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Folgore Caratese crestFolgore Caratese
v
Union Brescia crestUnion Brescia

Serie C - Girone A | Sun 01 Nov, 11:30

Folgore Caratese v Union Brescia Stats

Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 08:51 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Folgore Caratese face Union Brescia in a Serie C - Girone A clash where both sides have shown tendencies to concede and score. Folgore Caratese, positioned 19th, have struggled defensively but still manage to find the net occasionally, while Union Brescia, third in the table, maintain a more consistent attacking threat. Recent results suggest an open game with both teams likely to score, as defensive vulnerabilities and attacking intent combine to create chances at both ends. The fixture offers a tactical battle with offensive opportunities for both sides, setting the stage for goals from each team.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Folgore Caratese have a 60% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent goals conceded and scored.
  • Union Brescia show an 80% BTTS rate, reflecting strong attacking output and some defensive lapses.
  • Both teams have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting open games with multiple goals.
  • Union Brescia rank 3rd with 22 points, showing solid form and offensive consistency.
  • Folgore Caratese's defensive struggles contribute to a likely scenario where both teams find the net.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, supported by Folgore Caratese's 60% BTTS rate and Union Brescia's even higher 80%. Both teams have similar Over 2.5 Goals rates at 60%, indicating open matches with multiple goals. Union Brescia's stronger attack and Folgore Caratese's defensive vulnerabilities create a favorable environment for goals at both ends. The price offers positive value given the implied chance of 47.6%, making this a compelling pick based on attacking and defensive profiles.

Folgore Caratese BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Union Brescia BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Over 2.5 Goals Rate Both Teams60%
Positive
Model BTTS Chance76%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance62.6% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+15 pts)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown tendencies to both score and concede this season, making the Both Teams to Score market a logical choice. Union Brescia's attacking consistency combined with Folgore Caratese's defensive frailties suggests goals at both ends. The data supports an open game where both sides find the net, aligning with tactical expectations for this fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“The attacking intent from Union Brescia paired with Folgore Caratese's defensive vulnerabilities creates a strong case for goals at both ends in this Serie C encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Folgore Caratese have a 60% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent goals conceded and scored.

Union Brescia show an 80% BTTS rate, reflecting strong attacking output and some defensive lapses.

Both teams have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting open games with multiple goals.

Union Brescia rank 3rd with 22 points, showing solid form and offensive consistency.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last season matches, both teams have recorded a 60% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, indicating a trend toward higher-scoring games.
  • This suggests a tempo and openness in their matches that favors multiple goals, supporting the likelihood of an open game with goals from both sides in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Folgore Caratese1
Avg goals scored
Union Brescia1.6
Folgore Caratese1.6
Avg goals conceded
Union Brescia1.2
Folgore Caratese60%
BTTS rate
Union Brescia80%
Folgore Caratese60%
Over 2.5 goals
Union Brescia60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Both teams have BTTS rates of 60% and 80% respectively, with Over 2.5 Goals occurring in 60% of their matches. This suggests a pattern of open games with goals from both sides. The combination of Folgore Caratese's defensive lapses and Union Brescia's attacking strength supports a scenario where both teams score, aligning well with the BTTS market.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Folgore Caratese Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Union Brescia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
2
Check odds @ 2
Union Brescia to WinBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Folgore Caratese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The 62.6% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 47.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Folgore Caratese show a 60% BTTS rate and Union Brescia show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Folgore Caratese

DLLLW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 4D 5L
25 Oct 2026A Lecco2-2
17 Oct 2026H Treviso0-2
11 Oct 2026A Trento0-1
03 Oct 2026H Desenzano Calvina1-2
26 Sep 2026A Lumezzane2-1

Union Brescia

WLWDD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 4D 1L
24 Oct 2026H Cittadella2-1
19 Oct 2026A Giana Erminio1-2
09 Oct 2026H PRO Vercelli2-0
04 Oct 2026A Lecco2-2
27 Sep 2026H Dolomiti Bellunesi1-1
Best odds for this sectionFolgore Caratese Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 32% · edge +12.7 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
Union Brescia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Union Brescia to WinBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Folgore Caratese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Recent form shows Folgore Caratese with 4 points and Union Brescia with 8 points from their last matches, reflecting a slight edge to Union Brescia. Both teams have conceded and scored goals recently, reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends. This form data supports the BTTS pick as both sides continue to find the net despite defensive issues.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Folgore Caratese Over 2.5
60%Union Brescia Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last season matches, both teams have recorded a 60% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, indicating a trend toward higher-scoring games. This suggests a tempo and openness in their matches that favors multiple goals, supporting the likelihood of an open game with goals from both sides in this fixture.

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