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Blackburn crestBlackburn
v
West Ham crestWest Ham

Championship | Sat 07 Nov, 15:00

Blackburn v West Ham Stats

Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 00:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

West Ham visit Blackburn in a Championship clash where both teams are in decent form but with contrasting styles. West Ham have been prolific offensively, averaging 2.6 goals per game recently, while Blackburn have shown defensive vulnerabilities despite their recent points haul. The match is poised as a tactical battle with West Ham's attacking intensity likely to challenge Blackburn's defense, which has been tested heavily in recent fixtures. The stakes are significant as West Ham aim to consolidate their higher league position and continue their momentum away from home.

BT4Y match pick

West Ham to Win

  • West Ham have scored 2.6 goals per game recently, showing strong attacking form.
  • Blackburn have conceded 1.8 goals per game and rely heavily on goalkeeper Balazs Toth.
  • West Ham average 20.2 shots and 8.4 shots on target per game, indicating offensive pressure.
  • Blackburn's recent defensive strain suggests vulnerability to West Ham's wide and transition play.
  • Historical trends show a moderate rate of over 2.5 goals in recent matches involving these teams.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors West Ham to win based on their superior recent attacking output and higher shot volume, which contrasts with Blackburn's defensive struggles. West Ham's ability to create quality chances, led by key players like Tomas Souček and Jarrod Bowen, supports a positive outcome. The offer a modest , reflecting a realistic chance for West Ham to capitalize on Blackburn's defensive lapses. Although is moderate, the data-driven attacking control and tactical readiness underpin this selection.

Recent Goal ScoringWest Ham 2.6 goals/game vs Blackburn 1.2
Strong positive
Shot VolumeWest Ham 20.2 shots/game vs Blackburn 9.8
Strong positive
Defensive VulnerabilityBlackburn concede 1.8 goals/game
Positive
Key Player ImpactSouček and Bowen high goal threat and creativity
Positive
Value Edge55.8% model chance vs 59.9% implied (-4.1 pts)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

West Ham's attacking prowess and higher shot volume give them a tactical advantage over Blackburn, whose defense has been under pressure recently. The visitors' ability to create and convert chances, combined with Blackburn's defensive vulnerabilities, makes West Ham the likely winners in this fixture.

Main risk

However, their recent home results remain concerning.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and player impact

“West Ham's offensive intensity and key players like Souček and Bowen create a clear threat against a Blackburn defense that has shown cracks, making the away win a compelling pick.”

Key Data Signals

West Ham to Win evidence

West Ham have scored 2.6 goals per game recently, showing strong attacking form.

Blackburn have conceded 1.8 goals per game and rely heavily on goalkeeper Balazs Toth.

West Ham average 20.2 shots and 8.4 shots on target per game, indicating offensive pressure.

Blackburn's recent defensive strain suggests vulnerability to West Ham's wide and transition play.

What To Watch In The Data

West Ham to Win notes

  • The last four head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 3.5 goals, indicating a tendency for relatively open games with scoring opportunities.
  • This trend supports the possibility of a match with multiple goals and attacking intent, consistent with West Ham's recent form.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Blackburn1.2
Avg goals scored
West Ham2.6
Blackburn1.8
Avg goals conceded
West Ham1.8
Blackburn40%
BTTS rate
West Ham60%
Blackburn60%
Over 2.5 goals
West Ham80%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +13.9 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Recent form data indicates a moderate likelihood of goals, with West Ham's matches featuring an 80% over 2.5 goals rate and a 60% BTTS rate, while Blackburn's matches show a 60% over 2.5 rate and 40% BTTS rate. This suggests a game leaning towards goals but with some defensive organisation, supporting a cautious BTTS No and Under 3.5 goals context.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Championship fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickWest Ham to WinBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 60% · edge -4.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
West Ham Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
The 55.8% for West Ham to Win sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (-4.1 pts). West Ham have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 6 for Blackburn. West Brom have home advantage and momentum; Blackburn show defensive strain.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Blackburn

LLWLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
03 Nov 2026H Stoke City1-2
31 Oct 2026A Swansea0-4
24 Oct 2026H Wrexham2-0
17 Oct 2026A West Brom2-3
13 Oct 2026A Bristol City1-0

West Ham

DLLWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
04 Nov 2026A Cardiff3-3
31 Oct 2026H West Brom1-3
24 Oct 2026H Southampton2-3
17 Oct 2026A Swansea1-0
14 Oct 2026A Lincoln6-0
Market aligned with main pickWest Ham to WinBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 60% · edge -4.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
West Ham Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 81%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
West Ham have collected 7 points recently with a strong offensive output of 2.6 goals per game, reflecting good momentum and . Blackburn have earned 6 points but show defensive fragility, conceding 1.8 goals per game, which could be exploited by West Ham's attacking players.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Blackburn Over 2.5
80%West Ham Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
The last four head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 3.5 goals, indicating a tendency for relatively open games with scoring opportunities. This trend supports the possibility of a match with multiple goals and attacking intent, consistent with West Ham's recent form.

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