CSKA Sofia have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for Maccabi Tel Aviv.
  • Maccabi Tel Aviv have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the CSKA Sofia to win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Price warning

CSKA Sofia to win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 44% while the model sits nearer 32% (-11.1 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: BTTS No shows a +7.7 pts edge at 1.83.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 32% for CSKA Sofia to win sits against roughly 44% implied by the current price. CSKA Sofia have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for Maccabi Tel Aviv. Maccabi won 5-0 away to Sheriff Tiraspol earlier in qualifying, a reminder that a side chasing three goals cannot simply be written off.

Model chance vs price32% model chance against roughly 44% implied
Negative
CSKA Sofia have the stronger recent points return, taking 8.Visible data support
Positive
Maccabi Tel Aviv have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.Visible data support
Positive
Maccabi won 5-0 away to Sheriff Tiraspol earlier in.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: CSKA Sofia Win is the preferred angle because maccabi won 5-0 away to Sheriff Tiraspol earlier in qualifying, a reminder that a side chasing three goals cannot simply be written off. CSKA Sofia have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for Maccabi Tel Aviv. Their season has already shown that the first-leg defeat was an exception to otherwise strong results, making complacency CSKA’s most dangerous opponent.

Main risk

Their season has already shown that the first-leg defeat was an exception to otherwise strong results, making complacency CSKA’s most dangerous opponent.

Key Data Signals

CSKA Sofia to win evidence

Maccabi won 5-0 away to Sheriff Tiraspol earlier in qualifying, a reminder that a side chasing three goals.

CSKA Sofia have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for Maccabi Tel Aviv.

Maccabi Tel Aviv have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the CSKA Sofia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

CSKA Sofia to win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Maccabi Tel Aviv3
    Avg goals scored
    CSKA Sofia1.25
    Maccabi Tel Aviv0
    Avg goals conceded
    CSKA Sofia0.75
    Maccabi Tel Aviv0%
    BTTS rate
    CSKA Sofia50%
    Maccabi Tel Aviv50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    CSKA Sofia50%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetUK guide price · Model 62% vs implied 55% · edge +7.7 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 42%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    BTTS No is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: Maccabi Tel Aviv concede 0 on average and CSKA Sofia score 1.25, so the clean-sheet route has a data base.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Maccabi Tel Aviv

    WW
    Last 52W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 0L
    30 Jul 2026H Sheriff Tiraspol1-0
    23 Jul 2026A Sheriff Tiraspol5-0

    CSKA Sofia

    DDWW
    Last 52W 2D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 2D 0L
    30 Jul 2026H Qarabag0-0
    23 Jul 2026A Qarabag0-0
    16 Jul 2026A Derry City2-1
    09 Jul 2026H Derry City3-2
    Market aligned with main pickCSKA Sofia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 32% vs implied 26% · edge +6.8 pts
    3.9
    Check odds @ 3.9
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 60%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    CSKA Sofia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
    2.42
    Check odds @ 2.42
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickCSKA Sofia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 32% vs implied 26% · edge +6.8 pts
    3.9
    Check odds @ 3.9
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    CSKA Sofia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
    2.42
    Check odds @ 2.42
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 42%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    CSKA Sofia to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Maccabi Tel Aviv0
    Avg corners for
    CSKA Sofia0
    Maccabi Tel Aviv0
    Avg total corners
    CSKA Sofia0
    Maccabi Tel Aviv0.5
    Avg yellow cards
    CSKA Sofia3
    Maccabi Tel Aviv0
    Avg shots
    CSKA Sofia0
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 29%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Maccabi Tel Aviv wins
    0Draws
    0CSKA Sofia wins
    Market aligned with main pickCSKA Sofia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 32% vs implied 26% · edge +6.8 pts
    3.9
    Check odds @ 3.9
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 42%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for CSKA Sofia to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    UEFA Europa League

    Maccabi Tel Aviv4
    Played
    CSKA Sofia7
    Maccabi Tel Aviv2.3
    Avg goals for
    CSKA Sofia1.4
    Maccabi Tel Aviv1
    Avg goals against
    CSKA Sofia1.3
    Maccabi Tel Aviv2
    Clean sheets
    CSKA Sofia3
    Market aligned with main pickCSKA Sofia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 32% vs implied 26% · edge +6.8 pts
    3.9
    Check odds @ 3.9
    Load more odds for this section
    CSKA Sofia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
    2.42
    Check odds @ 2.42
    Season data supports CSKA Sofia to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    50%Maccabi Tel Aviv Over 2.5
    50%CSKA Sofia Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Maccabi Tel Aviv sit at 50% and CSKA Sofia sit at 50%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.