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TSV Hartberg crestTSV Hartberg
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Floridsdorfer AC crestFloridsdorfer AC

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 13 Nov, 11:30

TSV Hartberg v Floridsdorfer AC Stats

Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 01:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

TSV Hartberg and Floridsdorfer AC meet in a friendly fixture where both sides have shown contrasting scoring patterns recently. TSV Hartberg boasts a strong defensive record, conceding just 0.4 goals per game, while Floridsdorfer AC has struggled defensively, allowing 1.4 goals per match. Hartberg’s attack is moderate with 2.4 goals per game, whereas Floridsdorfer AC averages 1.4. The friendly nature of the match suggests cautious approaches, with both teams likely prioritizing defensive solidity and fitness over open attacking play, setting the stage for a low-scoring encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • TSV Hartberg concedes only 0.4 goals per game, indicating strong defensive form
  • Floridsdorfer AC concedes 1.4 goals per game, but their attack is less potent
  • Hartberg’s over 2.5 goals rate is just 40%, supporting a low-scoring game
  • Floridsdorfer AC’s high BTTS rate (80%) contrasts with Hartberg’s zero BTTS rate
  • Model projects a 44% chance for Under 2.5 Goals, with positive value at 3.25

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals due to TSV Hartberg’s solid defensive record, conceding only 0.4 goals per game, and their low BTTS rate of 0%. Floridsdorfer AC’s defensive vulnerabilities are offset by their modest scoring rate, suggesting limited goal volume. The recent form data and the friendly match context imply cautious tactics, reducing the likelihood of a high-scoring game. The current of 3.25 offer positive value with a 13.2% edge, making Under 2.5 Goals an attractive selection without major price warnings.

TSV Hartberg Defensive Strength0.4 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Floridsdorfer AC Modest Attack1.4 goals scored per game
Positive
BTTS Rate ContrastHartberg 0%, Floridsdorfer 80%
Neutral
Match ContextFriendly with likely cautious tactics
Positive
Price Value Edge44% model chance vs 30.8% implied (+13.2 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a sensible pick given TSV Hartberg’s defensive discipline and the cautious nature of a friendly match. Floridsdorfer AC’s attack is unlikely to overcome Hartberg’s solid backline, and both teams have shown tendencies toward low-scoring games recently, supporting a tight contest with limited goals.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive control and match tempo

“TSV Hartberg’s defensive resilience combined with the friendly match setting suggests a controlled tempo and fewer goal-scoring opportunities, making Under 2.5 Goals a tactically sound choice.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

TSV Hartberg concedes only 0.4 goals per game, indicating strong defensive form

Floridsdorfer AC concedes 1.4 goals per game, but their attack is less potent

Floridsdorfer AC’s high BTTS rate (80%) contrasts with Hartberg’s zero BTTS rate

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 3 goals per game, suggesting a moderate scoring history.
  • However, recent form and defensive trends indicate a potential shift towards tighter matches.
  • The Over 2.5 Goals trend panel shows Floridsdorfer AC’s high over 2.5 rate contrasts with Hartberg’s lower rate, suggesting that the match tempo and defensive focus may suppress goal totals in this specific fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

TSV Hartberg2.4
Avg goals scored
Floridsdorfer AC1.4
TSV Hartberg0.4
Avg goals conceded
Floridsdorfer AC1.4
TSV Hartberg0%
BTTS rate
Floridsdorfer AC80%
TSV Hartberg40%
Over 2.5 goals
Floridsdorfer AC80%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 31% · edge +13.2 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
The goal and BTTS trends reveal a stark contrast: TSV Hartberg has not seen both teams score in recent matches, while Floridsdorfer AC has an 80% BTTS rate. However, Hartberg’s strong defense and low goals conceded suggest that despite Floridsdorfer’s attacking attempts, the match is more likely to stay under 2.5 goals, with limited scoring chances overall.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionTSV Hartberg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 77% · edge -2.9 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
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Floridsdorfer AC to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7
Check odds @ 7
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
5
Check odds @ 5
The 44% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 30.8% implied by the current price (+13.2 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for TSV Hartberg and 80% for Floridsdorfer AC, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

TSV Hartberg

WLWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 2L
24 Sep 2026H SV Kapfenberg5-0
18 Jul 2026H Voitsberg0-2
18 Jul 2026H First Vienna2-0
11 Jul 2026H Příbram3-0
08 Jul 2026H Zbrojovka Brno2-0

Floridsdorfer AC

LLWDW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
02 Oct 2026A Sturm Graz1-3
17 Jul 2026A Prostějov1-2
10 Jul 2026A Leobendorf3-1
07 Jul 2026A SV Horn0-0
03 Jul 2026A Wiener SC2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 33% · edge +11.7 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
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TSV Hartberg to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.06
Check odds @ 1.06
Floridsdorfer AC to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
5
Check odds @ 5
Recent form data highlights TSV Hartberg’s strong defensive output, conceding just 0.4 goals per game and maintaining a 0% BTTS rate, indicating tight matches. Floridsdorfer AC’s form shows a higher goals conceded rate and BTTS frequency, but their modest scoring reduces the likelihood of a high-scoring game. These trends align with the Under 2.5 Goals selection, reflecting cautious play and defensive focus.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%TSV Hartberg Over 2.5
80%Floridsdorfer AC Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 3 goals per game, suggesting a moderate scoring history. However, recent form and defensive trends indicate a potential shift towards tighter matches. The Over 2.5 Goals trend panel shows Floridsdorfer AC’s high over 2.5 rate contrasts with Hartberg’s lower rate, suggesting that the match tempo and defensive focus may suppress goal totals in this specific fixture.

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