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Venezia crestVenezia

Serie A | Sun 01 Nov, 11:30

Como v Venezia Stats

Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 17:38 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Como host Venezia in a Serie A clash where the home side aims to extend their winning streak to five matches, riding strong attacking momentum and solid possession control. Venezia, struggling at the bottom of the table with just three points and a poor scoring record, face a tough challenge to break down Como's compact defense. Tactical setups suggest Como's control in possession and attacking pressure will limit Venezia's chances, while the visitors' recent resilience hints at a potentially tight contest despite their offensive struggles. This match pits Como's creative midfield and finishing ability against Venezia's defensive vulnerabilities and limited attacking threat.

BT4Y best bet

BTTS No

  • Venezia have scored only 6 goals in 9 Serie A matches, highlighting their offensive struggles.
  • Como average 62.5% possession over their last 10 league games, restricting opponents' attacking time.
  • Como have scored 12 goals in their last 4 wins, showing strong finishing form.
  • Venezia failed to register a shot on target against Inter Milan, underscoring their lack of attacking threat.
  • Como have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 5 matches, supporting a low-scoring outcome.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors 'Both Teams to Score - No' due to the stark contrast in attacking capabilities and possession control. Como's ability to control matches and limit Venezia's offensive opportunities, combined with Venezia's poor goal-scoring record and lack of shots on target, supports a scenario where at least one team fails to score. The price offers positive value with a 7.5% edge, reflecting a realistic chance of a clean sheet or low-scoring game. No data limitations affect , making this a solid selection based on current form and tactical context.

Como's possession control62.5% average possession last 10 games
Strong positive
Venezia's attacking struggles6 goals in 9 matches, 0 shots on target vs Inter
Strong positive
Como's defensive solidity2 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Positive
Price value edge54% model chance vs 48.8% implied (+5.2 pts)
Positive
Main risk

The main risk to this selection is a momentary lapse from the hosts.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical control and attacking disparity

“Como's control of possession and attacking pressure severely limits Venezia's chances, making a clean sheet or low-scoring match a logical expectation in this Serie A encounter.”

Key Data Signals

BTTS No evidence

Venezia have scored only 6 goals in 9 Serie A matches, highlighting their offensive struggles.

Como average 62.5% possession over their last 10 league games, restricting opponents' attacking time.

Como have scored 12 goals in their last 4 wins, showing strong finishing form.

Venezia failed to register a shot on target against Inter Milan, underscoring their lack of attacking threat.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS No notes

  • Over the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3, but recent encounters have been tighter with Como failing to win by more than one goal in the last three meetings.
  • This trend suggests a controlled tempo and moderate scoring, aligning with the likelihood of under 3 goals and supporting the BTTS No selection.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Como1.6
Avg goals scored
Venezia0.4
Como0.8
Avg goals conceded
Venezia1.6
Como40%
BTTS rate
Venezia20%
Como40%
Over 2.5 goals
Venezia20%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 49% · edge +5.2 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 64%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Goal and BTTS data show Como averaging 1.6 goals per game recently, while Venezia score only 0.4. Venezia's low shot accuracy and lack of shots on target, especially against strong opposition, support a low-scoring game. The likelihood of both teams scoring is reduced by Venezia's offensive inefficiency and Como's defensive compactness.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 62% · edge +13.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 63%
2
Check odds @ 2
Venezia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Como to WinBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Como Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Venezia to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
9.5
Check odds @ 9.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The 54% for BTTS No sits against roughly 48.8% implied by the current price (+5.2 pts). Como show a 40% BTTS rate and Venezia show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score - No.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Como

WWWDL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 1L
27 Oct 2026A Torino3-1
24 Oct 2026H Sassuolo2-0
18 Oct 2026A Fiorentina3-1
11 Oct 2026H AS Roma0-0
20 Sep 2026A Frosinone0-2

Venezia

LLWLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 8L
28 Oct 2026H Inter0-2
25 Oct 2026A Genoa0-1
17 Oct 2026H Napoli1-0
12 Oct 2026A Atalanta1-3
19 Sep 2026H Lazio0-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
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Venezia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Como to WinBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Como Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Venezia to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
9.5
Check odds @ 9.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Como's recent form features four consecutive wins with 12 goals scored and only 3 conceded, demonstrating strong attacking and defensive balance. Venezia have struggled with just one win in five matches and a poor defensive record, conceding 19 goals in nine games. This contrast in form underlines the likelihood of a low-scoring match with limited Venezia goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Como Over 2.5
20%Venezia Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Over the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3, but recent encounters have been tighter with Como failing to win by more than one goal in the last three meetings. This trend suggests a controlled tempo and moderate scoring, aligning with the likelihood of under 3 goals and supporting the BTTS No selection.

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