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Queen of the South crestQueen of the South
v
East Kilbride crestEast Kilbride

League One | Sat 07 Nov, 15:00

Queen of the South v East Kilbride Stats

Data last updated: Fri 06 Nov 2026, 07:37 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This League One clash features Queen of the South and East Kilbride, two sides with contrasting offensive and defensive profiles. East Kilbride ranks higher in the table and boasts a strong attacking record, averaging 1.8 goals per match and an 80% rate for games exceeding 2.5 goals. Queen of the South, while lower in the standings, has conceded heavily with 2.4 goals against per game and a 40% over 2.5 goals rate. The fixture promises open play and goal-scoring opportunities, with both teams showing vulnerabilities at the back and a tendency for higher-scoring encounters in recent matches.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • East Kilbride averages 1.8 goals per game with 80% over 2.5 goals rate
  • Queen of the South concedes 2.4 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty
  • Recent head-to-head matches average 3.2 goals, supporting a high-scoring game
  • Queen of the South’s over 2.5 goals rate is 40%, East Kilbride’s is 80%, suggesting goal potential
  • Both teams have accumulated similar points recently, indicating competitive balance with attacking intent

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 3.5 Goals with a 48.6% chance, slightly above the implied market probability, reflecting the attacking strengths and defensive weaknesses of both teams. East Kilbride’s high over 2.5 goals rate and Queen of the South’s leaky defense create a fertile environment for multiple goals. The recent head-to-head average of 3.2 goals further supports the likelihood of a high-scoring match. No data limitations affect , and the offer a small positive , making this an attractive pick with standard stake guidance.

East Kilbride attacking output1.8 goals per game, 80% over 2.5 rate
Strong positive
Queen of the South defensive record2.4 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Head-to-head average goals3.2 goals per match
Positive
Model chance vs implied chance48.6% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+1 pts)
Positive
Data qualityNo limitations on team data
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking encounter as East Kilbride’s potent offense meets Queen of the South’s vulnerable defense. The data shows a pattern of high-scoring games between these teams, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling choice. Tactical openness and recent form suggest multiple goal opportunities throughout the match.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match attacking and defensive dynamics

“This fixture’s attacking dynamics and defensive lapses set the stage for a goal-rich game, with East Kilbride’s offensive consistency likely to exploit Queen of the South’s defensive gaps.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

East Kilbride averages 1.8 goals per game with 80% over 2.5 goals rate

Queen of the South concedes 2.4 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty

Recent head-to-head matches average 3.2 goals, supporting a high-scoring game

Queen of the South’s over 2.5 goals rate is 40%, East Kilbride’s is 80%, suggesting goal potential

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • The last five meetings between these teams average 3.2 goals, indicating a history of high-scoring matches.
  • This trend, combined with East Kilbride’s recent over 2.5 goals rate of 80%, suggests a fast tempo and attacking openness that favors multiple goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Queen of the South1.4
Avg goals scored
East Kilbride1.8
Queen of the South2.4
Avg goals conceded
East Kilbride1.2
Queen of the South40%
BTTS rate
East Kilbride80%
Queen of the South40%
Over 2.5 goals
East Kilbride80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 49% vs implied 48% · edge +1 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 85%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Goal trends favor a high-scoring game as East Kilbride’s 80% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Queen of the South’s 40%, indicating East Kilbride’s matches often feature multiple goals. The 3.2 average goals in their recent head-to-heads further underline the likelihood of goals from both sides, supporting Over 3.5 Goals.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 67% · edge +6.6 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Queen of the South Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Queen of the South to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
East Kilbride Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
East Kilbride to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
The 48.6% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 47.6% implied by the current price (+1 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Queen of the South and 80% for East Kilbride, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

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Useful next reads

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Queen of the South

LWLWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
31 Oct 2026A East Fife0-2
24 Oct 2026A Alloa Athletic1-0
17 Oct 2026H Ross County1-7
10 Oct 2026A Peterhead1-0
03 Oct 2026H Cove Rangers4-3

East Kilbride

LDDWW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
31 Oct 2026H Ross County1-2
17 Oct 2026H Montrose1-1
10 Oct 2026H Airdrie United2-2
03 Oct 2026A East Fife3-0
19 Sep 2026A Alloa Athletic2-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Queen of the South Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Queen of the South to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
East Kilbride Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
East Kilbride to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Recent form data shows East Kilbride with a strong attacking output and a high rate of over 2.5 goals matches, while Queen of the South has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.4 goals. Both teams have similar recent points totals, indicating competitive matches with attacking intent that favor a high-scoring outcome.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Queen of the South Over 2.5
80%East Kilbride Over 2.5
3.2H2H avg goals
The last five meetings between these teams average 3.2 goals, indicating a history of high-scoring matches. This trend, combined with East Kilbride’s recent over 2.5 goals rate of 80%, suggests a fast tempo and attacking openness that favors multiple goals in this fixture.

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