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Juve Stabia crestJuve Stabia
v
Arezzo crestArezzo

Serie B | Sat 07 Nov, 14:00

Juve Stabia v Arezzo Stats

Data last updated: Fri 06 Nov 2026, 07:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Juve Stabia hosts Arezzo in a Serie B clash where the home side aims to capitalize on their slightly better recent form and home advantage. Juve Stabia has collected 8 points in their last five matches, showing more offensive threat with an average of 1.4 goals per game compared to Arezzo's 0.6. Arezzo, ranked 13th, have struggled to convert chances and concede more frequently, while Juve Stabia's defensive solidity and attacking intent underlie their push for victory in this mid-table encounter. Tactical discipline and key player performances will be decisive in this balanced fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Juve Stabia to Win

  • Juve Stabia has a 63.7% to win, with offering slight value at 1.73.
  • Juve Stabia averages 15.6 shots per game with 4.4 on target, outshooting Arezzo significantly.
  • Recent form favors Juve Stabia, who have scored more and conceded less than Arezzo in their last five matches.
  • Player data highlights Antonio Di Nardo as a key goal threat with 7 goals and 1.73 shots on target per 90 minutes.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Juve Stabia to win due to their superior recent form, higher shot volume, and stronger attacking output. Juve Stabia's average of 15.6 shots per game and 1.4 goals scored per match contrasts with Arezzo's lower offensive numbers, supporting a home victory. Player-level data, especially Antonio Di Nardo's goal threat and F. Maistro's creative influence, further strengthen Juve Stabia's chances. Defensive solidity also contributes, as Juve Stabia concedes fewer goals on average. The current reflect a small positive , making this a reasonable selection with standard stake guidance.

Recent formJuve Stabia 8 points vs Arezzo 5 points last 5 matches
Positive
Shots and attacking outputJuve Stabia 15.6 shots/game vs Arezzo 9.6
Strong positive
Key player influenceAntonio Di Nardo 7 goals, 1.73 SOT/90
Strong positive
Defensive recordJuve Stabia concedes 0.8 goals/game vs Arezzo 1.2
Positive
Price value63.7% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+5.9 pts)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Juve Stabia's stronger recent form and higher attacking threat make them the logical choice to win this fixture. Their ability to create more shots and control the game tempo, combined with key players like Antonio Di Nardo, gives them an edge over Arezzo, who have struggled to score consistently.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match outcome

“Juve Stabia's offensive dynamism and defensive resilience position them well to secure three points against a less potent Arezzo side. Their superior shot creation and key player form are decisive factors in this matchup.”

Key Data Signals

Juve Stabia to Win evidence

Juve Stabia has a 63.7% to win, with offering slight value at 1.73.

Juve Stabia averages 15.6 shots per game with 4.4 on target, outshooting Arezzo significantly.

Recent form favors Juve Stabia, who have scored more and conceded less than Arezzo in their last five matches.

Player data highlights Antonio Di Nardo as a key goal threat with 7 goals and 1.73 shots on target per 90 minutes.

What To Watch In The Data

Juve Stabia to Win notes

  • Over the last five matches, Juve Stabia has a 40% rate of games with over 2.5 goals, while Arezzo's rate is 60%.
  • The combined trend suggests a moderate likelihood of a higher-scoring game, but Juve Stabia's defensive discipline may limit the total goals, indicating a balanced tempo with potential for key moments.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Juve Stabia1.4
Avg goals scored
Arezzo0.6
Juve Stabia0.8
Avg goals conceded
Arezzo1.2
Juve Stabia40%
BTTS rate
Arezzo40%
Juve Stabia40%
Over 2.5 goals
Arezzo60%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 51% · edge +1.2 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 35%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Both teams to score is unlikely as Juve Stabia concedes fewer goals (0.8 per game) than Arezzo (1.2), and both have a 40% BTTS rate recently. Juve Stabia's controlled attacking style and defensive discipline suggest a low-scoring game with limited risk of both teams scoring.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickJuve Stabia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 58% · edge +5.9 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Juve Stabia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The 63.7% for Juve Stabia to Win sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+5.9 pts). Juve Stabia have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 5 for Arezzo.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Juve Stabia

DLWWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
01 Nov 2026A Empoli2-2
28 Oct 2026H Hellas Verona0-1
24 Oct 2026A Cremonese1-0
18 Oct 2026H Sudtirol3-0
10 Oct 2026A Virtus Entella1-1

Arezzo

DLLWD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
01 Nov 2026H Ascoli0-0
28 Oct 2026A Carrarese1-2
24 Oct 2026H Benevento0-3
18 Oct 2026A Sampdoria2-1
10 Oct 2026H Cremonese0-0
Market aligned with main pickJuve Stabia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 58% · edge +5.9 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Juve Stabia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Juve Stabia's recent form shows 8 points from the last five matches with 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, reflecting balanced performance. Arezzo's 5 points and lower scoring rate highlight their struggles to maintain consistency, favoring Juve Stabia's momentum and heading into this match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Juve Stabia Over 2.5
60%Arezzo Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Juve Stabia has a 40% rate of games with over 2.5 goals, while Arezzo's rate is 60%. The combined trend suggests a moderate likelihood of a higher-scoring game, but Juve Stabia's defensive discipline may limit the total goals, indicating a balanced tempo with potential for key moments.

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