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VfB Stuttgart crestVfB Stuttgart

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 15 Aug, 16:00

Fulham v VfB Stuttgart Stats

Data last updated: Fri 14 Aug 2026, 07:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fulham and VfB Stuttgart meet in a pre-season friendly where both teams are likely to focus on offensive experimentation and fitness rather than defensive rigidity. VfB Stuttgart has shown a potent attack in recent outings, averaging five goals per game, while Fulham's games often feature multiple goals, with a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals. This fixture offers an open contest with attacking intent from both sides, setting the stage for a high-scoring encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • VfB Stuttgart averages 5 goals per game, indicating strong attacking form.
  • Fulham's matches have a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals, showing openness in play.
  • Both teams have decent BTTS rates, with Fulham at 80% and Stuttgart at 60%.
  • Recent defensive records suggest vulnerabilities, with Fulham conceding 1.6 goals per game.
  • No head-to-head data, so current form and attacking trends are key indicators.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a value bet with a 58% chance against an implied market chance of 45.5%, reflecting a 12.5% . VfB Stuttgart's prolific scoring and Fulham's openness in friendlies support a high-goal scenario. The level of 72% underscores a strong statistical backing, making this an attractive bet for those seeking a lively, goal-rich match. The data quality is solid, with no limitations on team stats, enhancing reliability.

Model Chance58%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance45.5%
Positive
Value Edge12.5%
Strong positive
Confidence Level72%
Strong positive
Data QualityGood for both teams
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking friendly where both Fulham and VfB Stuttgart will prioritize offensive play and fitness. VfB Stuttgart's recent goal-scoring prowess combined with Fulham's tendency for high-scoring games suggests a lively match with multiple goals. This bet captures the attacking mindset and statistical trends of both sides effectively.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking tactics

“This fixture is poised for goals given Stuttgart's scoring form and Fulham's open play style in friendlies. The Over 3.5 Goals market aligns well with the attacking setups and recent trends, making it a compelling choice for goal-hungry punters.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

VfB Stuttgart averages 5 goals per game, indicating strong attacking form.

Fulham's matches have a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals, showing openness in play.

Both teams have decent BTTS rates, with Fulham at 80% and Stuttgart at 60%.

Recent defensive records suggest vulnerabilities, with Fulham conceding 1.6 goals per game.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last five matches, Stuttgart has consistently produced games with more than 2.5 goals, while Fulham maintains a 60% rate in the same period.
  • This trend suggests a fast tempo and attacking intent from both sides, increasing the likelihood of a goal-rich encounter in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Fulham1.2
Avg goals scored
VfB Stuttgart5
Fulham1.6
Avg goals conceded
VfB Stuttgart0.8
Fulham80%
BTTS rate
VfB Stuttgart60%
Fulham60%
Over 2.5 goals
VfB Stuttgart100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 46% · edge +12.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both teams show strong attacking tendencies with Fulham's 60% over 2.5 goals rate and Stuttgart's perfect 100% in recent matches. Fulham's 80% BTTS rate and Stuttgart's 60% suggest both sides are likely to score, supporting a high-goal scenario with multiple goal contributions expected from each team.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 67% · edge +11.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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VfB Stuttgart Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
VfB Stuttgart to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Fulham Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBetUK guide price · model 18%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Fulham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 2.2 with a significant of 12.5%, reflecting the model's in a high-scoring game. The market underestimates the likelihood of multiple goals given Stuttgart's prolific scoring and Fulham's openness, making this a positive-value opportunity without price warnings.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Fulham

DLWDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 2L
12 Aug 2026A Malaga2-2
07 Aug 2026H Crystal Palace1-2
01 Aug 2026A Farense2-1
28 Jul 2026A Al-Ahli Jeddah1-1
25 Jul 2026H Norwich0-2

VfB Stuttgart

WDWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 0L
08 Aug 2026H Everton3-1
01 Aug 2026H Paris FC2-2
29 Jul 2026A Kickers Offenbach8-1
25 Jul 2026A Hollenbach5-0
19 Jul 2026A Balingen7-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 63% · edge +15 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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VfB Stuttgart Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
VfB Stuttgart to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Fulham Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBetUK guide price · model 18%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 48%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Fulham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Recent form data highlights Stuttgart's exceptional goal-scoring with an average of 5 goals per game and Fulham's matches frequently exceeding 2.5 goals at a 60% rate. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides further increase the likelihood of a high-scoring friendly, reflecting an open and attacking tempo in recent outings.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Fulham wins
0Draws
0VfB Stuttgart wins
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 67% · edge +11.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
VfB Stuttgart to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
DrawBetUK guide price · model 18%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Fulham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
No previous meetings exist between Fulham and VfB Stuttgart, so historical head-to-head data cannot inform this match. The analysis must rely on recent form and attacking trends rather than past encounters.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Fulham5
Played
VfB Stuttgart6
Fulham1.2
Avg goals for
VfB Stuttgart4.7
Fulham1.6
Avg goals against
VfB Stuttgart1
Fulham0
Clean sheets
VfB Stuttgart2
Best odds for this sectionVfB Stuttgart Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
VfB Stuttgart to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Fulham Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Fulham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Seasonal statistics reinforce the expectation of multiple goals, with Stuttgart's attack averaging 5 goals per game and conceding only 0.8, indicating offensive control. Fulham's attack and defense numbers suggest openness, with 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, supporting the Over 3.5 Goals projection.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Fulham Over 2.5
100%VfB Stuttgart Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Stuttgart has consistently produced games with more than 2.5 goals, while Fulham maintains a 60% rate in the same period. This trend suggests a fast tempo and attacking intent from both sides, increasing the likelihood of a goal-rich encounter in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.