Hull City

Nice

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 15 Aug, 15:00

Hull City v Nice Stats

Data last updated: Fri 14 Aug 2026, 07:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Hull City prepare for their Premier League return with a strong home record, unbeaten in six consecutive matches at the MKM Stadium and boasting three clean sheets in their last five home games. Nice arrive after a sharp decline in attacking form, failing to score in their last two friendlies and struggling on the road last season with only one away win in six matches. Despite Hull's injury concerns, their defensive resilience and Nice's scoring drought set the stage for a controlled match where Hull hold the tactical and structural advantage to secure victory.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Hull City to Win

Price warning: current odds imply about 48%, above the 39% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
Hull City unbeaten in six home matches, with three clean sheets in last five at MKM Stadium
Nice failed to score in their last two pre-season friendlies and have poor away scoring record
Hull's defensive solidity contrasts with Nice's recent attacking struggles
Hull face multiple absences including goalkeeper Jack Butland, posing some defensive risk

Price warning

Hull City to Win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 48% while the model sits nearer 39% (-9 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: BTTS No shows a +13.8 pts edge at 2.25.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The model identifies Hull City as the favored side due to their strong home form and defensive consistency, which contrasts with Nice's recent scoring difficulties and poor away record. Hull's unbeaten streak at home and multiple clean sheets underpin their ability to control the match tempo. However, the current are short relative to the model's chance, indicating a price-sensitive selection. Reduced staking or waiting for improvement is advised, while the football read remains compelling based on form and tactical context.

Price / value39% model chance vs 48% implied (-9 pts)

Negative

Home defensive recordUnbeaten in six home matches with three clean sheets

Strong positive

Away scoring drought for NiceNo goals in last two friendlies and poor away wins last season

Positive

Injury concerns for HullKey players including goalkeeper sidelined

Negative

Odds vs model chanceOdds imply 54.1% chance, model estimates 38.6%

Negative

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Hull City's unbeaten home run and defensive strength provide a solid foundation to overcome Nice's recent attacking lull. The hosts' ability to control possession and tempo at the MKM Stadium, combined with Nice's poor away form, makes a home win the most plausible outcome in this friendly encounter.

Main risk

Olivier Pantaloni’s team scored seven goals without reply across their opening two friendlies against Nimes and Marseille, but they have since failed to score in back-to-back matches against Juventus and Cagliari.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Hull City's defensive resilience at home and Nice's scoring drought create a tactical mismatch that should allow the hosts to dictate the game and secure victory despite injury setbacks.”

Key Data Signals

Hull City to Win evidence

Hull City unbeaten in six home matches, with three clean sheets in last five at MKM Stadium

Nice failed to score in their last two pre-season friendlies and have poor away scoring record

Hull's defensive solidity contrasts with Nice's recent attacking struggles

Hull face multiple absences including goalkeeper Jack Butland, posing some defensive risk

What To Watch In The Data

Hull City to Win notes

Over the last five matches, both teams have a 50% rate for over 2.5 goals, but Nice's recent scoring drought and Hull's defensive discipline suggest a lower tempo and fewer goals in this fixture, indicating a trend towards under 3.5 goals rather than a high-scoring game.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Hull City1.5

Avg goals scored

Nice1.75

Hull City1

Avg goals conceded

Nice0.5

Hull City50%

BTTS rate

Nice0%

Hull City50%

Over 2.5 goals

Nice50%

Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 44% · edge +13.8 pts

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

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Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 54%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%

1.2

Check odds @ 1.2

Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 46%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Both teams to score is unlikely given Nice's recent two-match scoring drought and Hull's strong defensive record at home, including three clean sheets in five matches. The data supports a low-scoring game with under 3.5 goals and BTTS No as plausible outcomes.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Hull City

LDWW

Last 52W 1D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 1D 1L

08 Aug 2026A Eintracht Frankfurt0-2

01 Aug 2026A Kasımpaşa1-1

28 Jul 2026A Rizespor2-1

25 Jul 2026A Konyaspor3-0

Nice

DLWW

Last 52W 1D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 1D 1L

08 Aug 2026A Cagliari0-0

31 Jul 2026A Juventus0-2

25 Jul 2026A Marseille3-0

18 Jul 2026H Nimes4-0

Market aligned with main pickHull City to WinBetfred guide price · Model 39% vs implied 48% · edge -9 pts

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

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Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 67%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Hull City Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 49%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

Hull City's unbeaten streak of six home matches, including three clean sheets, contrasts with Nice's recent failure to score in two friendlies. This form disparity favors Hull's ability to control the match and maintain defensive solidity, underpinning their winning chances.

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Useful next reads

Hull City v Nice prediction player stats betting angles football stats hub football hub football predictions hub best bets research acca fixture filtering

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickHull City to WinBetfred guide price · Model 39% vs implied 48% · edge -9 pts

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Hull City Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 49%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 46%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

The for Hull City to win are shorter than the model's calculated chance, reflecting market in their home form and Nice's recent struggles. This pricing suggests a price-sensitive selection rather than clear value, with potential for better returns if drift or line-ups clarify.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Hull City wins

0Draws

0Nice wins

Market aligned with main pickHull City to WinBetfred guide price · Model 39% vs implied 48% · edge -9 pts

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 46%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

No previous head-to-head meetings exist between Hull City and Nice, so historical data offers no direct support. The match outcome will depend more on current form, tactical setups, and player availability than past encounters.

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Hull City5

Played

Nice5

Hull City1.2

Avg goals for

Nice1.4

Hull City0.8

Avg goals against

Nice0.6

Hull City2

Clean sheets

Nice3

Market aligned with main pickHull City to WinBetfred guide price · Model 39% vs implied 48% · edge -9 pts

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

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Hull City Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 49%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

Hull City's season preparation shows a strong defensive profile with multiple clean sheets and consistent scoring at home. Nice's season stats reveal a decline in attacking output and a poor away record, highlighting a tactical edge for Hull in both scoring and defensive metrics.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Hull City Over 2.5

50%Nice Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

Over the last five matches, both teams have a 50% rate for over 2.5 goals, but Nice's recent scoring drought and Hull's defensive discipline suggest a lower tempo and fewer goals in this fixture, indicating a trend towards under 3.5 goals rather than a high-scoring game.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Hull City v Nice Stats

Match Report

Hull City to Win

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Hull City

Nice

Continue the research

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Football Stats Hub

Hull City v Nice Stats

Match Report

Hull City to Win

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Hull City

Nice

Continue the research

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