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Bradford crestBradford
v
Marine crestMarine

FA Cup | Sat 07 Nov, 15:00

Bradford v Marine Stats

Data last updated: Fri 06 Nov 2026, 07:34 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This FA Cup clash features Bradford hosting Marine, with Marine entering the match on a strong recent run, having secured 9 points and averaging over two goals per game in their last outings. Bradford's form data is limited, but Marine's defensive solidity and attacking efficiency stand out. The tie presents an intriguing David versus Goliath scenario, with Marine's momentum and tactical discipline setting the stage for a potential upset at Bradford's ground. The stakes are high in this knockout fixture, adding intensity and unpredictability to the encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Marine to Win

  • Marine has earned 9 points recently with an average of 2.33 goals scored per game and just 0.67 conceded.
  • Bradford's recent form data is limited, increasing uncertainty around their defensive and attacking capabilities.
  • Marine's over 2.5 goals rate and BTTS rate stand at 33%, indicating a balanced approach between attack and defense.
  • Marine's model-implied chance of winning is 70%, with offering significant value at 12.0.
  • Player-level data highlights Bradford's N. Powell as a key attacking threat, but Marine's defensive record suggests challenges ahead for him.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Marine to win due to their strong recent form, averaging over two goals per game while maintaining a solid defensive record conceding less than one goal per match. The high value reflect the market underestimating Marine's chances, supported by their consistent output and Bradford's limited recent data. This suggests Marine's tactical discipline and momentum could overcome Bradford's home advantage, making the away win a compelling selection despite the inherent cup unpredictability. The thinner Bradford data sample advises cautious staking but does not diminish Marine's clear statistical edge.

Recent FormMarine earned 9 points recently with 2.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game
Strong positive
Market ValueOdds of 12 imply only 8.3% chance, model estimates 70% chance
Strong positive
Data QualityBradford data is limited, increasing uncertainty
Neutral
Defensive SolidityMarine concedes fewer goals, indicating strong defense
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Marine's recent attacking efficiency combined with their defensive resilience makes them a strong candidate for an upset in this FA Cup tie. Their momentum and tactical discipline contrast with Bradford's uncertain form, suggesting Marine can capitalize on opportunities and control the game to secure a win. The statistical edge and value in the reinforce Marine as the favored pick for this fixture.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Marine's tactical and form advantage

“Marine's blend of attacking threat and defensive organization positions them well to challenge Bradford in this knockout tie, especially given the value in the and their recent form trajectory.”

Key Data Signals

Marine to Win evidence

Marine has earned 9 points recently with an average of 2.33 goals scored per game and just 0.67 conceded.

Bradford's recent form data is limited, increasing uncertainty around their defensive and attacking capabilities.

Marine's over 2.5 goals rate and BTTS rate stand at 33%, indicating a balanced approach between attack and defense.

Marine's model-implied chance of winning is 70%, with offering significant value at 12.0.

What To Watch In The Data

Marine to Win notes

  • Over the last five matches, Marine's games have shown a moderate frequency of over 2.5 goals at 33%, indicating that while not consistently high-scoring, their matches often feature multiple goals due to their attacking style and defensive gaps in opponents.
  • This trend suggests the potential for an open game with goal opportunities, influenced by Marine's tempo and Bradford's defensive uncertainties.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bradford

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Bradford yet.

Marine

WWW
Last 53W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 0L
17 Oct 2026A Hartlepool2-0
03 Oct 2026H Warrington Town2-0
19 Sep 2026H Radcliffe3-2
Market aligned with main pickMarine to WinBetfred guide price · Model 13% vs implied 8% · edge +4.8 pts
12
Check odds @ 12
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Marine Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Marine's recent form is strong, with 9 points gained and an average of 2.33 goals scored per game, showcasing effective attacking output and defensive resilience by conceding only 0.67 goals on average. Bradford's form data is limited, making it harder to assess their current momentum, but Marine's consistent performances provide a clear edge heading into this FA Cup fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bradford-
Avg goals scored
Marine2.33
Bradford-
Avg goals conceded
Marine0.67
Bradford-
BTTS rate
Marine33%
Bradford-
Over 2.5 goals
Marine33%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Marine's recent matches show an average of 2.33 goals scored and a 33% over 2.5 goals rate, with BTTS also at 33%, reflecting a balanced approach between attack and defense. Bradford's data is sparse, but Marine's ability to both score and maintain defensive discipline suggests a moderate scoring game with potential for both teams to score, though not consistently high-scoring encounters.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickMarine to WinBetfred guide price · Model 13% vs implied 8% · edge +4.8 pts
12
Check odds @ 12
Load more odds for this section
Marine Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 35%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The 13.1% for Marine to Win sits against roughly 8.3% implied by the current price (+4.8 pts). Marine have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 0 for Bradford.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Bradford Over 2.5
33%Marine Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Marine's games have shown a moderate frequency of over 2.5 goals at 33%, indicating that while not consistently high-scoring, their matches often feature multiple goals due to their attacking style and defensive gaps in opponents. This trend suggests the potential for an open game with goal opportunities, influenced by Marine's tempo and Bradford's defensive uncertainties.

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