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Fulham crestFulham
v
Newcastle crestNewcastle

Premier League | Sun 24 May, 16:00

Fulham v Newcastle Stats

Data last updated: Wed 10 Jun 2026, 09:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fulham face Newcastle in Premier League on Sun 24 May, 16:00. Newcastle dominate this fixture with eight wins in ten meetings and two 2-1 victories over Fulham this season. A repeating pattern defines this matchup, with Newcastle securing identical 2-1 victories in both previous meetings against Fulham this campaign.

BT4Y best bet

The winner of the match while simultaneously predicting that both teams will score at least one goal during the 90 minutes

  • At 3/1, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 25%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 63%.
  • Defensive Exposure: Matches With Both Teams Scoring
  • Fulham show a 20% BTTS rate and Newcastle show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Fulham average 0.4 goals scored and Newcastle average 1.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 63% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 25% implied by the current price. Fulham show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Newcastle show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Defensive Exposure: Matches With Both Teams Scoring

Model chance vs price63% model chance against roughly 25% implied
Strong positive
Fulham show a 20% BTTS rate and Newcastle show a.Visible data support
Positive
Fulham average 0.4 goals scored and Newcastle average 1.6, so.Visible data support
Positive
Defensive Exposure: Matches With Both Teams ScoringArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because defensive Exposure: Matches With Both Teams Scoring Fulham show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Newcastle show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

Defensive Exposure: Matches With Both Teams Scoring

Fulham show a 20% BTTS rate and Newcastle show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Fulham average 0.4 goals scored and Newcastle average 1.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Fulham0.4
Avg goals scored
Newcastle1.6
Fulham1
Avg goals conceded
Newcastle1.2
Fulham20%
BTTS rate
Newcastle80%
Fulham20%
Over 2.5 goals
Newcastle60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 65% · edge -2.1 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 31%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price: the BTTS rates are 20% for Fulham and 80% for Newcastle, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Premier League fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 65% · edge -2.1 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Newcastle Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Newcastle to WinBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Fulham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Fulham5.2
Avg corners for
Newcastle3.2
Fulham9.6
Avg total corners
Newcastle7.8
Fulham1.6
Avg yellow cards
Newcastle1.6
Fulham12.2
Avg shots
Newcastle13.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 48% · edge +10.7 pts
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
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Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Fulham

DLLWD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
17 May 2026A Wolves1-1
09 May 2026H Bournemouth0-1
02 May 2026A Arsenal0-3
25 Apr 2026H Aston Villa1-0
18 Apr 2026A Brentford0-0

Newcastle

WDWLL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
17 May 2026H West Ham3-1
10 May 2026A Nottingham Forest1-1
02 May 2026H Brighton3-1
25 Apr 2026A Arsenal0-1
18 Apr 2026H Bournemouth1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 82% vs implied 75% · edge +7.2 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
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Newcastle Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Newcastle to WinBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.64
Check odds @ 1.64
Fulham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Fulham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Fulham wins
0Draws
8Newcastle wins
17 Dec 2025Newcastle v Fulham2-1
25 Oct 2025Newcastle v Fulham2-1
01 Feb 2025Newcastle v Fulham1-2
21 Sep 2024Fulham v Newcastle3-1
06 Apr 2024Fulham v Newcastle0-1
27 Jan 2024Fulham v Newcastle0-2
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 65% · edge -2.1 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Newcastle to WinBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Fulham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premier League

Fulham38
Played
Newcastle38
Fulham1.2
Avg goals for
Newcastle1.4
Fulham1.3
Avg goals against
Newcastle1.4
Fulham9
Clean sheets
Newcastle8
Best odds for this sectionNewcastle Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 66% vs implied 53% · edge +13.6 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
Newcastle to WinBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Fulham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Fulham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Season data supports Newcastle Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11Fulham523815716-4
12Newcastle493814717-2
Fulham sit in position 11, while Newcastle sit in position 12, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Fulham Over 2.5
60%Newcastle Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Fulham sit at 20% and Newcastle sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Fulham v Newcastle prediction

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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