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Malmo FF crestMalmo FF
v
Hammarby FF crestHammarby FF

Allsvenskan | Sun 01 Nov, 13:00

Malmo FF v Hammarby FF Stats

Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 18:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Allsvenskan clash features Hammarby FF visiting Malmo FF in a fixture with clear stakes as Hammarby push to consolidate their high league position. Hammarby arrive in better recent form, having collected 12 points in their last five matches compared to Malmo's 7, and boast a notably stingy defense conceding just 0.2 goals per game recently. Malmo's attack has struggled to find the net consistently, averaging under one goal per game. Tactical discipline and defensive solidity will be key, with Hammarby likely to look to exploit Malmo's offensive inefficiency while maintaining control at the back.

BT4Y best bet

Hammarby FF to Win

  • Hammarby FF have a strong recent form edge with 12 points vs Malmo's 7 in last five matches.
  • Hammarby FF concede only 0.2 goals per game recently, showing defensive resilience.
  • Malmo FF's attack is underperforming, scoring just 0.8 goals per game in recent matches.
  • Hammarby FF rank 2nd in the league with 52 points, well ahead of Malmo FF in 7th with 40 points.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Hammarby FF to win with a 67% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, defensive solidity, and league standing. Hammarby's ability to limit goals conceded (0.2 per game) contrasts with Malmo's less effective attack (0.8 goals per game). The at 1.7 offer positive value given the model's implied chance of 58.8%. This pick is supported by strong player-level data, including key attackers and midfielders contributing to Hammarby's offensive threat and control. No price warnings apply, making this a standard stake recommendation.

Recent form advantageHammarby FF have 12 points vs Malmo's 7 in last 5 matches
Strong positive
Defensive strengthHammarby concede 0.2 goals per game recently
Strong positive
Model chance vs odds67% model chance vs 58.8% implied (+8.2 pts)
Positive
Player attacking threatN. Vasić with 3 goals and 3.16 shots on target per 90
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Hammarby FF's recent defensive solidity and superior form make them the tactical and statistical favorite in this matchup. Their ability to suppress goals conceded and maintain consistent point accumulation supports backing them to secure victory against a Malmo side struggling offensively.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and form advantage for Hammarby FF

“Hammarby FF's disciplined defense and effective counter-attacking options give them a clear edge over Malmo FF, whose recent offensive struggles may leave them vulnerable in this crucial fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Hammarby FF to Win evidence

Hammarby FF have a strong recent form edge with 12 points vs Malmo's 7 in last five matches.

Hammarby FF concede only 0.2 goals per game recently, showing defensive resilience.

Malmo FF's attack is underperforming, scoring just 0.8 goals per game in recent matches.

Hammarby FF rank 2nd in the league with 52 points, well ahead of Malmo FF in 7th with 40 points.

What To Watch In The Data

Hammarby FF to Win notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.7, indicating a moderately scoring fixture historically.
  • However, recent form and defensive trends suggest this match may lean towards fewer goals, with controlled tempo and tactical discipline limiting open play.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Malmo FF0.8
Avg goals scored
Hammarby FF1.2
Malmo FF0.6
Avg goals conceded
Hammarby FF0.2
Malmo FF0%
BTTS rate
Hammarby FF0%
Malmo FF20%
Over 2.5 goals
Hammarby FF0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Both teams have low recent BTTS rates, with neither side scoring or conceding heavily. Hammarby's defensive record (0.2 goals conceded per game) and Malmo's limited attacking output (0.8 goals scored per game) indicate a controlled goals environment, favoring a low-scoring match with limited goal exchanges.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Malmo FF

WDLWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
28 Oct 2026A Halmstad3-0
23 Oct 2026A IF Elfsborg0-0
18 Oct 2026H BK Hacken0-1
12 Oct 2026H Kalmar FF1-0
19 Sep 2026A Vasteras SK FK0-2

Hammarby FF

WWWLW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 2L
29 Oct 2026H Sirius2-0
25 Oct 2026A Mjallby AIF2-0
18 Oct 2026A Halmstad1-0
11 Oct 2026H Djurgardens IF0-1
20 Sep 2026A Degerfors IF1-0
Market aligned with main pickHammarby FF to WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 59% · edge +8.2 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Hammarby FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Hammarby FF's recent form is superior, securing 12 points in their last five matches compared to Malmo's 7. This momentum, combined with a strong defensive record, positions Hammarby as the more consistent and confident side heading into this fixture.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickHammarby FF to WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 59% · edge +8.2 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Hammarby FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The 67% for Hammarby FF to Win sits against roughly 58.8% implied by the current price (+8.2 pts). Hammarby FF have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 7 for Malmo FF.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Malmo FF Over 2.5
0%Hammarby FF Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.7, indicating a moderately scoring fixture historically. However, recent form and defensive trends suggest this match may lean towards fewer goals, with controlled tempo and tactical discipline limiting open play.

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