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Boreham Wood crestBoreham Wood
v
Wigan crestWigan

FA Cup | Sat 07 Nov, 15:00

Boreham Wood v Wigan Stats

Data last updated: Fri 06 Nov 2026, 07:34 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This FA Cup clash between Boreham Wood and Wigan promises an open and attacking encounter. Boreham Wood have shown a strong inclination towards high-scoring games recently, with all their last matches exceeding 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in each. Wigan's data is limited, but their attacking players have demonstrated goal threat in recent outings. The stakes of the cup tie and the attacking mindset of Boreham Wood suggest a match where goals are likely to flow, setting the stage for a potentially thrilling contest with multiple scoring opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Boreham Wood's last matches all went over 2.5 goals with both teams scoring.
  • Model estimates a 58% chance for over 3.5 goals, above the implied market chance.
  • Wigan's attackers like C. Hogan have strong goal and shot profiles.
  • Limited defensive data on Wigan adds uncertainty but supports an attacking game.
  • Boreham Wood's recent form shows 100% over 2.5 goals rate, reinforcing scoring potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 3.5 Goals with a 58% probability, indicating a strong likelihood of a high-scoring match. Boreham Wood's recent matches have consistently featured more than 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, highlighting an open game style. Wigan's attacking players, including C. Hogan, have impressive shot and goal metrics, suggesting they can contribute to the goal tally. Although Wigan's defensive data is limited, the attacking trends and Boreham Wood's offensive output create a compelling case for multiple goals. The current offer positive value with a 12.5% edge and no price warning is needed.

Model Chance58% model chance vs 45.5% implied (+12.5 pts)
Strong positive
Boreham Wood Over 2.5 Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
Wigan Attacking Player StatsHigh shots and goals per 90 minutes
Positive
Limited Defensive Data on WiganSample size thin
Neutral
Value Edge58% model chance vs 45.5% implied (+12.5 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open FA Cup tie with Boreham Wood's recent high-scoring form and Wigan's potent attackers driving the game. The attacking tendencies and match stakes suggest a lively contest with multiple goals, making Over 3.5 Goals a fitting selection for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking potential and match dynamics

“This fixture features Boreham Wood's consistent scoring and Wigan's sharp attackers, creating a dynamic attacking battle likely to produce several goals.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Boreham Wood's last matches all went over 2.5 goals with both teams scoring.

Model estimates a 58% chance for over 3.5 goals, above the implied market chance.

Wigan's attackers like C. Hogan have strong goal and shot profiles.

Limited defensive data on Wigan adds uncertainty but supports an attacking game.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • In recent matches and comparable fixtures, Over 2.5 Goals trends are strong, particularly for Boreham Wood, who have a 100% over 2.5 rate in recent games.
  • The tempo and attacking intent from both sides suggest that this trend will continue, making multiple goals a realistic expectation in this fixture.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Boreham Wood

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
17 Oct 2026H Woking3-2

Wigan

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Wigan yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 77% vs implied 80% · edge -3.2 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
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Wigan Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Boreham Wood to WinBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Boreham Wood Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
Wigan to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBetUK guide price · model 22%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Boreham Wood's recent form is characterized by matches exceeding 2.5 goals, with a 100% rate in their last games and both teams scoring consistently. Wigan's form data is limited, but their attacking player stats indicate offensive potential. This recent form context supports the likelihood of a high-scoring encounter, consistent with the Over 3.5 Goals pick.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Boreham Wood3
Avg goals scored
Wigan-
Boreham Wood2
Avg goals conceded
Wigan-
Boreham Wood100%
BTTS rate
Wigan-
Boreham Wood100%
Over 2.5 goals
Wigan-
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 58% vs implied 46% · edge +12.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Boreham Wood's recent matches have all featured over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, reflecting an open and attacking style. Wigan's attacking players have strong goal and shot metrics, supporting the potential for goals from both sides. This combination points to a game where multiple goals and BTTS are likely outcomes, reinforcing the Over 3.5 Goals selection.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 67% · edge +11.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Wigan Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Boreham Wood to WinBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Boreham Wood Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Wigan to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBetUK guide price · model 22%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
The 58% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 45.5% implied by the current price (+12.5 pts).
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Boreham Wood Over 2.5
-Wigan Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
In recent matches and comparable fixtures, Over 2.5 Goals trends are strong, particularly for Boreham Wood, who have a 100% over 2.5 rate in recent games. The tempo and attacking intent from both sides suggest that this trend will continue, making multiple goals a realistic expectation in this fixture.

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