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Charlton crestCharlton
v
Sheffield Utd crestSheffield Utd

Championship | Sat 07 Nov, 15:00

Charlton v Sheffield Utd Stats

Data last updated: Fri 06 Nov 2026, 23:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sheffield Utd approach this Championship clash against Charlton with solid momentum, sitting comfortably in the top half of the table and boasting a recent run of positive results. Charlton, struggling near the relegation zone, have found scoring difficult and conceded frequently, which adds pressure on their defense. Sheffield Utd's more consistent attacking output and defensive stability suggest they will control the tempo and likely dominate possession, making them clear favorites to secure all three points in this fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Sheffield Utd to Win

  • Sheffield Utd have a 70% to win, with offering positive value at 2.0.
  • Charlton average only 0.6 goals per game while conceding 2.2, indicating defensive vulnerability.
  • Sheffield Utd create significantly more shots (16.6) and shots on target (5) per game than Charlton.
  • Recent form heavily favors Sheffield Utd, who have earned 10 points recently compared to Charlton's single point.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Sheffield Utd to win due to their superior recent form, stronger offensive metrics, and more robust defensive record compared to Charlton. Sheffield Utd's higher shot volume and goal conversion rates underpin their 70% win probability, while Charlton's struggles in front of goal and defensive frailties reduce their chances. The reflect a positive , reinforcing Sheffield Utd as the preferred selection. No data limitations or price warnings affect this pick, supporting a standard stake recommendation.

Recent form advantageSheffield Utd earned 10 points recently vs Charlton's 1
Strong positive
Goal scoring and defenseSheffield Utd score 1.6 and concede 1.2; Charlton score 0.6 and concede 2.2
Strong positive
Shot controlSheffield Utd average 16.6 shots and 5 SOT per game vs Charlton's 10.4 shots and 2.6 SOT
Strong positive
Price value65% model chance vs 50% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Sheffield Utd's tactical discipline and attacking efficiency make them strong favorites to win this match. Their recent form and superior shot creation contrast sharply with Charlton's defensive struggles and low scoring output, suggesting Sheffield Utd will control the game and secure victory.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Sheffield Utd's balanced attack and solid defensive shape provide a clear tactical edge over Charlton, whose scoring difficulties and defensive lapses leave them vulnerable in this matchup.”

Key Data Signals

Sheffield Utd to Win evidence

Sheffield Utd have a 70% to win, with offering positive value at 2.0.

Charlton average only 0.6 goals per game while conceding 2.2, indicating defensive vulnerability.

Sheffield Utd create significantly more shots (16.6) and shots on target (5) per game than Charlton.

Recent form heavily favors Sheffield Utd, who have earned 10 points recently compared to Charlton's single point.

What To Watch In The Data

Sheffield Utd to Win notes

  • Over the last seven head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.71, indicating relatively low-scoring encounters.
  • However, Sheffield Utd’s recent form and attacking metrics suggest a potential for a higher tempo and more goal-scoring opportunities in this fixture, making Over 2.5 goals a watchable trend but not a primary selection.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Charlton0.6
Avg goals scored
Sheffield Utd1.6
Charlton2.2
Avg goals conceded
Sheffield Utd1.2
Charlton40%
BTTS rate
Sheffield Utd60%
Charlton60%
Over 2.5 goals
Sheffield Utd40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 58% · edge +8.9 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 56%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2
Check odds @ 2
Goal trends indicate Sheffield Utd average 1.6 goals per game with a 60% BTTS rate, while Charlton score less than one per game and have a 40% BTTS rate. This suggests a moderate likelihood of goals but a stronger chance that Sheffield Utd will score decisively, supporting a win without necessarily both teams scoring.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSheffield Utd to WinBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Sheffield Utd Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The 65% for Sheffield Utd to Win sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Sheffield Utd have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 1 for Charlton.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Charlton

LLLLD
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 4D 6L
03 Nov 2026H Bolton0-1
31 Oct 2026A Middlesbrough0-3
24 Oct 2026H Norwich1-3
17 Oct 2026A Watford0-2
13 Oct 2026A Burnley2-2

Sheffield Utd

WWDWL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
03 Nov 2026A Preston3-2
30 Oct 2026H Wrexham1-0
24 Oct 2026H Derby1-1
17 Oct 2026A Bristol City1-0
14 Oct 2026A Portsmouth2-3
Market aligned with main pickSheffield Utd to WinBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Sheffield Utd Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Sheffield Utd have collected 10 points recently, showcasing improved attacking efficiency and defensive solidity. Charlton’s form is poor with just 1 point and low goal output, highlighting a clear momentum gap that favors Sheffield Utd’s and match control heading into this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Charlton Over 2.5
40%Sheffield Utd Over 2.5
1.71H2H avg goals
Over the last seven head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.71, indicating relatively low-scoring encounters. However, Sheffield Utd’s recent form and attacking metrics suggest a potential for a higher tempo and more goal-scoring opportunities in this fixture, making Over 2.5 goals a watchable trend but not a primary selection.

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