Maccabi Tel Aviv
CSKA SofiaUEFA Europa League | Thu 06 Aug, 17:00
Maccabi Tel Aviv v CSKA Sofia Stats
Data last updated: Wed 23 Sep 2026, 07:58 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Maccabi Tel Aviv face CSKA Sofia in UEFA Europa League on Thu 06 Aug, 17:00. CSKA Sofia enter this second-leg fixture unbeaten in 11 matches, with strong home form including three consecutive clean sheets in the Europa League and an average of 56% possession and 12.78 shots per game.
CSKA Sofia to win
- At 13/10, CSKA Sofia to win implies roughly 44%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 25%.
- Maccabi won 5-0 away to Sheriff Tiraspol earlier in qualifying, a reminder that a side chasing three goals cannot simply be written off.
- CSKA Sofia have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for Maccabi Tel Aviv.
- Maccabi Tel Aviv have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the CSKA Sofia to win angle more than a raw possession edge.
CSKA Sofia to win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 44% while the model sits nearer 25% (-18.2 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: BTTS No shows a +7.7 pts edge at 1.83.
Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive
Football case vs market price
The 25% for CSKA Sofia to win sits against roughly 44% implied by the current price. CSKA Sofia have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for Maccabi Tel Aviv. Maccabi won 5-0 away to Sheriff Tiraspol earlier in qualifying, a reminder that a side chasing three goals cannot simply be written off.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: CSKA Sofia Win is the preferred angle because maccabi won 5-0 away to Sheriff Tiraspol earlier in qualifying, a reminder that a side chasing three goals cannot simply be written off. CSKA Sofia have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for Maccabi Tel Aviv. Their season has already shown that the first-leg defeat was an exception to otherwise strong results, making complacency CSKA’s most dangerous opponent.
Their season has already shown that the first-leg defeat was an exception to otherwise strong results, making complacency CSKA’s most dangerous opponent.
Key Data Signals
CSKA Sofia to win evidence
Maccabi won 5-0 away to Sheriff Tiraspol earlier in qualifying, a reminder that a side chasing three goals.
CSKA Sofia have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for Maccabi Tel Aviv.
Maccabi Tel Aviv have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the CSKA Sofia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
What To Watch In The Data
CSKA Sofia to win notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
CSKA Sofia
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
UEFA Europa League
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
