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Fulham crestFulham
v
Newcastle crestNewcastle

Premier League | Sat 07 Nov, 15:00

Fulham v Newcastle Stats

Data last updated: Mon 26 Oct 2026, 15:17 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fulham face Newcastle in Premier League on Sat 07 Nov, 15:00. Newcastle dominate this fixture with eight wins in ten meetings and two 2-1 victories over Fulham this season. A repeating pattern defines this matchup, with Newcastle securing identical 2-1 victories in both previous meetings against Fulham this campaign.

BT4Y best bet

The winner of the match while simultaneously predicting that both teams will score at least one goal during the 90 minutes

  • At 3/1, The winner of the match while simultaneously predicting that both teams will score at least one goal during the 90 minutes implies roughly 25%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 40%.
  • Defensive Exposure: Matches With Both Teams Scoring
  • Fulham show a 40% BTTS rate and Newcastle show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Fulham average 0.8 goals scored and Newcastle average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 40% for The winner of the match while simultaneously predicting that both teams will score at least one goal during the 90 minutes sits against roughly 25% implied by the current price. Fulham show a 40% BTTS rate and Newcastle show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Defensive Exposure: Matches With Both Teams Scoring

Model chance vs price40% model chance against roughly 25% implied
Strong positive
Fulham show a 40% BTTS rate and Newcastle show a.Visible data support
Positive
Fulham average 0.8 goals scored and Newcastle average 1.2, so.Visible data support
Positive
Defensive Exposure: Matches With Both Teams ScoringArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because defensive Exposure: Matches With Both Teams Scoring Fulham show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Newcastle show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

The winner of the match while simultaneously predicting that both teams will score at least one goal during the 90 minutes evidence

Defensive Exposure: Matches With Both Teams Scoring

Fulham show a 40% BTTS rate and Newcastle show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Fulham average 0.8 goals scored and Newcastle average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

The winner of the match while simultaneously predicting that both teams will score at least one goal during the 90 minutes notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Fulham0.8
Avg goals scored
Newcastle1.2
Fulham0.6
Avg goals conceded
Newcastle2
Fulham40%
BTTS rate
Newcastle60%
Fulham20%
Over 2.5 goals
Newcastle60%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Fulham

WWLDD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 4L
24 Oct 2026A Coventry1-0
17 Oct 2026H Hull City1-0
10 Oct 2026A Ipswich1-2
20 Sep 2026H Manchester United1-1
12 Sep 2026A Liverpool0-0

Newcastle

WLLWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 3L
25 Oct 2026A Crystal Palace2-0
17 Oct 2026H Aston Villa0-1
12 Oct 2026A Coventry1-4
19 Sep 2026H Hull City2-1
14 Sep 2026A Leeds1-4

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Fulham Over 2.5
60%Newcastle Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Fulham sit at 20% and Newcastle sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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