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Preston crestPreston
v
Southampton crestSouthampton

Championship | Sat 02 May, 12:30

Preston v Southampton Stats

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 2.75, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 36% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 76%, so the current line is showing a +39.6-point value edge.
  • Preston have scored in 80% of the recent sample and Southampton have scored in 100%, with BTTS rates of 80% and 80%.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Preston have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Southampton have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 80% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2.75, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 36% · edge +39.6 pts
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.7
Bet HERE @ 3.7
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

60%Preston Over 2.5
100%Southampton Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Preston

WLLWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
25 Apr 2026A Sheffield Utd3-2
22 Apr 2026A Birmingham1-2
18 Apr 2026H West Brom0-2
11 Apr 2026A Charlton2-1
06 Apr 2026H QPR1-1

Southampton

DDWWW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 3D 0L
28 Apr 2026H Ipswich2-2
21 Apr 2026H Bristol City2-2
18 Apr 2026A Swansea2-1
14 Apr 2026H Blackburn3-0
11 Apr 2026H Derby2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 84% vs implied 80% · edge +4 pts
1.25
Bet HERE @ 1.25
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.7
Bet HERE @ 3.7
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%
4.2
Bet HERE @ 4.2
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Preston1.4
Avg goals scored
Southampton2.2
Preston1.6
Avg goals conceded
Southampton1.2
Preston80%
BTTS rate
Southampton80%
Preston60%
Over 2.5 goals
Southampton100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 36% · edge +39.6 pts
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
1.17
Bet HERE @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.38
Bet HERE @ 2.38
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.38
Bet HERE @ 2.38
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

1Preston wins
1Draws
2Southampton wins
01 Nov 2025Southampton v Preston0-2
16 Apr 2024Southampton v Preston3-0
25 Oct 2023Preston v Southampton2-2
21 Sep 2011Southampton v Preston2-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 36% · edge +39.6 pts
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.7
Bet HERE @ 3.7
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%
4.2
Bet HERE @ 4.2
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Preston4.4
Avg corners for
Southampton7.4
Preston10.8
Avg total corners
Southampton11.8
Preston1.8
Avg yellow cards
Southampton1.2
Preston11.8
Avg shots
Southampton15
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 48% · edge +9.9 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleW. Keane Anytime GoalscorerW. Keane · 1 goals · 3.75 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
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W. Keane 1+ Shot On TargetW. Keane · 3.75 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
W. Keane 2+ ShotsW. Keane · 3.75 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
Léo Scienza To Assist / Key Pass AngleLéo Scienza · 10 assists · 2.23 key passes/90
74/100
Bet HERE
Léo Scienza To Be FouledLéo Scienza · 3.64 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Oriol Romeu Card RiskOriol Romeu · 2 yellows · 4.34 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
W. Keane
W. KeanePreston · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /903.75
SOT /903.75
A. Armstrong
A. ArmstrongSouthampton · Attacker
Goal threat84/100
Shots /902.87
SOT /901.63
R. Stewart
R. StewartSouthampton · Attacker
Goal threat82/100
Shots /902.09
SOT /901.45
C. Larin
C. LarinSouthampton · Attacker
Goal threat78/100
Shots /902.1
SOT /901.47
Léo Scienza
Léo ScienzaSouthampton · Midfielder
Goal threat71/100
Shots /902.49
SOT /901.38
Oriol Romeu
Oriol RomeuSouthampton · Midfielder
Goal threat2/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
J. Thompson
J. ThompsonPreston · Midfielder
Goal threat17/100
Shots /900.52
SOT /900.26
F. Downes
F. DownesSouthampton · Midfielder
Goal threat22/100
Shots /900.34
SOT /900.17
Season team stats

Championship

Preston46
Played
Southampton46
Preston1.2
Avg goals for
Southampton1.8
Preston1.3
Avg goals against
Southampton1.2
Preston9
Clean sheets
Southampton11
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetUK guide price · Model 66% vs implied 56% · edge +10.3 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.7
Bet HERE @ 3.7
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Southampton804622141026
14Preston6046151516-7

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.