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Kazakhstan crestKazakhstan
v
Moldova crestMoldova

UEFA Nations League | Fri 02 Oct, 15:00

Kazakhstan v Moldova Stats

Data last updated: Thu 22 Oct 2026, 21:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Kazakhstan face Moldova in UEFA Nations League on Fri 02 Oct, 15:00. A 1-1 draw fits the low-scoring pattern both teams have shown in the Nations League, with Kazakhstan’s strong home record and Moldova’s consistent away scoring supporting this balanced outcome.

BT4Y best bet

Despite Kazakhstan’s recent clean sheets

  • At 5/6, Despite Kazakhstan’s recent clean sheets implies roughly 55%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • The Both Teams To Score (Yes) market requires Kazakhstan and Moldova to each score at least one goal during 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • Kazakhstan show a 100% BTTS rate and Moldova show a 50% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Kazakhstan average 1 goals scored and Moldova average 0.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Despite Kazakhstan’s recent clean sheets sits against roughly 55% implied by the current price. Kazakhstan show a 100% BTTS rate and Moldova show a 50% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The Both Teams To Score (Yes) market requires Kazakhstan and Moldova to each score at least one goal during 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 55% implied
Strong positive
Kazakhstan show a 100% BTTS rate and Moldova show a.Visible data support
Positive
Kazakhstan average 1 goals scored and Moldova average 0.5, so.Visible data support
Positive
The Both Teams To Score (Yes) market requires Kazakhstan.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the Both Teams To Score (Yes) market requires Kazakhstan and Moldova to each score at least one goal during 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Kazakhstan show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Moldova show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Both have collected one point from two matches, but Kazakhstan return home after successive away fixtures and have stronger recent results on their own ground.

Main risk

Both have collected one point from two matches, but Kazakhstan return home after successive away fixtures and have stronger recent results on their own ground.

Key Data Signals

Despite Kazakhstan’s recent clean sheets evidence

The Both Teams To Score (Yes) market requires Kazakhstan and Moldova to each score at least one goal.

Kazakhstan show a 100% BTTS rate and Moldova show a 50% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Kazakhstan average 1 goals scored and Moldova average 0.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Despite Kazakhstan’s recent clean sheets notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Kazakhstan1
Avg goals scored
Moldova0.5
Kazakhstan1.5
Avg goals conceded
Moldova1.5
Kazakhstan100%
BTTS rate
Moldova50%
Kazakhstan50%
Over 2.5 goals
Moldova0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more UEFA Nations League analysisrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Moldova Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Moldova to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Kazakhstan to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Kazakhstan Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Kazakhstan

LD
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
29 Sep 2026A Slovakia1-2
26 Sep 2026A Faroe Islands1-1

Moldova

DL
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
29 Sep 2026H Faroe Islands1-1
26 Sep 2026A Slovakia0-2
Best odds for this sectionMoldova Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 36% · edge +5.6 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Moldova to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Kazakhstan to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Kazakhstan Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Kazakhstan Over 2.5
0%Moldova Over 2.5
1.67H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Kazakhstan sit at 50% and Moldova sit at 0% with the H2H average at 1.67 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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