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Energie Cottbus crestEnergie Cottbus
v
FC Augsburg crestFC Augsburg

DFB Pokal | Sat 22 Aug, 12:00

Energie Cottbus v FC Augsburg Stats

Data last updated: Fri 21 Aug 2026, 07:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Energie Cottbus face FC Augsburg in DFB Pokal on Sat 22 Aug, 12:00. The 3-0 loss at Bielefeld showed that their new level can punish them heavily, and Cottbus have gone out in the first round of this competition in eight of the last nine seasons.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Augsburg to win and both teams to score

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 40%, above the 22% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 6/4, Augsburg to win and both teams to score implies roughly 40%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 22%.
  • The visitors' away struggles add further context to this prediction.
Price warning

Augsburg to win and both teams to score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 40% while the model sits nearer 22% (-18.1 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Under 2.5 Goals shows a +15 pts edge at 2.6.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 22% for Augsburg to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price. The visitors' away struggles add further context to this prediction.

Model chance vs price22% model chance against roughly 40% implied
Negative
The visitors' away struggles add further context to this.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -18.1 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Energie Cottbus Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because the visitors' away struggles add further context to this prediction. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Augsburg to win and both teams to score evidence

The visitors' away struggles add further context to this prediction.

What To Watch In The Data

Augsburg to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickEnergie Cottbus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
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Energie Cottbus to WinBetMGM guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Energie Cottbus Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Energie Cottbus-
Avg goals scored
FC Augsburg-
Energie Cottbus-
Avg goals conceded
FC Augsburg-
Energie Cottbus-
BTTS rate
FC Augsburg-
Energie Cottbus-
Over 2.5 goals
FC Augsburg-
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 32%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Energie Cottbus

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Energie Cottbus yet.

FC Augsburg

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for FC Augsburg yet.

Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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Energie Cottbus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Energie Cottbus to WinBetMGM guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Energie Cottbus wins
0Draws
0FC Augsburg wins
Market aligned with main pickEnergie Cottbus to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 34% vs implied 19% · edge +15 pts
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Energie Cottbus to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Season team stats

DFB Pokal

Energie Cottbus0
Played
FC Augsburg0
Energie Cottbus0
Avg goals for
FC Augsburg0
Energie Cottbus0
Avg goals against
FC Augsburg0
Energie Cottbus0
Clean sheets
FC Augsburg0
Market aligned with main pickEnergie Cottbus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
Energie Cottbus to WinBetMGM guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Season data supports Energie Cottbus Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Energie Cottbus Over 2.5
-FC Augsburg Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The visitors' away struggles add further context to this prediction.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.