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PEC Zwolle crestPEC Zwolle
v
ADO Den Haag crestADO Den Haag

Eredivisie | Sun 01 Nov, 11:15

PEC Zwolle v ADO Den Haag Stats

Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 08:46 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

PEC Zwolle and ADO Den Haag meet in an Eredivisie clash where both teams have shown tendencies for active wing play and set-piece involvement. Recent form data indicates a moderately open style, with PEC Zwolle averaging 4.6 corners per game and ADO Den Haag 3.8, suggesting a combined corner count near the 9.5 threshold. Both sides are positioned in the lower half of the table, adding competitive edge to this fixture. The match is likely to feature sustained territorial battles and repeated wide attacks, increasing the likelihood of multiple corner situations.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • PEC Zwolle averages 4.6 corners per game, showing consistent wing pressure.
  • ADO Den Haag contributes 3.8 corners per match, supporting a high total.
  • Both teams have active attacking players generating shots and fouls near the box.
  • Recent matches show a combined corner count often exceeding 9.5 in similar fixtures.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 68.3% chance for over 9.5 corners, reflecting both teams' attacking patterns and set-piece frequency. PEC Zwolle's 4.6 and ADO Den Haag's 3.8 average corners per game combine to a strong base for this market. The presence of wide attackers like N. Kostons, who generate significant shots and fouls, supports frequent corner situations. The at 1.67 offer positive value with an 8.4% edge, making this a statistically supported pick with solid football reasoning.

PEC Zwolle avg corners4.6 per game
Strong positive
ADO Den Haag avg corners3.8 per game
Strong positive
Model corner chance68.3%
Strong positive
Market implied chance68.3% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+8.4 pts)
Positive
Value edge68.3% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+8.4 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with active wing play and frequent set-piece situations as PEC Zwolle and ADO Den Haag both rely on wide attacking outlets. Their combined corner averages and attacking intent suggest a lively contest with multiple corners. This bet aligns well with the tactical setup and recent data, making over 9.5 corners a sensible choice for this fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market analysis

“The corner market here reflects the tactical emphasis on wing play and set-piece delivery from both sides, with key attackers driving pressure and fouls near the box. This match should see a steady flow of corners as both teams seek to exploit wide areas.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

PEC Zwolle averages 4.6 corners per game, showing consistent wing pressure.

ADO Den Haag contributes 3.8 corners per match, supporting a high total.

Both teams have active attacking players generating shots and fouls near the box.

Recent matches show a combined corner count often exceeding 9.5 in similar fixtures.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals total is 2.9, indicating open games with attacking intent.
  • Over the last five matches, both teams have shown a tendency for over 2.5 goals, suggesting a tempo and style conducive to frequent set pieces and corners, aligning with the corner market.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

PEC Zwolle1
Avg goals scored
ADO Den Haag1.4
PEC Zwolle2.6
Avg goals conceded
ADO Den Haag1.8
PEC Zwolle40%
BTTS rate
ADO Den Haag80%
PEC Zwolle60%
Over 2.5 goals
ADO Den Haag60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 67% · edge +6.6 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 81%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 63%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both PEC Zwolle and ADO Den Haag have moderate goal-scoring rates with 1.0 and 1.4 goals per game respectively, and BTTS rates of 40% and 80%. While goals are modest, the attacking intent and open play increase set-piece chances, indirectly supporting a higher corner count rather than a high-scoring game.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Eredivisie hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 67% · edge +6.6 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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ADO Den Haag to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
ADO Den Haag Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 63%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
PEC Zwolle Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The 68.3% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+8.4 pts). PEC Zwolle lead the corner sample at 4.6 per match, with ADO Den Haag lower at 3.8.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

PEC Zwolle

DWLLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
24 Oct 2026A Utrecht1-1
18 Oct 2026H GO Ahead Eagles4-1
11 Oct 2026H Cambuur0-1
18 Sep 2026A Groningen0-3
13 Sep 2026H Feyenoord0-7

ADO Den Haag

LWDDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
24 Oct 2026H Heerenveen2-3
17 Oct 2026H PSV Eindhoven2-1
11 Oct 2026A Telstar2-2
19 Sep 2026H Cambuur1-1
12 Sep 2026A Twente0-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 77% vs implied 62% · edge +15 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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ADO Den Haag to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
ADO Den Haag Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
PEC Zwolle Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
PEC Zwolle to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Recent form shows PEC Zwolle and ADO Den Haag averaging corner counts close to or above 9.5 in their last matches, reflecting consistent wing pressure and attacking transitions. This trend supports the likelihood of a corner-rich game as both teams seek to capitalize on wide areas and set-piece situations.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%PEC Zwolle Over 2.5
60%ADO Den Haag Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals total is 2.9, indicating open games with attacking intent. Over the last five matches, both teams have shown a tendency for over 2.5 goals, suggesting a tempo and style conducive to frequent set pieces and corners, aligning with the corner market.

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