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ST Johnstone crestST Johnstone
v
Dundee crestDundee

Premiership | Sat 07 Nov, 15:00

ST Johnstone v Dundee Stats

Data last updated: Fri 06 Nov 2026, 19:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

ST Johnstone host Dundee in a tightly contested Scottish Premiership clash with both teams level on points but separated by goal difference. St Johnstone have shown resilience at home, securing seven points from four matches and losing only narrowly to strong opponents. Their attack heavily relies on Josh Fowler, who has scored half of their league goals. Dundee arrive on the back of improved form, with nine goals in their last five games and consecutive clean sheets, signaling a growing attacking threat and defensive solidity. The match promises a tactical battle between St Johnstone's disciplined home setup and Dundee's recent momentum.

BT4Y best bet

ST Johnstone to Win +0.25 (Handicap)

  • St Johnstone have earned 7 points from 12 at home this season with narrow defeats only.
  • Josh Fowler accounts for 50% of St Johnstone's league goals, a key attacking focal point.
  • Dundee have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches, showing attacking improvement.
  • Dundee recorded consecutive clean sheets recently, indicating defensive progress.
  • St Johnstone's +0.25 handicap offers protection against a draw while rewarding a home win.

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

St Johnstone's disciplined home performances and ability to keep matches tight provide a strong tactical foundation for the Asian Handicap +0.25. Meanwhile, Dundee's recent attacking improvement and defensive solidity make this a competitive fixture. The bet balances these factors well, offering a pragmatic approach to a close contest with a slight edge to the home side's resilience and home advantage.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · handicap market tactical insight

“St Johnstone's defensive discipline and home resilience make the +0.25 handicap a smart way to back them without overexposing to Dundee's recent attacking momentum.”

Key Data Signals

ST Johnstone to Win +0.25 (Handicap) evidence

St Johnstone have earned 7 points from 12 at home this season with narrow defeats only.

Josh Fowler accounts for 50% of St Johnstone's league goals, a key attacking focal point.

Dundee have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches, showing attacking improvement.

Dundee recorded consecutive clean sheets recently, indicating defensive progress.

What To Watch In The Data

ST Johnstone to Win +0.25 (Handicap) notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.5, indicating moderate scoring.
  • St Johnstone's 60% Over 2.5 rate contrasts with Dundee's 100%, suggesting Dundee's games tend to be higher scoring.
  • This trend points to a match with potential for multiple goals, influenced by Dundee's attacking style and St Johnstone's home resilience.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

ST Johnstone1.2
Avg goals scored
Dundee2
ST Johnstone1.8
Avg goals conceded
Dundee1.4
ST Johnstone60%
BTTS rate
Dundee100%
ST Johnstone60%
Over 2.5 goals
Dundee100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams show contrasting attacking trends: St Johnstone average 1.2 goals per game with a 60% BTTS rate, while Dundee have a potent attack averaging 2 goals per game and 100% BTTS rate recently. This suggests a match with goal-scoring potential from both sides, supporting a competitive and open game scenario.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Premiership fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for ST Johnstone v Dundeecorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickST Johnstone Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 51% · edge -6.3 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
ST Johnstone to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
The Asian Handicap +0.25 at 2.3 offers a balanced price reflecting St Johnstone's solid home form and Dundee's recent attacking surge. The fairly price the risk of a draw or narrow home win, making this a price-sensitive but reasonable selection without clear .
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

ST Johnstone

DDLDW
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 5D 3L
31 Oct 2026A Kilmarnock2-2
28 Oct 2026H Motherwell2-2
24 Oct 2026A Rangers0-4
17 Oct 2026H Dundee Utd1-1
11 Oct 2026A Aberdeen1-0

Dundee

WLDWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
28 Oct 2026H Kilmarnock3-1
24 Oct 2026A ST Mirren1-2
17 Oct 2026H Rangers2-2
10 Oct 2026A Falkirk2-1
19 Sep 2026H Motherwell2-1
Market aligned with main pickST Johnstone Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 51% · edge -6.3 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
ST Johnstone to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
St Johnstone have collected 6 points in their last five matches, showing defensive resilience but limited scoring (1.2 goals per game). Dundee's form is stronger with 10 points and 2 goals per game in the same period, reflecting their attacking improvement and recent consecutive wins, which adds momentum to their challenge.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%ST Johnstone Over 2.5
100%Dundee Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.5, indicating moderate scoring. St Johnstone's 60% Over 2.5 rate contrasts with Dundee's 100%, suggesting Dundee's games tend to be higher scoring. This trend points to a match with potential for multiple goals, influenced by Dundee's attacking style and St Johnstone's home resilience.

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