Football Stats Hub

Alloa Athletic crestAlloa Athletic
v
Airdrie United crestAirdrie United

League One | Sat 07 Nov, 15:00

Alloa Athletic v Airdrie United Stats

Data last updated: Fri 06 Nov 2026, 07:37 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Alloa Athletic and Airdrie United meet in a League One clash where attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities suggest an open game. Alloa Athletic has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match recently, while Airdrie United also shows defensive frailties with 1.8 goals conceded per game. Both teams have moderate scoring rates but a combined tendency towards matches with multiple goals. The mid-table stakes and balanced recent form create a scenario ripe for goal-scoring opportunities, with neither side likely to prioritize defensive caution.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Alloa Athletic concedes 2 goals per game on average, indicating defensive weaknesses.
  • Airdrie United concedes 1.8 goals per game, suggesting vulnerability at the back.
  • Alloa Athletic’s recent matches have an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals.
  • Airdrie United’s matches have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, supporting goal potential.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings average 2.5 goals per game, showing a history of multiple goals.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 60.3% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting the attacking and defensive profiles of both teams. Alloa Athletic’s high concession rate and Airdrie United’s similar defensive record create conditions conducive to multiple goals. Historical head-to-head data averaging 2.5 goals per match further supports this outlook. The current at 1.85 offer positive value with a 6.2% edge, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling selection based on recent form and statistical trends.

Model Chance60.3% model chance vs 54.1% implied (+6.2 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance60.3% model chance vs 54.1% implied (+6.2 pts)
Positive
Value Edge60.3% model chance vs 54.1% implied (+6.2 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Over 2.5 RatesAlloa 80%, Airdrie 60%
Positive
H2H Average Goals2.5 goals per match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Over 2.5 Goals is a strong pick given Alloa Athletic’s defensive struggles and Airdrie United’s openness in recent matches. The data shows a consistent pattern of multiple goals, supported by their head-to-head history. This selection aligns with the tactical likelihood of an open, goal-rich encounter between two mid-table teams seeking points.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Over 2.5 Goals

“The defensive records and recent scoring trends of both teams strongly indicate a match with multiple goals, making Over 2.5 Goals a logical and data-backed choice for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Alloa Athletic concedes 2 goals per game on average, indicating defensive weaknesses.

Airdrie United concedes 1.8 goals per game, suggesting vulnerability at the back.

Alloa Athletic’s recent matches have an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals.

Airdrie United’s matches have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, supporting goal potential.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.5 goals per game, indicating a consistent trend of multiple goals.
  • This sample suggests that encounters between these teams typically feature open play and goal-scoring opportunities, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals angle for this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Alloa Athletic1
Avg goals scored
Airdrie United0.8
Alloa Athletic2
Avg goals conceded
Airdrie United1.8
Alloa Athletic40%
BTTS rate
Airdrie United40%
Alloa Athletic80%
Over 2.5 goals
Airdrie United60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 60% vs implied 54% · edge +6.2 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2
Check odds @ 2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Both teams have shown tendencies toward matches with multiple goals, with Alloa Athletic’s games hitting Over 2.5 Goals 80% of the time and Airdrie United’s at 60%. Their combined attacking and defensive profiles suggest a high likelihood of goals, though both have a moderate BTTS rate of 40%, indicating some matches may see one-sided scoring.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 60% vs implied 54% · edge +6.2 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Airdrie United Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Airdrie United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Alloa Athletic Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Alloa Athletic to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The 60.3% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 54.1% implied by the current price (+6.2 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Alloa Athletic and 60% for Airdrie United, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

League One hubplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Alloa Athletic

LLWLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
31 Oct 2026A Peterhead1-2
24 Oct 2026H Queen of the South0-1
17 Oct 2026A East Fife3-0
10 Oct 2026H Hamilton Academical0-3
03 Oct 2026A Ross County1-4

Airdrie United

LLLDW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
31 Oct 2026H Cove Rangers0-1
24 Oct 2026A Ross County0-4
17 Oct 2026H Hamilton Academical1-2
10 Oct 2026A East Kilbride2-2
03 Oct 2026H Montrose1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +4.2 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Airdrie United Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Airdrie United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Alloa Athletic Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Alloa Athletic to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Recent form data shows Alloa Athletic scoring 1 goal per match but conceding 2, while Airdrie United scores 0.8 and concedes 1.8. Both teams have a strong recent Over 2.5 Goals rate, especially Alloa Athletic at 80%, indicating a trend toward high-scoring games in their latest fixtures.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Alloa Athletic Over 2.5
60%Airdrie United Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.5 goals per game, indicating a consistent trend of multiple goals. This sample suggests that encounters between these teams typically feature open play and goal-scoring opportunities, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals angle for this fixture.

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