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Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund
v
SV Elversberg crestSV Elversberg

Bundesliga | Sat 07 Nov, 14:30

Borussia Dortmund v SV Elversberg Stats

Data last updated: Fri 06 Nov 2026, 19:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Borussia Dortmund hosts SV Elversberg in a Bundesliga clash where both teams have shown attacking intent and moderate defensive vulnerabilities. Dortmund ranks second with 18 points, while Elversberg sits seventh with 13 points, indicating a competitive fixture. Dortmund averages 6.2 corners per game, leveraging wide play and sustained pressure, while Elversberg contributes 4.4 corners per match, reflecting their active offensive approach. Both sides have mixed recent form but tend to create set-piece opportunities, setting the stage for a corner-rich encounter at this mid-November fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Borussia Dortmund averages 6.2 corners per game, showing strong wing play and pressure.
  • SV Elversberg contributes 4.4 corners per match, indicating active attacking phases.
  • Combined average corners exceed 10 per game, supporting the Over 9.5 corners bet.
  • Recent form shows both teams generate consistent set-piece chances under pressure.
  • Player roles and shot volumes suggest sustained attacking sequences leading to corners.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 67.9% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, supported by Borussia Dortmund's high corner average of 6.2 and SV Elversberg's 4.4 per game. Both teams' playing styles emphasize wing attacks and sustained pressure, generating frequent corner opportunities. The combined corner count regularly surpasses the 9.5 threshold, aligning with the model's and positive of 6.2%. This bet offers a compelling angle given the teams' offensive tendencies and set-piece frequency.

Borussia Dortmund corner average6.2 per game
Strong positive
SV Elversberg corner average4.4 per game
Positive
Model chance for Over 9.5 Corners67.9% model chance vs 61.7% implied (+6.2 pts)
Strong positive
Value edge67.9% model chance vs 61.7% implied (+6.2 pts)
Strong positive
Combined corner tendencyConsistently over 10 corners per match
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a corner-heavy match as Borussia Dortmund's wide attacking play and SV Elversberg's willingness to press forward combine to generate numerous set-piece opportunities. The data shows both teams consistently produce corners, making Over 9.5 Corners a logical choice for this fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“Borussia Dortmund's aggressive wing play and Elversberg's active offense set the stage for a high corner count. Their combined averages and tactical approaches strongly favor a corner-rich game.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Borussia Dortmund averages 6.2 corners per game, showing strong wing play and pressure.

SV Elversberg contributes 4.4 corners per match, indicating active attacking phases.

Combined average corners exceed 10 per game, supporting the Over 9.5 corners bet.

Recent form shows both teams generate consistent set-piece chances under pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last five matches, both teams have shown a tendency for matches with multiple goals, with Elversberg hitting over 2.5 goals 60% of the time.
  • This attacking tempo and openness suggest a game with frequent transitions and set-piece chances, which often translate into a higher corner count.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Borussia Dortmund1.2
Avg goals scored
SV Elversberg1.6
Borussia Dortmund0.8
Avg goals conceded
SV Elversberg1.8
Borussia Dortmund40%
BTTS rate
SV Elversberg40%
Borussia Dortmund40%
Over 2.5 goals
SV Elversberg60%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
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BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both teams have moderate goalscoring rates, with Elversberg averaging 1.6 goals and Dortmund 1.2 per game, and both sides scoring in 40% of matches. While goal totals are modest, the attacking intent and defensive openness contribute to set-piece situations, indirectly supporting corner accumulation rather than high-scoring expectations.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Bundesliga hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionSV Elversberg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 37% vs implied 22% · edge +15 pts
4.65
Check odds @ 4.65
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
SV Elversberg to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
DrawBetUK guide price · model 27%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Borussia Dortmund Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
The 67.9% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 61.7% implied by the current price (+6.2 pts). Borussia Dortmund lead the corner sample at 6.2 per match, with SV Elversberg lower at 4.4.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Borussia Dortmund

DWDDW
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 0L
31 Oct 2026A Bayern München2-2
24 Oct 2026H Eintracht Frankfurt1-0
17 Oct 2026A Union Berlin0-0
09 Oct 2026H Werder Bremen2-2
19 Sep 2026A VfB Stuttgart1-0

SV Elversberg

WLWLD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 3L
30 Oct 2026H FSV Mainz 054-1
24 Oct 2026A RB Leipzig0-4
17 Oct 2026H FC Augsburg4-3
10 Oct 2026A Union Berlin0-1
20 Sep 2026A FC Schalke 040-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
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SV Elversberg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 37%
4.65
Check odds @ 4.65
SV Elversberg to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
DrawBetUK guide price · model 27%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 80%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Borussia Dortmund Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Borussia Dortmund to WinBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Recent form shows Borussia Dortmund earning 9 points with a 40% over 2.5 goals rate and 40% BTTS, while Elversberg has 7 points with a 60% over 2.5 goals rate and 40% BTTS. Both teams' attacking patterns and pressure in recent matches have produced frequent corners, supporting the Over 9.5 Corners bet as a reflection of current momentum.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Borussia Dortmund Over 2.5
60%SV Elversberg Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, both teams have shown a tendency for matches with multiple goals, with Elversberg hitting over 2.5 goals 60% of the time. This attacking tempo and openness suggest a game with frequent transitions and set-piece chances, which often translate into a higher corner count.

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