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Faroe Islands crestFaroe Islands
v
Slovakia crestSlovakia

UEFA Nations League | Fri 02 Oct, 19:45

Faroe Islands v Slovakia Stats

Data last updated: Fri 23 Oct 2026, 04:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Faroe Islands face Slovakia in UEFA Nations League on Fri 02 Oct, 19:45. Slovakia's perfect Nations League record and attacking output under Vladimir Weiss suggest they can break down a resilient Faroe Islands defence. Faroe Islands and Slovakia arrive with similar form, leaving fine margins likely to decide the result.

BT4Y match pick

Slovakia to win

  • At 6/10, Slovakia to win implies roughly 63%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 59%.
  • Martin Dubravka's recent clean sheets highlight Slovakia's defensive strength.
  • Slovakia have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 2 for Faroe Islands.
  • Slovakia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Slovakia to win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Faroe Islands sit 2 in the table, while Slovakia sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 59% for Slovakia to win sits against roughly 63% implied by the current price. Slovakia have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 2 for Faroe Islands. Martin Dubravka's recent clean sheets highlight Slovakia's defensive strength.

Model chance vs price59% model chance against roughly 63% implied
Negative
Slovakia have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points.Visible data support
Positive
Slovakia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Martin Dubravka's recent clean sheets highlight Slovakia's defensive strength.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Slovakia Win is the preferred angle because martin Dubravka's recent clean sheets highlight Slovakia's defensive strength. Slovakia have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 2 for Faroe Islands. Slovakia have the tools to score, but breaking down the Faroe Islands at Tórsvøllur rarely results in a heavy defeat.

Main risk

Slovakia have the tools to score, but breaking down the Faroe Islands at Tórsvøllur rarely results in a heavy defeat.

Key Data Signals

Slovakia to win evidence

Martin Dubravka's recent clean sheets highlight Slovakia's defensive strength.

Slovakia have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 2 for Faroe Islands.

Slovakia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Slovakia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Faroe Islands sit 2 in the table, while Slovakia sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Slovakia to win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Faroe Islands1
    Avg goals scored
    Slovakia2
    Faroe Islands1
    Avg goals conceded
    Slovakia0.5
    Faroe Islands100%
    BTTS rate
    Slovakia50%
    Faroe Islands0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Slovakia50%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    UEFA Nations League fixtures and predictionsFaroe Islands v Slovakia predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSlovakia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 64% · edge -4.5 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Slovakia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.27
    Check odds @ 1.27
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Slovakia to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Faroe Islands

    DD
    Last 50W 2D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 2D 0L
    29 Sep 2026A Moldova1-1
    26 Sep 2026H Kazakhstan1-1

    Slovakia

    WW
    Last 52W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 0L
    29 Sep 2026H Kazakhstan2-1
    26 Sep 2026H Moldova2-0
    Market aligned with main pickSlovakia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 64% · edge -4.5 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 81%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Slovakia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.27
    Check odds @ 1.27
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Faroe Islands Over 2.5
    50%Slovakia Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Faroe Islands sit at 0% and Slovakia sit at 50%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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