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Hungary crestHungary
v
Georgia crestGeorgia

UEFA Nations League | Fri 02 Oct, 19:45

Hungary v Georgia Stats

Data last updated: Fri 23 Oct 2026, 02:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Hungary face Georgia in UEFA Nations League on Fri 02 Oct, 19:45. Under 2.5 Goals is supported by both teams failing to score in their opening two Nations League matches and all four combined fixtures producing fewer than three goals. Hungary and Georgia have identical unbeaten streaks of 1 match each.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2

  • At 13/20, Under 2 implies roughly 61%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • Demonstrated scoring capability in Budapest with recent 3-1 and 2-1 victories over Kazakhstan and Finland.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Hungary and 0% for Georgia, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Hungary are carrying more of the scoring load at 0 goals per match, with Georgia at 0.
  • BTTS rates of 0% for Hungary and 0% for Georgia show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Under 2 sits against roughly 61% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Hungary and 0% for Georgia, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Demonstrated scoring capability in Budapest with recent 3-1 and 2-1 victories over Kazakhstan and Finland.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 61% implied
Neutral
The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Hungary and 0%.Visible data support
Positive
Hungary are carrying more of the scoring load at 0.Visible data support
Positive
Demonstrated scoring capability in Budapest with recent 3-1.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because each of Georgia's last five matches has finished with under 2.5 goals. Hungary are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Georgia at 0. Both sides have solid defenses, making a single goal each plausible but multiple goals unlikely.

Main risk

Both sides have solid defenses, making a single goal each plausible but multiple goals unlikely.

Key Data Signals

Under 2 evidence

Each of Georgia's last five matches has finished with under that scoring level.

Hungary are carrying more of the scoring load at 0 goals per match, with Georgia at 0.

BTTS rates of 0% for Hungary and 0% for Georgia show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2 notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Hungary0
Avg goals scored
Georgia0
Hungary0.5
Avg goals conceded
Georgia0.5
Hungary0%
BTTS rate
Georgia0%
Hungary0%
Over 2.5 goals
Georgia0%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 59% · edge +7.2 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 0% for Hungary and 0% for Georgia, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Nations League fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictionfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionGeorgia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 44% · edge -2.4 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Georgia to WinBetUK guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Hungary to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Hungary Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 35%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Georgia Draw No Bet is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Hungary

DL
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
28 Sep 2026A Northern Ireland0-0
25 Sep 2026H Ukraine0-1

Georgia

DL
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
28 Sep 2026H Ukraine0-0
25 Sep 2026H Northern Ireland0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 56% · edge +3.6 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Georgia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Georgia to WinBetUK guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Hungary to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Hungary Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Hungary Over 2.5
0%Georgia Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Hungary sit at 0% and Georgia sit at 0%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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