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Leyton Orient crestLeyton Orient
v
Harborough Town crestHarborough Town

FA Cup | Sat 07 Nov, 15:00

Leyton Orient v Harborough Town Stats

Data last updated: Fri 06 Nov 2026, 07:34 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This FA Cup clash features Leyton Orient hosting Harborough Town, with the latter showing strong recent form and attacking threat. Harborough Town have accumulated 9 points recently, averaging over two goals per game and maintaining a solid defensive record. Leyton Orient's data is limited, but their recent output appears less convincing. The match sets up as a potential upset opportunity, with Harborough Town's momentum and offensive efficiency posing a significant challenge to Leyton Orient's defense. Tactical discipline and finishing quality will be key in this knockout fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Harborough Town to Win

  • Harborough Town has earned 9 points in recent matches, showing strong momentum.
  • Harborough Town averages 2.33 goals scored and concedes only 1 goal per game recently.
  • Leyton Orient's recent form data is limited, adding uncertainty to their performance.
  • Harborough Town's shot volume is high, averaging 21 shots and 10 on target per game.
  • Harborough Town maintains a 67% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals, indicating attacking potency.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly favors Harborough Town to win, assigning a 70% chance against an implied market chance of 17.4%, creating a significant . Harborough Town's recent form data shows consistent goal scoring and defensive solidity, supported by high shot volumes and over 2.5 goals frequency. Leyton Orient's limited data and weaker recent output increase uncertainty for the home side. This combination of strong away momentum and home data scarcity underpins the model's in an upset victory for Harborough Town.

Model Chance17.3% model chance vs 13.3% implied (+4 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance17.3% model chance vs 13.3% implied (+4 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Form Points (Harborough Town)9
Strong positive
Average Shots per Game (Harborough Town)21
Strong positive
Limited Home Team DataTrue
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Harborough Town's recent attacking form and defensive stability make them a compelling pick to win this FA Cup tie. Their ability to generate numerous shots on target and maintain goal-scoring consistency contrasts with Leyton Orient's uncertain form and data scarcity, tipping the balance in favor of the visitors.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Harborough Town's sustained offensive pressure and recent scoring efficiency create a strong tactical and statistical foundation for an upset win in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Harborough Town to Win evidence

Harborough Town has earned 9 points in recent matches, showing strong momentum.

Harborough Town averages 2.33 goals scored and concedes only 1 goal per game recently.

Leyton Orient's recent form data is limited, adding uncertainty to their performance.

Harborough Town's shot volume is high, averaging 21 shots and 10 on target per game.

What To Watch In The Data

Harborough Town to Win notes

  • In the last ten matches involving Harborough Town, over 2.5 goals occurred in 67% of games, reflecting a high-tempo, attacking style.
  • This trend suggests the fixture is likely to feature multiple goals, driven by Harborough Town's offensive approach and Leyton Orient's defensive uncertainties.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Leyton Orient

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Leyton Orient yet.

Harborough Town

WWW
Last 53W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 0L
17 Oct 2026H Spennymoor Town3-1
03 Oct 2026H St Albans City3-2
19 Sep 2026H Rushall Olympic1-0
Market aligned with main pickHarborough Town to WinBetfred guide price · Model 17% vs implied 13% · edge +4 pts
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
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Harborough Town Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 39%
4.15
Check odds @ 4.15
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3
Check odds @ 3
Harborough Town's recent form is impressive, securing 9 points with consistent goal scoring and defensive stability. Leyton Orient's form data is limited and less convincing, indicating a momentum advantage for Harborough Town heading into this knockout match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Leyton Orient-
Avg goals scored
Harborough Town2.33
Leyton Orient-
Avg goals conceded
Harborough Town1
Leyton Orient-
BTTS rate
Harborough Town67%
Leyton Orient-
Over 2.5 goals
Harborough Town67%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 85%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 49%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Harborough Town's matches show a 67% rate of over 2.5 goals and a similar BTTS rate, indicating open games with scoring from both sides. Their average of 2.33 goals scored and 1 conceded per game supports a dynamic attacking style likely to produce goals in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickHarborough Town to WinBetfred guide price · Model 17% vs implied 13% · edge +4 pts
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Harborough Town Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 39%
4.15
Check odds @ 4.15
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The 17.3% for Harborough Town to Win sits against roughly 13.3% implied by the current price (+4 pts). Harborough Town have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 0 for Leyton Orient.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Leyton Orient Over 2.5
67%Harborough Town Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
In the last ten matches involving Harborough Town, over 2.5 goals occurred in 67% of games, reflecting a high-tempo, attacking style. This trend suggests the fixture is likely to feature multiple goals, driven by Harborough Town's offensive approach and Leyton Orient's defensive uncertainties.

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