Football Stats Hub

Trabzonspor crestTrabzonspor
v
Gaziantep FK crestGaziantep FK

Süper Lig | Sun 01 Nov, 13:00

Trabzonspor v Gaziantep FK Stats

Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 08:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Trabzonspor, sitting third in the Süper Lig, host Gaziantep FK, who are struggling near the relegation zone in 14th place. Trabzonspor have been strong offensively, averaging 2.6 goals per game, while Gaziantep FK have managed only 0.4 goals per match and conceded twice as many. Despite this, Gaziantep FK's defensive resilience and Trabzonspor's recent inconsistency create an intriguing tactical battle. Gaziantep FK will look to absorb pressure and exploit counter-attacks, making the match outcome uncertain and setting the stage for a competitive encounter on Sunday afternoon.

BT4Y best bet

Gaziantep FK Draw No Bet

  • Gaziantep FK offers strong value at 4.25 with a 42% versus 23.5% implied chance.
  • Trabzonspor averages 2.6 goals per game but concedes only 0.8, showing balanced attack and defense.
  • Gaziantep FK struggles offensively, scoring 0.4 goals per game but concedes 2 goals on average.
  • Both teams have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating potential for goals but also defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Gaziantep FK’s recent form is poor with only 1 point from recent matches, but the Draw No Bet reduces risk.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Gaziantep FK Draw No Bet due to the significant at 4.25 , reflecting a 42% chance against a 23.5% implied probability. Despite Gaziantep FK's poor scoring form, their defensive solidity and Trabzonspor's occasional inconsistency suggest Gaziantep FK can avoid defeat. The Draw No Bet market mitigates risk, offering a safer way to back Gaziantep FK given the tactical setup and recent form data. This pick balances the underdog’s defensive strengths with the home side's attacking pressure, making it a compelling value selection.

Model Chance38.5% model chance vs 23.5% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance38.5% model chance vs 23.5% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge38.5% model chance vs 23.5% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Gaziantep FK Offensive OutputLow (0.4 goals/game)
Negative
Trabzonspor Defensive RecordStrong (0.8 goals conceded/game)
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Gaziantep FK Draw No Bet is a tactical call reflecting Gaziantep FK’s defensive resilience against Trabzonspor’s potent attack. While Gaziantep FK struggles offensively, the Draw No Bet mitigates loss risk, capitalizing on Trabzonspor’s occasional lapses and the underdog’s potential to secure at least a draw. This bet balances form and tactical context effectively.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Value and tactical balance

“Backing Gaziantep FK with Draw No Bet leverages their defensive grit and Trabzonspor’s inconsistency, offering a smart value play that respects the tactical nuances and recent form dynamics.”

Key Data Signals

Gaziantep FK Draw No Bet evidence

Gaziantep FK offers strong value at 4.25 with a 42% versus 23.5% implied chance.

Trabzonspor averages 2.6 goals per game but concedes only 0.8, showing balanced attack and defense.

Gaziantep FK struggles offensively, scoring 0.4 goals per game but concedes 2 goals on average.

Both teams have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating potential for goals but also defensive vulnerabilities.

What To Watch In The Data

Gaziantep FK Draw No Bet notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals per game, indicating a moderately open scoring trend.
  • Both teams have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently, suggesting matches often feature multiple goals.
  • However, Gaziantep FK’s low scoring and defensive approach may temper this trend, making Over 2.5 goals a watch angle rather than a certainty, with tempo and transitions likely influencing goal opportunities in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Trabzonspor2.6
Avg goals scored
Gaziantep FK0.4
Trabzonspor0.8
Avg goals conceded
Gaziantep FK2
Trabzonspor20%
BTTS rate
Gaziantep FK40%
Trabzonspor60%
Over 2.5 goals
Gaziantep FK60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 48% · edge +6.4 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 80%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Both teams have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, but Gaziantep FK’s low scoring average (0.4 goals) contrasts with Trabzonspor’s 2.6 goals per game. The BTTS No angle fits the controlled scoring context, as Gaziantep FK’s defensive approach may limit goals conceded, and Trabzonspor’s defense is relatively solid. This suggests a match with selective goal-scoring chances rather than open, high-scoring play.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickGaziantep FK Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Gaziantep FK to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The 38.5% for Gaziantep FK Draw No Bet sits against roughly 23.5% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Trabzonspor have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 1 for Gaziantep FK.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Trabzonspor

WWWWL
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 2L
26 Oct 2026A Rizespor4-3
19 Oct 2026H Beşiktaş2-0
10 Oct 2026A Samsunspor3-0
19 Sep 2026H Galatasaray4-0
12 Sep 2026A Konyaspor0-1

Gaziantep FK

LLLLD
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 5L
24 Oct 2026H Erzurumspor FK1-3
18 Oct 2026A Başakşehir1-2
11 Oct 2026H Çorum FK0-3
19 Sep 2026A Kocaelispor0-2
14 Sep 2026H Fenerbahçe0-0
Market aligned with main pickGaziantep FK Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 45%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Gaziantep FK to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Trabzonspor has accumulated 12 points recently with a strong goal-scoring rate of 2.6 per game, but their 0.8 goals conceded per match shows some defensive vulnerability. Gaziantep FK’s form is poor with only 1 point and a low scoring average of 0.4 goals, reflecting offensive struggles. This recent form data supports a cautious approach, favoring Gaziantep FK Draw No Bet to mitigate risk given their defensive focus despite poor results.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Trabzonspor Over 2.5
60%Gaziantep FK Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals per game, indicating a moderately open scoring trend. Both teams have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently, suggesting matches often feature multiple goals. However, Gaziantep FK’s low scoring and defensive approach may temper this trend, making Over 2.5 goals a watch angle rather than a certainty, with tempo and transitions likely influencing goal opportunities in this fixture.

Loading deeper match data…