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AC Horsens crestAC Horsens

Superliga | Sun 01 Nov, 13:00

Viborg v AC Horsens Stats

Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 08:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Viborg and AC Horsens meet in a Superliga clash where both teams have shown attacking intent and vulnerability at the back. Viborg, sitting third, have scored 1.8 goals per game but conceded 1.2, while AC Horsens, sixth, average 2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Both sides have a 60% rate of games going over 2.5 goals, indicating open matches. Recent form points to goal-rich encounters, with Viborg's home matches often lively and AC Horsens capable of exploiting defensive gaps. This fixture promises an engaging contest with multiple scoring opportunities from both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Both teams average 60% over 2.5 goals rate this season
  • Recent matches show Viborg scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2 goals per game
  • AC Horsens averages 2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game
  • H2H average goals stand at 4 in last 10 meetings, indicating high-scoring potential
  • Viborg and AC Horsens have strong attacking players with high shot volumes

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a value bet with a 49.2% chance against an implied 42%, offering a 7.2% edge. Both teams have high goal involvement rates and attacking tendencies, supported by their average shots per game (Viborg 16.2, AC Horsens 15) and shots on target (4.6 and 5.4 respectively). The recent head-to-head average of 4 goals per game further underlines the likelihood of a high-scoring match. This combination of attacking output and defensive openness creates a strong case for expecting at least four goals.

Model Chance49.2% model chance vs 42% implied (+7.2 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance49.2% model chance vs 42% implied (+7.2 pts)
Positive
Value Edge49.2% model chance vs 42% implied (+7.2 pts)
Strong positive
Average Shots per GameViborg 16.2, AC Horsens 15
Positive
H2H Average Goals4 goals in last 10 matches
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as Viborg and AC Horsens both possess offensive firepower but show defensive vulnerabilities. The high average goals in their recent meetings and strong shot volumes suggest a lively contest with multiple goals. Over 3.5 Goals is a fitting selection given the attacking profiles and recent form of both teams.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Over 3.5 Goals

“This fixture features two teams with clear attacking intent and some defensive frailties, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling angle. The combination of high shot counts and past high-scoring encounters points to an open game with several goal opportunities.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Both teams average 60% over 2.5 goals rate this season

Recent matches show Viborg scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2 goals per game

AC Horsens averages 2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game

H2H average goals stand at 4 in last 10 meetings, indicating high-scoring potential

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 4, indicating a history of high-scoring encounters.
  • This trend, combined with both teams' recent over 2.5 goals rates of 60%, suggests a fast-paced game with frequent goal opportunities and a strong chance of exceeding three goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Viborg1.8
Avg goals scored
AC Horsens2
Viborg1.2
Avg goals conceded
AC Horsens1.6
Viborg80%
BTTS rate
AC Horsens60%
Viborg60%
Over 2.5 goals
AC Horsens60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 49% vs implied 42% · edge +7.2 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 85%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both Viborg and AC Horsens have strong attacking records and a combined BTTS rate of 70%, indicating frequent mutual scoring. Their matches often feature multiple goals, with both sides averaging close to or above 1.8 goals scored per game, supporting the expectation of a high-scoring encounter with goals from both teams.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
AC Horsens Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
AC Horsens to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Viborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
The 49.2% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 42% implied by the current price (+7.2 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Viborg and 60% for AC Horsens, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Viborg

LLWWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
25 Oct 2026A Aarhus1-2
19 Oct 2026H FC Midtjylland1-2
11 Oct 2026A Randers FC2-0
20 Sep 2026H FC Nordsjaelland4-1
13 Sep 2026A Silkeborg1-1

AC Horsens

WDDDL
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
25 Oct 2026H Sonderjyske5-1
16 Oct 2026H Randers FC0-0
11 Oct 2026A Silkeborg3-3
20 Sep 2026H Aarhus2-2
11 Sep 2026A FC Copenhagen0-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
AC Horsens Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
AC Horsens to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Viborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Viborg to WinBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Recent form data shows both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, reflecting consistent high-scoring games. Viborg has scored 1.8 goals and conceded 1.2 on average recently, while AC Horsens has scored 2 and conceded 1.6, indicating both teams are involved in open matches with multiple goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Viborg Over 2.5
60%AC Horsens Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 4, indicating a history of high-scoring encounters. This trend, combined with both teams' recent over 2.5 goals rates of 60%, suggests a fast-paced game with frequent goal opportunities and a strong chance of exceeding three goals.

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