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Eldense crestEldense
v
Granada CF crestGranada CF

Segunda División | Sun 01 Nov, 13:00

Eldense v Granada CF Stats

Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 08:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Eldense and Granada CF meet in a Segunda División clash where both teams have shown attacking intent and vulnerability at the back. Eldense ranks 13th with 14 points, while Granada CF sits 5th with 20 points, reflecting a competitive fixture. Both sides average around 1.8 to 2 goals scored per game and concede over one goal per match, indicating open play and goal-scoring opportunities. Recent form data highlights a shared tendency for matches to exceed 2.5 goals, setting the stage for an entertaining encounter with offensive momentum on both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Both teams average 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season
  • Eldense scores 1.8 and concedes 1.4 goals per game
  • Granada CF scores 2.0 and concedes 1.2 goals per game
  • Recent head-to-head matches average 4 goals per game
  • Both teams generate high shot volumes: Eldense 13, Granada CF 14.8 per match

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model projects a 63.7% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, supported by both teams' attacking profiles and defensive openness. Eldense and Granada CF maintain high shot averages and similar BTTS and Over 2.5 rates of 60%, indicating frequent goal-scoring matches. The recent head-to-head average of 4 goals per game further reinforces the likelihood of multiple goals. This combination of offensive potency and defensive susceptibility creates a strong statistical foundation for expecting over 2.5 goals in this fixture.

Model Chance63.7% model chance vs 52.6% implied (+11.1 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance63.7% model chance vs 52.6% implied (+11.1 pts)
Positive
Value Edge63.7% model chance vs 52.6% implied (+11.1 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Over 2.5 Rates60% each team
Strong positive
Average Shots per GameEldense 13, Granada CF 14.8
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking match as both Eldense and Granada CF have shown a propensity for scoring and conceding goals this season. The average goals per game and recent form suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a fitting selection, reflecting the offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities of both sides.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and match tempo

“This fixture features two teams with strong attacking intent and defensive frailties, making Over 2.5 Goals a logical expectation. Their shared high shot volumes and goal averages point to an engaging, goal-rich encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Both teams average 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season

Eldense scores 1.8 and concedes 1.4 goals per game

Granada CF scores 2.0 and concedes 1.2 goals per game

Recent head-to-head matches average 4 goals per game

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last two head-to-head matches averaged 4 goals, illustrating a history of high-scoring encounters.
  • This recent trend, combined with both teams' attacking styles and defensive records over the current season, suggests a continuation of goal-rich games in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Eldense1.8
Avg goals scored
Granada CF2
Eldense1.4
Avg goals conceded
Granada CF1.2
Eldense60%
BTTS rate
Granada CF60%
Eldense60%
Over 2.5 goals
Granada CF60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 64% vs implied 53% · edge +11.1 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 82%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both Eldense and Granada CF have BTTS and Over 2.5 rates at 60%, showing a consistent pattern of matches with multiple goals and goals from both sides. Their offensive output combined with defensive concessions supports a goal-rich game scenario.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 64% vs implied 53% · edge +11.1 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Granada CF Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Granada CF to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Eldense Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
The 63.7% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 52.6% implied by the current price (+11.1 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Eldense and 60% for Granada CF, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Eldense

LWWWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
25 Oct 2026A Albacete0-2
18 Oct 2026A Valladolid3-2
10 Oct 2026H Cordoba2-1
02 Oct 2026H Oviedo4-1
27 Sep 2026A Burgos0-1

Granada CF

WWWWL
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
23 Oct 2026H Valladolid2-1
18 Oct 2026H Cadiz2-0
12 Oct 2026A Burgos1-0
04 Oct 2026A Real Sociedad II3-2
26 Sep 2026H FC Andorra2-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Granada CF Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Granada CF to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Eldense Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 53%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Eldense to WinBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Recent form data shows both teams averaging 60% Over 2.5 Goals in their matches, reflecting a trend of open games with multiple goals. Eldense's 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, alongside Granada CF's 2.0 scored and 1.2 conceded, underline their offensive strengths and defensive vulnerabilities.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Eldense Over 2.5
60%Granada CF Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
The last two head-to-head matches averaged 4 goals, illustrating a history of high-scoring encounters. This recent trend, combined with both teams' attacking styles and defensive records over the current season, suggests a continuation of goal-rich games in this fixture.

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