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Fulham crestFulham
v
VfB Stuttgart crestVfB Stuttgart

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 15 Aug, 16:00

Fulham v VfB Stuttgart Stats

Data last updated: Tue 08 Sep 2026, 18:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fulham face VfB Stuttgart in Friendlies Clubs on Sat 15 Aug, 16:00. Fulham come in with 5 recent points and 1.2 goals per match, while VfB Stuttgart have 13 points and 5 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

VfB Stuttgart to Win

  • At 2.75, VfB Stuttgart to Win implies roughly 36%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 51%.
  • VfB Stuttgart have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 5 for Fulham.
  • VfB Stuttgart have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the VfB Stuttgart to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 51% for VfB Stuttgart to Win sits against roughly 36% implied by the current price. VfB Stuttgart have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 5 for Fulham.

Model chance vs price51% model chance against roughly 36% implied
Strong positive
VfB Stuttgart have the stronger recent points return, taking 13.Visible data support
Positive
VfB Stuttgart have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: VfB Stuttgart Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers VfB Stuttgart have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 5 for Fulham. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

VfB Stuttgart to Win evidence

VfB Stuttgart have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 5 for Fulham.

VfB Stuttgart have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the VfB Stuttgart Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

VfB Stuttgart to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Fulham1.2
    Avg goals scored
    VfB Stuttgart5
    Fulham1.6
    Avg goals conceded
    VfB Stuttgart0.8
    Fulham80%
    BTTS rate
    VfB Stuttgart60%
    Fulham60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    VfB Stuttgart100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 67% · edge +11.3 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickVfB Stuttgart to WinBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    VfB Stuttgart Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    VfB Stuttgart to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Fulham

    DLWDL
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 2D 2L
    12 Aug 2026A Malaga2-2
    07 Aug 2026H Crystal Palace1-2
    01 Aug 2026A Farense2-1
    28 Jul 2026A Al-Ahli Jeddah1-1
    25 Jul 2026H Norwich0-2

    VfB Stuttgart

    WDWWW
    Last 54W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 1D 0L
    08 Aug 2026H Everton3-1
    01 Aug 2026H Paris FC2-2
    29 Jul 2026A Kickers Offenbach8-1
    25 Jul 2026A Hollenbach5-0
    19 Jul 2026A Balingen7-0
    Market aligned with main pickVfB Stuttgart to WinBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    VfB Stuttgart Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Fulham wins
    0Draws
    0VfB Stuttgart wins
    Market aligned with main pickVfB Stuttgart to WinBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for VfB Stuttgart to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    Fulham6
    Played
    VfB Stuttgart7
    Fulham1.2
    Avg goals for
    VfB Stuttgart4
    Fulham1.3
    Avg goals against
    VfB Stuttgart1
    Fulham1
    Clean sheets
    VfB Stuttgart2
    Market aligned with main pickVfB Stuttgart to WinBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Load more odds for this section
    VfB Stuttgart Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Season data supports VfB Stuttgart to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Fulham Over 2.5
    100%VfB Stuttgart Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Fulham sit at 60% and VfB Stuttgart sit at 100%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.