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Empoli crestEmpoli
v
Juve Stabia crestJuve Stabia

Serie B | Sun 01 Nov, 14:00

Empoli v Juve Stabia Stats

Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 08:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Serie B clash features Empoli and Juve Stabia, two teams closely matched near the relegation zone with Juve Stabia holding a slight edge in recent form and points. Juve Stabia have shown defensive solidity, conceding just 0.6 goals per game compared to Empoli's 2.2, while maintaining a more efficient attack. Empoli's struggle to convert chances and defensive vulnerabilities contrast with Juve Stabia's sharper offensive threat and more disciplined defensive record, setting up a contest where Juve Stabia's tactical organization and recent momentum could prove decisive.

BT4Y best bet

Juve Stabia to Win

  • Juve Stabia boasts a strong defensive record conceding only 0.6 goals per game versus Empoli's 2.2.
  • Empoli's recent form is poor with just 1 point from last matches compared to Juve Stabia's 8 points.
  • Juve Stabia's Antonio Di Nardo leads with 5 goals and 1.52 shots on target per 90 minutes, highlighting attacking threat.
  • Empoli averages 11 shots per game but struggles with finishing, while Juve Stabia averages nearly 15 shots, indicating better offensive pressure.
  • Head-to-head matches average 2.25 goals, suggesting a moderately open game but Juve Stabia's defense limits Empoli's scoring.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Juve Stabia to win based on their superior defensive record and more effective attack, reflected in a 70% chance versus a 40% implied market chance. Juve Stabia's recent form shows consistent point accumulation and defensive resilience, while Empoli's defensive frailties and poor recent results weaken their position. The attacking contributions of Antonio Di Nardo and F. Maistro add further . No data limitations affect this analysis, and the current offer clear value with a strong level of 70%.

Defensive StrengthJuve Stabia concedes 0.6 goals per game vs Empoli's 2.2
Strong positive
Recent FormJuve Stabia has 8 points recently vs Empoli's 1 point
Strong positive
Attacking ThreatAntonio Di Nardo 5 goals, 1.52 SOT/90
Positive
Market Value Edge55% model chance vs 40% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Juve Stabia's disciplined defense and sharper recent form make them the tactical favorite in this matchup. Their ability to limit Empoli's scoring chances combined with key attacking players like Antonio Di Nardo positions them well to secure a win. Empoli's defensive struggles and poor momentum further tilt the balance toward Juve Stabia.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and form advantage for Juve Stabia

“Juve Stabia's compact defense and efficient attack create a clear tactical advantage over Empoli, whose defensive lapses and lack of form leave them vulnerable in this crucial Serie B fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Juve Stabia to Win evidence

Juve Stabia boasts a strong defensive record conceding only 0.6 goals per game versus Empoli's 2.2.

Empoli's recent form is poor with just 1 point from last matches compared to Juve Stabia's 8 points.

Juve Stabia's Antonio Di Nardo leads with 5 goals and 1.52 shots on target per 90 minutes, highlighting attacking threat.

Empoli averages 11 shots per game but struggles with finishing, while Juve Stabia averages nearly 15 shots, indicating better offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Juve Stabia to Win notes

  • Over the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals total is 2.25, suggesting a moderately open game.
  • However, Juve Stabia's defensive discipline and Empoli's scoring difficulties imply a lower likelihood of a high-scoring match, favoring a controlled tempo and fewer goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Empoli1
Avg goals scored
Juve Stabia1.2
Empoli2.2
Avg goals conceded
Juve Stabia0.6
Empoli80%
BTTS rate
Juve Stabia40%
Empoli60%
Over 2.5 goals
Juve Stabia20%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 59% · edge +14.5 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Goals and BTTS trends indicate a moderate scoring environment with an average of 2.25 goals in recent head-to-heads. Juve Stabia's strong defense limits opponent scoring, reflected in their low goals against average, while Empoli's higher goals conceded suggests vulnerability. BTTS is less likely given Juve Stabia's defensive discipline and Empoli's scoring struggles.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickJuve Stabia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Juve Stabia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The 55% for Juve Stabia to Win sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Juve Stabia have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 1 for Empoli.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Empoli

LLDLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 6L
27 Oct 2026A Cesena1-2
23 Oct 2026H Vicenza Virtus0-2
17 Oct 2026A Ascoli1-1
10 Oct 2026H Palermo2-4
20 Sep 2026A Modena1-2

Juve Stabia

LWWDD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 3L
28 Oct 2026H Hellas Verona0-1
24 Oct 2026A Cremonese1-0
18 Oct 2026H Sudtirol3-0
10 Oct 2026A Virtus Entella1-1
18 Sep 2026H Cesena1-1
Market aligned with main pickJuve Stabia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Juve Stabia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Juve Stabia's recent form is markedly stronger, accumulating 8 points with a solid defensive record, compared to Empoli's single point and defensive struggles. This momentum difference reflects Juve Stabia's ability to control matches and convert chances, while Empoli's poor form undermines and consistency.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Empoli Over 2.5
20%Juve Stabia Over 2.5
2.25H2H avg goals
Over the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals total is 2.25, suggesting a moderately open game. However, Juve Stabia's defensive discipline and Empoli's scoring difficulties imply a lower likelihood of a high-scoring match, favoring a controlled tempo and fewer goals.

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